Political impacts of Ukraine war

[daftandbarmy]

Coaxing the deal by threatening both sides.

Trump Threatens Putin With Oil Tariffs, Pressures Zelenskyy On Minerals Deal

Kyiv accused Moscow of a "war crime" after Russian drones struck a military hospital in Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, as part of an overnight attack that also hit a shopping center, apartment blocks, and other targets.

www.rferl.org

Trump Says ‘Very Angry’ With Putin Over Ukraine - The Moscow Times

U.S.

www.themoscowtimes.com

Trump finds fault with both Putin and Zelenskyy as he tries to push for deal to end war in Ukraine

President Donald Trump has lashed out at both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, expressing frustration with the Russian and Ukrainian leaders as he struggles to forge a truce to end the war.

apnews.com

Ukraine-Russia war live: Trump ‘very angry’ with Putin and threatens oil sanctions

The US president said he was furious about Putin’s suggestion Zelensky should be replaced by a UN-mandated government

www.independent.co.uk

Like most of the West, Trump underestimates the Russians' penchant for self-destruction. I think he'll be surprised at his naivete, at some point in the not too distant future at any rate...

What lies behind Russia’s acts of extreme violence? Freudian analysis offers an answer | Peter Pomerantsev

The blowing up of a Ukrainian dam echoes a traditional cycle of destruction and self-destruction marking the country’s history

www.theguardian.com

 

[McG]

Trump still has Putin’s back even as Putin continues to target civilians.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1911822693629829133

 

[KevinB]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1912823492271100220

 

[RangerRay]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1912823492271100220

I mean, it’s hard to argue with her…

 

[GR66]

I mean, it’s hard to argue with her…

Well if she doesn't want Putin to invade then she shouldn't start a war with him.

/sarcasm

 

[RangerRay]

The US-Russia Pact is almost complete. Trump will soon rescue Putin from the jaws of defeat.

Weekend Update #129: The Lost Opportunity--We Are Seeing Why Trump's Election Mattered So Much

The US-Russia Pact Is Pretty Much Set

phillipspobrien.substack.com

 

[brihard]

A relevant snippet from the LPC platform on international partnerships:

“And, if needed, build on our peacekeeping heritage and step up to guarantee Ukraine’s security”

Am I reading this the same as others- Canada as a potential member in a ‘coalition of the willing’ in Ukraine?

 

[SeaKingTacco]

A relevant snippet from the LPC platform on international partnerships:

“And, if needed, build on our peacekeeping heritage and step up to guarantee Ukraine’s security”

Am I reading this the same as others- Canada as a potential member in a ‘coalition of the willing’ in Ukraine?

We are going to need a much bigger Army…

 

[rmc_wannabe]

We are going to need a much bigger, better equipped, Army…

Just added that little bit there.

In any case, a new mission of any stripe, at this moment, would cripple the Canadian Army. Moreso, our sustainment infrastructure within the CAF would not be able to cope with it either...

 

[KevinB]

Just added that little bit there.

In any case, a new mission of any stripe, at this moment, would cripple the Canadian Army. Moreso, our sustainment infrastructure within the CAF would not be able to cope with it either...

Road to 3% and all…

 

[FJAG]

Road to 3% and all…

I'm not sure what an extra 10 - 15,000 office workers in Ottawa would bring to the table.

 

[suffolkowner]

I'm not sure what an extra 10 - 15,000 office workers in Ottawa would bring to the table.

outcomes not inputs eh?

 

[FJAG]

outcomes not inputs eh?

Yuppers. I'm the one who maintains that our outputs do not match our inputs as it is. Why should I be optimistic that this would change if inputs went up?

Colour me cynical.

 

[PuckChaser]

Just added that little bit there.

In any case, a new mission of any stripe, at this moment, would cripple the Canadian Army. Moreso, our sustainment infrastructure within the CAF would not be able to cope with it either...

The current mission set is crippling the Army (and Navy). Adding anything else would essentially just be MAID.

 

[OldSolduer]

A relevant snippet from the LPC platform on international partnerships:

“And, if needed, build on our peacekeeping heritage and step up to guarantee Ukraine’s security”

Am I reading this the same as others- Canada as a potential member in a ‘coalition of the willing’ in Ukraine?

