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The War in Ukraine

Except that article flies in the face of what issues the RuAF are actually having getting contract soldiers, and glosses over the fact that the conscripts are fighting in Ukraine due to Putin changing the rules on what ‘Russia’ is considered.

Not to mention RuAF losses haven’t really decreased in any significant amount, equipment losses have, but RuAF casualties are still running at an average of 1k a day, or 30k a month.

Outside of St Petersburg and Moscow, Russians are being mass conscripted and mobilized by Press Gangs. Putin’s method of whitening Russia by getting rid of fight age males from ‘less desirable’ ethnic groups.

Russia is bleeding their future to try to create Putin’s legacy, eventually the bleeding will stop, as they will have run out of able bodied men. When you see some of the mobilized personnel, one wonders how deep the pool is, as while it’s not yet Germany 1945, it’s a lot closer than any other example i can think of. .

Linked in your article:

 
Except that article flies in the face of what issues the RuAF are actually having getting contract soldiers, and glosses over the fact that the conscripts are fighting in Ukraine due to Putin changing the rules on what ‘Russia’ is considered.

Not to mention RuAF losses haven’t really decreased in any significant amount, equipment losses have, but RuAF casualties are still running at an average of 1k a day, or 30k a month.

Outside of St Petersburg and Moscow, Russians are being mass conscripted and mobilized by Press Gangs. Putin’s method of whitening Russia by getting rid of fight age males from ‘less desirable’ ethnic groups.

Russia is bleeding their future to try to create Putin’s legacy, eventually the bleeding will stop, as they will have run out of able bodied men. When you see some of the mobilized personnel, one wonders how deep the pool is, as while it’s not yet Germany 1945, it’s a lot closer than any other example i can think of. .

“Death is the solution to all problems. No man - no problem.”
― Joseph Stalin
 
Point by point, BTW ...
To be fair though, Ukraine does have a neo-nazi problem.
Define "neo-nazi problem." I stand to be corrected, but out of 450 seats in the UKR parliament, I think a grand total, round numbers, of hard-hard-right parties is zero. Are there neo-nazi groups in UKR? Yup. Are they huge? I don't think so.

Every so often, hard-hard-right folks in the CAF step on their dicks publicly and are outed - does the CAF have a "neo-nazi problem"?

As for UKR's history with Nazi Germany, all I can say is it's complicated.

Over time, I've seen:
  • People defend the Ukrainians having fought the REAL bad guys, the Commies;
  • People attack the Ukrainians because they fought on the same side as the Nazis;
  • People say the Commies, really, were/are worse than the Nazis.
Like I said, it's complicated.
And a corruption problem.
Yeah, UKR continues to work through its history as a former Soviet Republic (with no shortage of corruption) through post-Soviet times (bit of wild-wild-west style "frontier capitalism" led to issues, like in a number of other post-Soviet spaces) into working at getting better. Overall, still not great (rating of 105 here, compared to Russia's 154), but then again, if you believe the memes out there, Canada should be WAY lower than the 15th place it is on the same scale, so it's all relative.
And 2014 did see a coup overthrow a democratically elected government that was a little too 'Russia friendly' for the likings of the EU & the USA...
Others have shared info about how UKR went from a pro-RUS leader through a grassroots movement to an anti-RUS leader, one "a little too 'Europe friendly' for the likings of USSR 2.0" ;)
And seeing how this happened right on Russia's doorstep, I can understand why they would at least be 'concerned'
Good point, which is the same reason a lot of people think NATO would be at least concerned about what's been happening there since 2014.
If I had any say in this at all, both sides would cease fighting this instant & both sides would bring their forces back within their own borders.
Optimistic, but that would be cool, for sure.
This is a pointless war being fought for...what exactly?)
Depends on who one believes more.

The fight, for the Russians (as alleged) is about "de-nazify-ing" Ukraine, protecting Russian speakers, preventing "encirclement" by NATO, and the "historical unity" of UKR & RUS.

For the Ukrainians, it's about being independent, wanting to orient west instead of east, and being invaded by what they consider a former colonizer.

One old fart's take - YMMV.
 
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I haven’t been paying as close attention lately but it seems like Ukraine really has a concerted strategy of trying to wreck Russia’s petroleum industry infrastructure. I don’t know what economic indicators to watch for on this one but I do get the sense Russia really isn’t enjoying it.
 
I haven’t been paying as close attention lately but it seems like Ukraine really has a concerted strategy of trying to wreck Russia’s petroleum industry infrastructure. I don’t know what economic indicators to watch for on this one but I do get the sense Russia really isn’t enjoying it.
They are nailing the gas side of the equation, they need to nail the diesel side, which will cripple the military and transportation side.
 
