I guess it makes as much sense as putting the peacekeepers between the rebels and Ukraine instead of between Ukraine and Russia.MCG said:How do you lead a peacekeeping mission when you have been one of the outspoken sabre-rattlers for one of the belligerent faction?
MCG said:How do you lead a peacekeeping mission when you have been one of the outspoken sabre-rattlers for one of the belligerent faction?
Czech_pivo said:Russia seizes 3 Ukrainian Warships, tensions highly charged
This could go bad very quick.
op:Key Takeaway: Russia will likely escalate militarily against Ukraine imminently. Russia is setting military conditions to prepare its forces for open conflict with Ukraine. Russia is already creating the pretext to escalate by circulating the false narrative that Ukraine and the West are preparing imminent attacks, including a chemical weapons attack, in Eastern Ukraine. Russia may fabricate evidence of a chemical weapons attack – or may itself conduct a chemical weapons attack -- near Russia-backed areas of Ukraine to create chaos, justify the overt involvement of the Russian Armed Forces, and set conditions for future military operations. NATO’s inaction following Russia’s escalation in the Sea of Azov is likely emboldening Putin to continue challenging the West in Ukraine. NATO must reassess the threat that Russia poses to European security and the rules-based international order and respond decisively to deter an increasingly likely Russian military escalation in Ukraine itself.
For whatever it's worth, Ukraine ceased seeking NATO membership in 2010; Yanukovych chose to seek non-aligned status. There is no legal obligation to come to their aid (given the circumstances, any number of responses are possible, but nothing is obligatory).MilEME09 said:Well if this comes to pass and the west does nothing i give up on understanding where the red line is.
Russia continues to build up and prepare its military forces for possible offensive operations against Ukraine from the Crimean Peninsula and the east. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has been warning that Russia could conduct such operations at short notice since December 11, 2018. It remains impossible to assess whether Russian President Vladimir Putin has decided to launch an offensive or will do so, or whether the visible military preparations are intended to pressure Ukraine and its partners without escalating to additional open conflict. The data suggests that Putin is preparing to attack, although alternative interpretations are possible ...