But surely every course of action entails risk?
Obviously. The fact that there is always some risk doesn't mean blowing off particularly significant ones.

But surely every course of action entails risk?
Obviously. The fact that there is always some risk doesn't mean blowing off particularly significant ones.
The key trigger for Japan attacking the US in WWII was America cutting off their oil supply.I suppose if we control some of their oil supply, opposed to less stellar dictatorships, they may not be so quick to do something stupid like invade Taiwan. We can turn it off.
America cut off their oil supply to try to persuade Japan to stop killing Chinese.The key trigger for Japan attacking the US in WWII was America cutting off their oil supply.
My point being trade ties keep people from war with each other, not necessarily with other nations.America cut off their oil supply to try to persuade Japan to stop killing Chinese.
Stand by approximately doing nothing, or apply pressure which risks further escalation. Decisions, decisions.
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Sure, but in some circumstances a nation finds itself in "we're giving them everything they insist they need, and they're still behaving badly".My point being trade ties keep people from war with each other, not necessarily with other nations.
You're assuming that at the end of the day logic plays a very large role in the decision making process.My point being trade ties keep people from war with each other, not necessarily with other nations.
Japan likely wouldn’t have attacked America if oil kept flowing as that was more valuable to them than any attack could be. Not saying it wasn’t necessary from a geopolitical standpoint.
Now now the Japanese were like everyone else but more so.Also in the case of Japan you weren't dealing with a government persay as much as 30 year or more collective psychotic episode.
I remember reading, in I think William Shirer’s book on the Third Reich, that the Germans timed their invasion of the SU to start only after the daily freight train, full of the fruits of the Germain-Soviet Trade Pact, from the Soviets had crossed the border.You're assuming that at the end of the day logic plays a very large role in the decision making process.
As for trade in 1939 France's biggest trading partner was Germany. It was incredibly healthy and balanced and neither country had the slightest complaint with one another as far as trade went.
And yet .....
There were un verified reports of ritual cannibalism in the Japanese army in China in the 30's. And there were instances that were testified to during the the Tokyo war crimes trials. These occured during the Pacific campaign.
Like everybody else but more so .... OK if you say so.
BTW the Army in China was law unto itself and on more then one occasion basically told Tokyo to go f**k itself
Weird sh*t,truly weird sh*t.