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Again. Taking these islands is not a problem. The problem is what comes after. Show the the plan for when Iran responds by attacking more of Ras Laffan or launching drone swarms at the Marines on those islands. Before you respond, I want you to do what you did when you had a uniform on...

Qeshm Island (the large island you refer to) is bigger than Okinawa, Japan and has a population of 148k. The entire coastal region of Iran is larger than South Vietnam. 1200 Marines is enough to take small islands like Larak, Sirri, Abu Musa and the Tunbs. But all those troops would still be...

Ending the petrodollar to help boost Netanyahu's chances of re-election is quite the trade. Or demands to quit. The Blindspot in this forum is that all of us are Westerners sitting in Canada and the US. The people in that region have a distinctly different perception of this war. Most...

And this is why people should red team.... Iran believes it's winning and now wants major concessions. https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-war-negotiations-demands-85555522

The kids have plenty of familiarity with the place already. https://battlefield.fandom.com/wiki/Kharg_Island https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battlefield_3

Shit: Chaser: I think the TACO timeline is moving up.

My bet is Trump TACOs this weekend or the next. He's not ready for the economic devastation and stock market crashes that will happen if this thing goes two more weeks. Next weekend will be a month. That's when oil inventories really start drawing down. And we'll really start economic...

It's the Gulf. Expats don't count in decision-making. And none of those Christians and Hindus are Qatari citizens.

Which till 28 Feb has not resulted in the one way drones and ballistic missiles targeting their infrastructure. I get not liking Qatar. I share that sentiment. However, in this case, you're letting emotion cloud your judgement here. The only reason they are getting hit is because the US...

I get on other issues. But what exactly have they done to Iran here? Also, if we're going to start talking about foreign policy on moral terms, not sure that the Americans should be giving the lectures.... When the US Navy can't keep the Strait open, and successfully protect its own assets...

Indeed. Selling out to Russian gas has consequences. But more broadly turns out that you're vulnerable regardless of who you import gas from because any event can cause supply to get interrupted and prices to spiral.

It won't. Everybody else is still taking delivery with APG-81. This is exclusively an American problem. We did ask for the APG-85. But it was restricted. Probably for the best.

Asia is paying $150 for oil while Europe and the US are paying $100. They are world's shock absorber soaking up all the inflation. But that won't last. For how they are still getting some deliveries of oil. Whatever is on the water. That wraps up in a week. After that prices go higher...

It's actually millions of people. It's not "such a small minority". To what end? They only got hit because the Israelis hit South Pars. Moving up the escalation ladder will only result in more Qatari infrastructure destroyed. Your post shows a fundamental problem here. People on this side...

This also makes it really hard to dismantle. It's estimated that something like 50% of Iran's GDP is controlled by the IRCC. They basically run all of the utilities, state owned enterprises and large companies. This means completely eliminating the IRGC is akin to trying to get rid of the CCP...

Gift link to article:

People say the same thing about oil, gas, lumber, etc. Why does everybody forget we don't have a closed market and pay global prices? Exactly for dairy apparently.....

By the way, the people who could help navigate a way out of global energy crisis? Fired by DOGE. https://www.notus.org/trump-white-house/trump-doge-cuts-middle-eastern-oil-gas-crises

And fuel isn't the only worry. Not enough people are talking about the fertilizer shortage right before planting season. For North American farmers that's maybe a 30% hit in costs. But for the developing world we're risking actual famine in some places as food production tanks. Just look at...