The LPC can say what it wants. I have zero faith in them

 

[daftandbarmy]

The current mission set is crippling the Army (and Navy). Adding anything else would essentially just be MAID.

Meanwhile, OP LENTUS looms on the horizon.

If it's a busy fire year this year it might get interesting


Wildfire preparedness:

BC Wildfire Service (BCWS) forecasts indicates that British Columbia may experience an active spring wildfire season due to persistent drought conditions. This activity is expected to increase if there continues to be limited precipitation over the next several weeks and months. Until significant and sustained rains occur, the risk of ignition will remain elevated.

“Every day, the hard-working members of the BC Wildfire Service are preparing for the 2025 wildfire season,” said Ravi Parmar, Minister of Forests. “We don’t know what it will bring, but we are putting in the work each and every day to protect our communities. With warmer weather just around the corner, I urge British Columbians to do their part to help protect their homes and communities through our provincial FireSmart program.”

People in British Columbia encouraged to prepare for seasonal hazards

People in British Columbia are urged to prepare for seasonal hazards as the warming weather increases the likelihood of climate-related emergencies, including spring flooding, wildfires and drought.

news.gov.bc.ca

 

[KevinB]

Meanwhile, OP LENTUS looms on the horizon.

If it's a busy fire year this year it might get interesting


Wildfire preparedness:

BC Wildfire Service (BCWS) forecasts indicates that British Columbia may experience an active spring wildfire season due to persistent drought conditions. This activity is expected to increase if there continues to be limited precipitation over the next several weeks and months. Until significant and sustained rains occur, the risk of ignition will remain elevated.

“Every day, the hard-working members of the BC Wildfire Service are preparing for the 2025 wildfire season,” said Ravi Parmar, Minister of Forests. “We don’t know what it will bring, but we are putting in the work each and every day to protect our communities. With warmer weather just around the corner, I urge British Columbians to do their part to help protect their homes and communities through our provincial FireSmart program.”

People in British Columbia encouraged to prepare for seasonal hazards

People in British Columbia are urged to prepare for seasonal hazards as the warming weather increases the likelihood of climate-related emergencies, including spring flooding, wildfires and drought.

news.gov.bc.ca

You got to figure at this point a few once’s of prevention should be taken by the province.

Cutting 500m wide firebreaks every 25km or so and a 5km break every 100km with upgrading of road networks and camp facilities to support firefighting activities.

Invest in some SMR’s, and create some artificial lakes off some the current rivers to provide water basins to aid fire fighting efforts.

Get more rotary and fixed wing water bombers.

The Military shouldn’t be a first responder to annual domestic issues.

 

[Brad Sallows]

A relevant snippet from the LPC platform on international partnerships:

“And, if needed, build on our peacekeeping heritage and step up to guarantee Ukraine’s security”

Am I reading this the same as others- Canada as a potential member in a ‘coalition of the willing’ in Ukraine?

Everything I've read so far emanating from Europe indicates this is situated in pure permissive peacekeeping. If there's a peace, there will be a peacekeeping force to observe, record, and report. Following the usual template for that, I'd expect the peacekeeping force to robustly get out of the way if the belligerents resume hostilities.

People should stop talking about this as if it is some kind of way to "guarantee Ukraine's security". The only way to do that is to put a force in Ukraine willing and able to meet and defeat Russian forces. For that, Europe and Canada would prefer the US to pay the bills.

 

[KevinB]

Everything I've read so far emanating from Europe indicates this is situated in pure permissive peacekeeping. If there's a peace, there will be a peacekeeping force to observe, record, and report. Following the usual template for that, I'd expect the peacekeeping force to robustly get out of the way if the belligerents resume hostilities.

People should stop talking about this as if it is some kind of way to "guarantee Ukraine's security". The only way to do that is to put a force in Ukraine willing and able to meet and defeat Russian forces. For that, Europe and Canada would prefer the US to pay the bills.

Depends who is talking. Some of the European countries are much more ready to put combat units into Ukraine to deter the Russians than others.

 

[Brad Sallows]

Depends who is talking. Some of the European countries are much more ready to put combat units into Ukraine to deter the Russians than others.

Sure. Are they expected to fight? At what point is the butcher's bill expected to dissolve resolve?