https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-hybrid-attacks-may-lead-nato-invoking-article-5-says-german-intel-chief-2024-11-27/
"MAY"?!?!?!?!
a decade late and a trillion$ short
"We don't have any indication yet that Russia intends to go to war, but if such sentiments gain the upper hand in...
Thoughts on much needed Ukrainian Army reorganization. But very hard to accomplish during heavy combat.
https://open.substack.com/pub/xxtomcooperxx/p/dons-weekly-25-november-2024-part-36e?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1fbwa0
Things to make you think. The effects of culture. The basis of those cultures. This interview is (for nerds like me) fascinating in the different way to look at and interpret current actions vs individual and national subconscious proclivities (or tendencies to be more PC)
We, the west, BADLY and immediately, need to redefine what constitutes 'war".
Interesting conclusion, we are not in WW3 but WW4. Although that blurs the distinction between the end of WW2 and the start of the Cold War (WW3)
Another construct could be that WW2 lasted from 1939 to 1989 when...
A good, but slightly discouraging, read
https://open.substack.com/pub/xxtomcooperxx/p/dons-weekly-18-november-2024-part-2dd?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1fbwa0
The real test will be what versions if ATACMS the US/NATO delivers. The leaks and announcements could well be (finally) an info-op and deliberate ploy to isolate the US from any blame should Ukraine just 'happen' to decide to ignore/reprogram any geofencing and go max range.
"Consensus" is vastly overrated. 'Perfection is the enemy of good enough' Instead how about supermajority -dau the 80% solution. At worst, 90% agreement should be the cap, not 100% (so NATO would only need 29/32)
ATACMS, Scalp and Storm Shadow. A lot of uneducated press release style media hype with no critical evaluation or analysis about essentially another minor, tactical level decision. Limited to the shortest range of the long range weapons and in Kursk only. Such a spineless action by the president...
Out of range of promised NATO weapons but well within range of Ukrainian drones. But it would be imprudent and unwise to hit the Kremlin or St Basil's. Putins palaces? Sure, Go For It.
US planners need to start thinking of the Russo/Ukrainian war as the opening moves of WW3 with Taiwan being the prize. The Axis powers strategy is to replace the rules based order with a modern form of the 'Great Game' of the 18th through 20th centuries. Then to supplant the G7 powers and become...
That all sounds eminently reasonable and logical, to us. And that is the primary problem with this, and any other logical solution. They make sense TO US but are so far outside both sides belief structures and the way that either side thinks that these sort of 'logical' solutions are nonsensical...
Russia: " how can we negotiate with a country that does not exist?"
Ukraine: "how can we negotiate with a country that has no honor?"
Trump: "I will stop the war in 24 hours"
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