Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

[NearingZenith]

With Carney expected to appoint Secretaries of State to handle specific files, this sounds like the perfect opportunity to create a Secretary of State for Defence Procurement. It probably won’t be a full independent department and will still rely heavily on Public Services and Procurement Canada, Department of National Defence, Treasury Board, etc. for support, but at least there will be a central, dedicated team leading the issue and a single point of accountability for defence procurement.

I’m happy I called it right last night that there should be a Secretary of State for Defence Procurement so that there’s finally someone leading and responsible for this. Hopefully it makes a difference.

 

[HavokFour]

B.C., Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba might all benefit from his pick for Minister of Energy and Natural Resources (Tim Hodgson). Very good choices for Minister of Crown-Indigenous Relations (Rebecca Alty) and Minister of Northern and Arctic Affairs (Rebecca Chartrand) too.

 

[PrairieFella]

Interesting that the Minister of Health is the daughter of a Haitian Prime Minister.

 

[PrairieFella]

B.C., Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba might all benefit from his pick for Minister of Energy and Natural Resources (Tim Hodgson). Very good choices for Minister of Crown-Indigenous Relations (Rebecca Alty) and Minister of Northern and Arctic Affairs (Rebecca Chartrand) too.

Added dimension for Rebecca Chartrand is she is Red River Métis. They hold a lot of political sway and influence in MB and SK. Could help with resource development projects having the MMF on their side. That said, the Métis are much more resources friendly than some First Nations, which is where tensions would be.

 

[dapaterson]

First MP to make a public call for Trudeau to resign named as Sec State for CRA and Financial Institutions.

 

[The Bread Guy]

When I met JT at the US Embassy after his first election, I was surprised to see that we saw eye to eye - as I am 6'4". He has a strong grip and moved a bit like an athlete.

Based on the seating for the swearing in, Sean Fraser looks pretty tall too.

 

[brihard]

Anand is FAM

I’m happy about this. She’s competent and seasoned and this is a key portfolio.

I don't knwo enough about David McGuinty to have a good read, but since he's been chair of the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians for the last 8 years, he should have a decent understanding of the defence environment.

As you said, chair of NSICOP. He’s part of a small crew who really get to know damned near everything from the security and intelligence community. He’ll be unusually well informed about the state of the world for a new MND. Another solid choice. I was hoping to see him stay within the national security/public safety space for this reason. Also seasoned and experienced.

I’m happy I called it right last night that there should be a Secretary of State for Defence Procurement so that there’s finally someone leading and responsible for this. Hopefully it makes a difference.

Stephen Fuhr I think? Former RCAF Major and CF-18 pilot, with subsequent private sector work in the defense sector. Others here will likely know more about him but it’s a good sign.

Guilbault gets a nothing post. I’m fine with that Provost is likewise in a nothing post. Blair’s fully out, which surprised me. Freeland’s in a pretty ‘meh’ post.

A full changing of the guard would have been unrealistic to expect. There are some interesting and potentially good moves in this. The member for Churchill getting the Northern Affairs spot is indeed a potentially encouraging signal regarding the port of Churchill, as someone pointed out.

I’m cautiously optimistic about this cabinet.

 

[HavokFour]

It'll be interesting to watch Carney's interactions with Anand over the next couple years. He might be the type to embrace having a potential successor.

 

[brihard]

It'll be interesting to watch Carney's interactions with Anand over the next couple years. He might be the type to embrace having a potential successor.

Could be. I don’t think he’s going to be too wrapped around the axle about future competition, given that he’s not a political lifer.

 

[PrairieFella]

Nice to see the PM defend the independence of Elections Canada during his presser. Elections Canada is a great institution and defending it from politization is a good thing.

 

[The Bread Guy]

Interesting choice for Indigenous Services ...

Mandy Gull-Masty becomes first Indigenous person to head Indigenous Services

OTTAWA - For the first time ever, an Indigenous person has been chosen to lead the federal department responsible for providing services to First Nations, Inuit and Métis communities.

www.thecanadianpressnews.ca

QC's northern Cree (she's a former Grand Chief of the Grand Council of the Crees) have been able to work with Ottawa to get some stuff done & some powers transferred. Let's see if she can finesse similar co-operation from Chiefs across Canada.

 

[Kirkhill]

Memorandum of Understanding 2023 - Smith, Moe, Kinew looking pretty good about now.

Connecting Canada's Economy

Advocating for Canada's economic growth through infrastructure development, corridor expansion, and inter-provincial trade reform. We're a non-profit dedicated to building a stronger, more connected future that benefits all Canadians.

caneconomy.ca

Saskatchewan, Alberta and Manitoba Continue Collaboration on the Joint Memorandum of Understanding | News and Media | Government of Saskatchewan

Northern Trade Corridor - as defined by Wab Kinew Anishinaabe Premier of Manitoba - Churchill
NeeStanan Corridor - first nations trade corridor promoted by Manitoba Cree - Port Nelson-York Factory
Western Energy Corridor - Alberta pipelines promoters - Churchill
Both York Factory and Churchill are represented by Rebecca Chartrand – Minister of Northern and Arctic Affairs and Minister responsible for the Canadian Northern Economic Development Agency (Red River Metis)

Saskatchewan portion of the Northern Trade Corridor passes through Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River represented by Buckley Belanger – Secretary of State (Rural Development) (Metis) - Home to uranium mines
Saskatchewan portion of pipelines already pre-approved by Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith proponent of any and all tide water solutions.

Minister of Crown-Indigenous Relations is Rebecca Atty of the Northwest Territories - approximately 20% Indigenous.
Alberta and the Northwest Territories have a 2024 MOU on developing economic corridors.