Got it. It certainly seems like new kit has put more refineries in range. Those aren’t quick to replace.

This is where the economic monitoring side of things needs to be very closely monitored, cough, cough, enforced..... The Russians will have limited capacity/ability to replace quickly a lot of this machinery - their ability to skirt the sanctions by having a 3rd party buy the necessary precision machine tools or refinery parts off Germany or France or the US/Canada and ship to say Uzbekistan (as an example) and then on to Russia will lessen the impact of Ukrainian drone strikes.
 
The Black Sea Fleet hasn't been forgotten.



And yet another General may have been taken out of play, inside Moscow.



I haven’t been paying as close attention lately but it seems like Ukraine really has a concerted strategy of trying to wreck Russia’s petroleum industry infrastructure. I don’t know what economic indicators to watch for on this one but I do get the sense Russia really isn’t enjoying it.

There are a couple groups tracking things regarding the economy, just off the top of my head this is a fairly good one. There is one in particular that goes really into the numbers but for the life of me I cannot think of the name.

 
Well done, carry on...


Frustrated Russians grapple with fuel crisis as Ukraine attacks oil refineries​



Fuel shortages are being felt most acutely in remote regions, including the far east, southern Russia and the annexed Crimean peninsula, where motorists have been forced to switch to more expensive grades because of shortages of regular A-95 petrol.

Analysts estimate that Ukraine’s recent strikes on Russian oil refineries have disrupted at least 17% of all of Russia’s refining capacity, an equivalent of 1.1m barrels a day.

Between 2 and 24 August, Ukraine carried out at least a dozen strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, according to media reports, with the majority hitting facilities along the Ryazan–Volgograd corridor in the country’s south-west.

 
If someone buys into @CBH99 ’s narrative at this point, I’m not sure it’s worth talking to them. They are 1) willfully ignorant 2) a Russian sympathizer, or 3) a bot.
I'm not quite as pessimistic - and that's coming from an Italian willing to ... absolve people who like pineapple on pizza ;)
 
They are nailing the gas side of the equation, they need to nail the diesel side, which will cripple the military and transportation side.
Diesel has been hurting for some time, I've been closing monitoring Russian logistics since the war began, and with the shift to a lot more gas powered vehicles that occurred late 2023, due to a shortage of military grade trucks, and now we are seeing horses and donkeys, Russia cant keep up, vehicles are being parked, from lack of fuel or specialized lubricants to keep them going. In donetsk, crimea and southern Ukraine the russians were using civilian fuel stations to fuel up instead of setting up fuel points. As a result with those now running dry, they are having to halt operations as the military tries to push fuel to them with very limited logistics.
 
Diesel has been hurting for some time, I've been closing monitoring Russian logistics since the war began, and with the shift to a lot more gas powered vehicles that occurred late 2023, due to a shortage of military grade trucks, and now we are seeing horses and donkeys, Russia cant keep up, vehicles are being parked, from lack of fuel or specialized lubricants to keep them going. In donetsk, crimea and southern Ukraine the russians were using civilian fuel stations to fuel up instead of setting up fuel points. As a result with those now running dry, they are having to halt operations as the military tries to push fuel to them with very limited logistics.
I've seen report in Donetsk where multiple apartment blocks have to rely on water trucks parked out front so that the residents have to queue up for the ration of clean, drinking water because the Russians can't supply them with clean drinking water.

If any people have the ability to consistently 'go without' and continue as is, its the Russians. If this stuff occurred in Canada/US/Western Europe, the people would have caved already.
 
I've seen report in Donetsk where multiple apartment blocks have to rely on water trucks parked out front so that the residents have to queue up for the ration of clean, drinking water because the Russians can't supply them with clean drinking water.

If any people have the ability to consistently 'go without' and continue as is, its the Russians. If this stuff occurred in Canada/US/Western Europe, the people would have caved already.
Water is a continued problem for the russians, they need tens of millions of liters a day to properly supply even just the military but Cholera and Typhoid outbreaks are rampant in the russian army right now.
 
Water is a continued problem for the russians, they need tens of millions of liters a day to properly supply even just the military but Cholera and Typhoid outbreaks are rampant in the russian army right now.
Again, the Russian's ability to put up with and deal with things like lack of clean water, Cholera, Typhoid, shitty leadership, bad food, lack of medicine and medical facilities, lack of R&R, dealing with Convicts as Comrades, etc, etc, it amazes me that they've last 3yrs and are still making tactical gains.
 
I haven’t been paying as close attention lately but it seems like Ukraine really has a concerted strategy of trying to wreck Russia’s petroleum industry infrastructure. I don’t know what economic indicators to watch for on this one but I do get the sense Russia really isn’t enjoying it.
Command and Conquer: target the other players' Tiberium harvesters.
 
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