Enfield said:
However, I'd have to agree that the 'War on Terror' is something of a farce. Certainly there is an enemy, but defining it as 'terror' - which is an action, a tactic, or a methodology - is inappropriate and misleading. The 'War on Terror' has more to do with the tendency to over simplify concepts meant for public consumption in a mass democracy, than with a military campaign.
Agree here. War on Terrorism is a silly phrase - it is like saying
War on Operatonal Envelopment or
War on Carpet Bombing.
I believe we are engaged in a drawn out asymmetrical conflict with the extreme fringes of a vast culture, a movement that manifests many common grievances and problems of their home culture. The enemy is clearly Islamic Radicals - not Islam, or Arabs, but not 'terror' either.
Agree here as well, but in part. I'm not so sure it is a conflict with an "extreme fringe" of Islamic (Arab? Middle Eastern?) culture.
Having just finished
Through Our Enemies' Eyes by "Anonymous", the author makes a point that I think is very important in that
the conflict we are engaged in is a fight against a guerrilla insurgency rather then a terrorist campaign. This is supported by the fact that violence that occurs in the Middle East against the West is not monopolized by Al Qaeda, but that it almost always is supported by its mission, goals, and statements.
"Anonymous" argues that we are foolhardy to view Al Qaeda as a traditional terrorist organization. In pigeonholing it with Hizballah, Abu Nidal, and the slew of other Cold War groups who were basically extentions of surrogate state policies, we lose sight of the fact that Al Qaeda is a much more an insurgent organization that is as much a "facilitator/inciter" as a "doer". Anonymous lists off pages of attacks against Western and Western-backed (or perceived to be Western-backed) targets both inside and outside of the Middle East in the last decade or so and despite the fact that Al Qaeda was not directly responsible for them,
they were committed to goals that were within the Islamic insurgent context that Osama bin Laden has become the figurehead for. There is no difference between Al Qaeda operatives blowing something up or the message of Al Qaeda convincing some Filipino/Indonesian/Pakistani/Egyptian group or individual to do the same.
The message of this insurgency is clearly anti-Western and grounded upon traditional Islamist thought. Why is it appealing to many? I think "Anonymous is onto something when he states that:
"There is a perception in the Muslim world - which bin Laden has fed - that the Christian West is always ready to use economic coercion and military force if proselytizing does not work, or does not work quickly. The latter is an intense irritant in the Islamic world and is, as Professor Samuel Huntington noted, grounded in fact: from 1980 to 1995 "the United States engaged in seventeen military operations in the Middle East, all of them directed at Muslims. No comparable pattern of U.S. military operations occurred against the people of any other civilization." Tough economic sanctions have been simultaneously enforced by the West against several Muslim states. As noted, bin Laden has been outspoken in condemning the Crusaders' eagerness to put sanctions on Sudan, Iraq, and Libya; to tolerate prolonged military aggression against Muslim Bosnians, Somalis, Kashmiris, and Kosovars; and to conspire to divide Muslim states such as Afghanistan, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. In voicing these views, bin Laden is more virulent than most Muslims, but he is not the lone voice."
Anonymous, Through Our Enemies' Eyes; pg 244.
What does the previous stuff say (to me, at least):
1) That the enemy is a varied one that is driven to fight us for both
Who we Are and/or
What we Do. Fundamentalists (both Shia and Sunni) abhor Western secularism and see it as an immoral evil (Religious). Many Palestinians will fight because of the ongoing dispute with Israel (ethnic). Pashtun Taliban forces will fight us because they see us as Allied with their traditional Tajik foes who occupy the Karzai government in Kabul (tribal). Egyptians will bomb Americans as a way to fight against a Mubarak government they oppose (civil war). Ba'athist or other organizations in Iraq will attack Westerners because they oppose Western presence in their homeland (nationalists). All of these motives exist and they can often be combined and mixed.
The Insurgency that Bin Laden spearheads is focusing this animosity on the West by pointing to it as the root of the problem.
2) Further to this, not all our enemies are rabid, Koran-toting fundmentalists. This is where the definition "War on Terror" falls short, as it puts all the possible enemies we may fight into a single box that does not do their motivations or their outlook justice.
Don't paint the insurgent opponent with a broad brush.
3) As pointed out above, opposing forces have wide and disparate interests. They are tied togeather in their actions by the message that bin Laden has constantly preached of
Pan-Islamic Defence of the Faith. However, this does not distract them from settling differences with eachother.
Dar al Islam is a large and vibrant part of the world, and there is a gamut of interests (old and new) clashing - Matt Fisher pointed out to me that while in Iraq, he noticed that Muslim on Muslim violence was as common as attacks on Americans.
Expect to see various intercine Islamic conflict based on ethnicity (Kurd/Arab/Turkish, etc), Tribal (Pashtun/Tajik/Hazara, etc) and Religious (Shia/Sunni) lines.
4) If this is an insurgency being driven by the notion that the West is a crusading boogey-man, then "grab them by the balls and hearts and minds will follow" is the absolute worst approach to take as it will only serve to further the belief that we are marauding Crusaders bent on destroying Islam.
This is very much a war of perception.
5) Finally, as this is a war of perception, we must consider how we are to fight it. There will always be the 10% who hate us for who we are; the only solution for them is a JDAM or a Hellfire. However, the main effort should lie with those Muslims who are angry at us for what we do. This is why I am generally supportive of going into Afghanistan and especially Iraq, which is at the center of
Dar al Islam. From these places, if we play our cards right, we can do much to attack the Insurgent message that we are marauding extentions of the Crusades.
Much of the situation today has come about due to the unintended consequences of Cold War policies - oh well, no point lamenting them, now we must address them and the West is now strategically engaged in the Middle East in a manner that should facilitate this.