Memorandum of Understanding collaboration on the advancement of economic corridors [between the Government of Alberta and the Government of the Northwest Territories] - Open Government

open.alberta.ca

Mandy Gull-Masty – Minister of Indigenous Services (Quebec Northern Cree)

Then there is the Kivalliq Link between Manitoba and the Nunavut "Barren Lands" (rich in minerals)

Kivalliq Hydro-Fibre Link

Saving millions on diesel. Drastically reducing emissions. Connecting the north and creating multi-generational socio-economic benefits.

www.nukik.ca

Manitoba and Nunavut Partner on Kivalliq Hydro-Fibre Link, Establishing Strategic Energy and Economic Corridor

Following historic agreement between Manitoba and Nunavut, all parties call on the federal government to partner and support the KHFL. ...

www.globenewswire.com

And finally there is the Alberta Indigenous Opportunities Corporation created in 2019 and backed wtih 3 BCAD in Alberta Funds

Alberta Indigenous Opportunities Corporation - Alberta Indigenous Opportunities Corporation

Alberta Indigenous Opportunities Corporation (AIOC) exists to help Indigenous Nations and groups across our province [...]

theaioc.com

Projects - Alberta Indigenous Opportunities Corporation

theaioc.com

....

With that hand this is probably Alberta's , and Saskatchewan's, best shot at reaching tidewater and knocking back those independence numbers.

For the record, my read of Smith is not that she is promoting separation. She is trying to head it off.
Direct democracy has a lot of support out here. The referendum issue extends well beyond independence.

In Calgary we have issues where there was broad support for a referendum on zoning and replacing the mayor but in both cases the petitions failed because the threshold was set very high. This referendum act addresses those issues as well.

Separation-Independence-Sovereignty Association are secondary issues.

If Carney proceeds with the direction of travel his cabinet seems to indicate then Alberta and Smith's future will be pretty secure.

....

Fly in the ointment

Gregor Robertson – Minister of Housing and Infrastructure and Minister responsible for Pacific Economic Development Canada
Former Mayor of Vancouver and vocal opponent of Trans Mountain, oil tankers and logging.

Might be able to out Guilbeault Guilbeault.

 

[Kirkhill]

 

[QV]

Interesting that Alberta's total export per capita is roughly double that of Ontario. You'd think all levels of government would try and maximize that potential.

 

[Czech_pivo]

Interesting that Alberta's total export per capita is roughly double that of Ontario. You'd think all levels of government would try and maximize that potential.

Service industry oriented in Ontario, manufacturing sector has been drastically reduced.

 

[Navy_Pete]

I’m happy about this. She’s competent and seasoned and this is a key portfolio.


As you said, chair of NSICOP. He’s part of a small crew who really get to know damned near everything from the security and intelligence community. He’ll be unusually well informed about the state of the world for a new MND. Another solid choice. I was hoping to see him stay within the national security/public safety space for this reason. Also seasoned and experienced.



Stephen Fuhr I think? Former RCAF Major and CF-18 pilot, with subsequent private sector work in the defense sector. Others here will likely know more about him but it’s a good sign.

Guilbault gets a nothing post. I’m fine with that Provost is likewise in a nothing post. Blair’s fully out, which surprised me. Freeland’s in a pretty ‘meh’ post.

A full changing of the guard would have been unrealistic to expect. There are some interesting and potentially good moves in this. The member for Churchill getting the Northern Affairs spot is indeed a potentially encouraging signal regarding the port of Churchill, as someone pointed out.

I’m cautiously optimistic about this cabinet.

Good thing they chose a former pilot for procurement; they get a lot of experience at it in their trade... sigh. Still better than random civvie I guess, but holy.

 

[HavokFour]

Carney is off to Rome this long weekend, but will also be sneaking in some work as well.

The PMO added Carney will also meet with international leaders while in Rome to discuss deepening trade, commerce, and cultural ties.

PM Mark Carney to attend Pope Leo XIV’s inaugural mass

Prime Minister Mark Carney is scheduled to attend the newly appointed Pope Leo XIV’s inaugural mass this week.

www.ctvnews.ca

Alt: https://archive.is/hkHti

 

[HavokFour]

Time to get fully Quebec on board.

“If you want a simple answer on ‘Will I support building a pipeline?’ Yes. That simple answer. I’ve given that multiple times,” Carney said, while that a pipeline alone is “not enough to make Canada an energy superpower.”

Exclusive: Carney says ‘yes’ to building a pipeline if consensus exists for one

While previously touting his pledge to make Canada an 'energy superpower,' Mark Carney went further on Tuesday, explicitly saying he supports building a pipeline if the consensus exists for one.

www.ctvnews.ca

Alt: https://archive.is/OEtAp

 

[MilEME09]

Interesting that Alberta's total export per capita is roughly double that of Ontario. You'd think all levels of government would try and maximize that potential.

that's O&G for you, but with TMX at 50% capacity, its going to be a hard sell to get any company to want to build another pipeline to the pacific, we gotta look east.

 

[IKnowNothing]

that's O&G for you, but with TMX at 50% capacity, its going to be a hard sell to get any company to want to build another pipeline to the pacific, we gotta look east.

Our investments need to be targeted at satisfying market demand, not providing unwanted supply. Maximalist dreams and "if we pump it someone will buy" are not business plans.

Three avenues that seem very grounded in reality and readily available:

• Need to see if the LNG inquiries Trudeau idiotically turned away can be rekindled.
• Need to explore the most feasible way to shift our remaining O&G imports to domestic product
• Need to see if the Spanish want our product for their heavy cokers.

Outside of that- we're looking at some serious business development footwork to make sure we're not building pipelines to nowhere.