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The main determinant is the participation of the German and Norwegian governments, who have offered at least 2 and possibly 3 of their production slots to Canada. Where this just TKMS, I would agree with your skepticism.

Interesting article from a German source, in which can be found confirmation that Canada will receive 4 boats by 2024, and that TKMS will have two yards capably of building 1.5 boats per year, but planned to build even quicker than that...

Two interesting videos on this purchase:

Decent analysis on why the government went with this choice: https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/navy-news/2026/canadian-patrol-submarine-project-tkms-type-212cd

The way it was explained to me by someone in the know is as follows: The one by 2033 was the first Canada-specific build, and the other three would come from the German and Norwegian production slots. That seems to make sense, given there are two Norwegian boats currently under construction, for...

I think the likelihood of a Gripen purchase has gone down substantially with this announcement, giving Europe a big win. I predict an announcement that LM will get the remaining 88.

Ya beat me to it by a fraction of a second! :LOL:

TKMS committed to building another assembly line though, so I would assume this decision will cement that decision.

First fully kitted out MRTT has had it's first test flight. https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/aerospace-news/2026/canadas-first-airbus-a330-tanker-aircraft-completes-maiden-flight-for-royal-canadian-air-force

10 July, 8 KSS-111, 4 Type 212CD. Just to be contrarian... :)

Here are a few of the most significant ones: A400M max payload in 37 tonnes, vs 20 for the C130J. A400M cruise speed is 780 km/h, vs 643 km/h for the C130J. A400M Service Ceiling is 40,000 ft (12,200 m), vs 28,000 ft for the C130J A400M Cargo Box Width is 4.0 meters (13.1 ft), vs 3.12 meters...

Timely: https://skiesmag.com/news/rcaf-future-airlift-analysis-could-open-door-to-airbus-a400m-atlas-for-canada/

I'm thinking there must be serious talks about a "split" contract, but perhaps an uneven split (something like 8 and 4). The Carney government is very interested in developing strong ties with both Europe (and Germany in particular), as well as SK. Apparently the Navy's objections have become...

Latest from VARD re. CDC. Seems to have evolved to be more in line with what VAdm Topshee has stated he'd like to see in this class. Of note the "minimum" 16 MK41 VLS. 107.7 m in length, so close to the stated preference of 105 m. 21,333 SHP, 26+ knots. Pretty impressive credentials.

C-17 production rumours are starting to look a bit more true: https://www.twz.com/air/boeing-encouraged-by-c-17-production-restart-discussions

First I hear of a modified 2800 ton exports version of KSS-111 being proposed for Canada. https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2026/06/09/navigating_the_deep_an_analysis_of_the_canadian_patrol_submarine_project_cpsp_1187505.html

Close. Mk 48. (y) https://www.seaforces.org/wpnsys/SURFACE/Mk-48-missile-launcher.htm

Despite the fact that battlespace management (C2) is a key capability? This is after all an AEW&C platform. https://www.saab.com/newsroom/stories/2024/march/globaleye-increasing-your-operational-availability The electronics on the E-7 are at least 15 years old (probably more like 20). The SAAB...

Very interesting analysis by Philippe Legase on the different approaches between SK and Germany on the CPSP: https://philippelagasse.substack.com/p/canadian-subs-from-a-south-korean Make me even more in favour of Hanwha winning this. However, there are strong strategic reasons in favour of a...

I have a similar story yesterday trying to get my mom to an appointment at the Bruyere Family Health Centre, only coming from the West end of town. Got off the Queensway at Lees, and Lees was backed up past Ottawa U. Took 45 minutes to get the 4 Kms from Lees to Bruyere Street. F@*ing crazy...