Success and failure are better terms than winning and losing. Iran was focused on regime survival, so it succeeded. It also appears to have gained additional leverage over a key global chokepoint, so success+.
As I indicated earlier, the US has so far failed to meet its military and political...
Geographic location, generational trauma, and religious dynamic are not indicators of western liberal democracy.
Factors that are:
Representative democracy;
Free and fair elections;
Rule of law;
Independent Judiciary;
Some degree of guaranteed individual liberties;
Independent press;
Healthy...
To understand the context, one needs to search the Interim Brigade Combat Team and the concept the Americans had at the time that was based on experience from numerous peacekeeping/peacemaking interventions on the 1990s.
A couple ways to look at this. Iranians are playing Trump as a fool and making him look bad as he's all about a deal. Iranians are using this to further reduce Israel's standing with the US by threatening Trump's deal. Possibly, Trump Admin could welcome this as a way to back out of an almost...
All kidding aside, it is useful to go back to look at the (stated) military objectives and (assumed) political war aims and to compare them to the agreement the US just signed with Iran.
First, military:
Dismantle Iran’s missile launch capability - nope, clearly didn't do that as Iran...
JCPOA 2, after a war that failed to decapitate the regime and lost control of the Straits of Hormuz.
Trump's twitter account continues to pay dividends.
Xi has bent him over twice (ran him over with rare earths last year and got him to waiver on Taiwan this year), Putin got the red carpet rolled out for him in Alaska, and even Delcy Rodriguez kept a Chavist regime in place by simply saying "ok" and waiting for attention to turn elsewhere...
So much winning.
Sad, because the real losers will be the Iranian people, Lebanese civilians, and the average taxpayer.
https://www.persuasion.community/p/the-art-of-the-non-deal
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