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  1. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    The F-16 will definitely be out of American inventory by 2050. But we're planning on keeping anything we buy well past that. This is the problem.
  2. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    He guaranteed we'd shrink our order. More may be ordered as a trade concession. Or LockMart ups workshare.
  3. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    Dual fleet may have some merits. If going 5th and 6th gen. But we're replacing a 4th gen fleet with a fleet of 4.5 Gen (at best) and 5th Gen. We're going to do this in the 2030s as the major powers are starting to field 6th gen and proliferate 5th Gen platforms everywhere. See Trump selling...
  4. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    It's not a relevant number either. The E model should have been a new type a la Super Hornet. The use the C/D models to cover up how much the new E/F models cost. Cause paying the cost of an F-35 would really make the Gripen look ridiculous. It's not clear at all that Saab will ultimately...
  5. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    I warned about this before. They can't simply move the supply chain to Canada. So they get Bombardier to assemble it like IKEA furniture. To be fair all companies fudge this. Take dollar amount and escalate by some multiplier. Ukraine doesn't have funds. Donors will be buying. We may...
  6. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    Each flight is 3 a/c. One ready bird. One backup. One in servicing/snags/maintenance. Comox got two more for the OTU as seakingtacco said. Ideally, we'd have 5-6 locations and the OTU would be 4 a/c. Something like 19-22 aircraft.
  7. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    For the same reason we're not posting fighter crews to Iqaluit. Sorry. Mixed up round trip. But yes 7 hrs round trip from Winnipeg leaves only 4 hrs on station with 11 hrs endurance. They can't refuel at Arctic towns. We can't be sure of fuel quality and quantity. And it's massively...
  8. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    Good find. You can see why the team kinda wished we had enough aircraft for abduct location in Newfoundland.
  9. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    Also different life expectancies. Water makes the numbers grim always. Response has to be quick
  10. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    Not sure where you're getting the numbers. But I hope you're not just looking at the numbers for the base aircraft platform. The thing on the roof is quite draggy. The Globaleye has 11 hrs of endurance. It takes 7 -8 hrs to go from Winnipeg to Alert. If there's no AAR capability, that not a...
  11. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    We don't have enough personnel to fully man the fleet we have now. But the plan was to ramp through one transition to 88 F-35s in the end. Now we're ramping through two transitions with more than 100 aircraft total in less than 10 years from today.
  12. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    We considered this too. But it's a simple reality that accidents tend to happen where there's people. The coasts, Winnipeg and Great Lakes are also where the majority of Canadians live close to water. The average Canuck is not ambitious enough to go explore the Arctic in a canoe. They are...
  13. Y

    The Fifth Generation Air Force

    Commander RCAF on Fifth Generation Air Force: https://www.flightglobal.com/fixed-wing/exclusive-new-canadian-air-chief-affirms-plans-for-fifth-generation-air-force/164110.article
  14. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    Says who? I think there's definitely something cooking here. Joly has been pushing this since the summer. The Swedish royalty would only be visiting to either announce or help close the deal. All that's left to learn is what the final numbers will be. And whether we're also stuck with the...
  15. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    We had decades of data on SAR calls. It was analyzed by DRDC CORA. Highest demand was actually the Great Lakes, Lake Winnipeg, East Coast and Pacific. Last two because of maritime industries like fishing. First two because people sometimes get drunk and go fishing after work. Our squadrons...
  16. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    To a point. When planning this, we basically spec'd the radar to be able to pick up a medium sized boat capsized at 100 NM out in a certain sea state. The idea was that they can pick up the target en route and get the SAR Techs ready, then simply transition to 1-2 passes for wind check before...
  17. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    They use the 295 for everything. Including Maritime Patrol. Domestically built airplane.
  18. Y

    FWSAR (CC130H, Buffalo, C27J, V22): Status & Possibilities

    My first ever project management job as a young Captain was to help write specs for the FWSAR sensor suite! Happy to have played a small part. Even though I wish it was on a different airframe. At this point, I just wish we'd get a few more aircraft and open a Fixed Wing SAR base in Gander...
  19. Y

    The RCAF's Next Generation Fighter (CF-188 Replacement)

    We deal with OEMs in my line of work. They lobby hard. That part is not personal. What they take a dim view of, is where they spend money on a futile effort. Like say we rig a bid and they bid anyway. Complex bids can take tens of millions. That kind of thing can attract a lawsuit. On the...
  20. Y

    Replacing the Subs

    The Americans are signing on to help the Koreans build nukes. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c620qppzlgwo.amp
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