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I doubt it. Really depends on what regime emerges after. They can replace the commies with some corrupt dictatorship. Meets American goals. Won't do squat for the average Cuban and I doubt it attracts investment. If you're some wealthy Cuban-American why would you go invest where some...

Might need to do Cuba to distract from Iran. Lol.

Not sure how you come to this conclusion. Most people watching them holding the Gulf hostage wouldn't think this.

They would be true regardless of what he does. I mean look at some of the apologists here. And they don't even vote in the US. The real question is what happens to his (and the wider movement's) popularity in the US. There's been reporting that he thought he'd get a popularity boost like...

Oil and gas shareholders? Given their poll numbers I'm not sure they are benefiting. If they were, he wouldn't be tweeting like a scared teen.

Added this edit to clarify: I don't think it's unreasonable when asking troops to risk their lives and risking global chaos to expect leaders to articulate the goals and the plan. Let's be real here. We (including me) thought we might get a real uprising a few weeks ago. That's not...

War can't be fought with half measures. And this has been my complaint right from the beginning. If you tell the enemy from the start that you will not deploy ground troops, they know exactly what it takes to survive. Pretty obvious they thought this would be an affair of a few weeks and...

Buddy. Selection and maintenance of the aim is a rather basic idea. Do you even know what the aim is in this war? Cause at this point, I'm not even sure the guy leading the parade has any idea. Meanwhile, a whole bunch of people here are fantasizing about taking over random islands. And...

Exactly what I said. Countries will just deals with Iran. It's only really the Europeans in a bind. They're in missile range of Iran. But also need all that Gulf oil and gas.

I don't actually believe that the US believes this. If it was that easy the USN could roll up with a dozen frigates and get this done in a week or two. I think Trump wants to hand off responsibility for the closure to somebody else. So that he can then scream on Truth Social about how the US...

In case you haven't noticed, they have been defending what is theirs. It's a complex threat which nobody is particularly well suited against. What you want here is for them to escalate and attempt to force open the Strait. That is a task that the freaking US says it can't do alone. You're...

I bought up the point a war crime as a technicality. Honestly, I'm less concerned about that than the escalation dynamics. Also, starving the people (in this case of power) who you want to revolt against the IRGC doesn't seem like the way to win them over. At this point, it honestly seems...

Lol. Iranians are offering the Europeans help on keeping Trump out of Greenland: https://www.reddit.com/r/PublicFreakout/s/qdlh3jB9tD

They can take most of the small islands except Kharg pretty easily. Possibly even zero losses. But that doesn't open the Strait. Or stop the IRGC (I hate saying Iran.... Slanders the people) from attacking Gulf infrastructure. It doesn't even help move along regime change in any time scale...

Strategic vs. Tactical level Tactically? They are absolutely getting their asses handed to them. Strategically? Pretty obvious they are winning. We have our own experience with this kind of asymmetry. How did regime change go in Afghanistan after dominating every major engagement with the...

Not a war crime if the power plants are substantially servicing military infrastructure and installations. But that doesn't seem to be what Trump is threatening here. Given that the majority of the world and the majority of the region didn't want this war, there's a high likelihood they will...

Iranian response: Textbook lesson is escalation dynamics and who has escalation dominance.

1) Nobody was ever worried about supply in the US and Canada. 2) As long as there are no export restrictions, North Americans farmers will still have to pay high prices.

I think you're actually underestimating the opponent here.

Not to mention that the Strait is only half the problem. Israel bombs the Pars field. Iran responded by taking out 20% of Ras Laffan. That is like actual percentage points of global gas supply. The Qataris have said it's $20B worth of damage and will take years to recover. Trump is now...