This is akin to saying that the Global Financial Crisis wouldn't impact anyone else. I'm fairly sure if the global economy is on fire, the Americans are not immune from feeling a bit warm.
If only he was actually doing that. And not you know just installing henchmen who give him a cut. What's the actual change in resume in Venezuela or Iran?
The US is already failing strategically in Iran. And casualties are light all things considered. I don't think them failing will mean more American casualties. There will be strategic consequences though. Iran gains influence in the Middle East. Everybody is force to cut deals with them...
Cuba is next. And when they inevitably cause a refugee crisis into Florida and probably end up killing refugees on boats, he'll be yelling at Mexico to help. Or even possibly asking us.
Oil will be at $120 by week's end and possibly $150 in 2-3 weeks. They might have to add global economic crisis to the Iran War on the To-Do List.
At this point I see no options but spin up more MEUs and an airborne division, seize a bunch of island and hope to force sea control while...
Some Chinese oil is getting through and they have a substantial reserve. They are also willing to take Russian oil. Why would they sever their ties with Iran? And I suspect he doesn't want to go there and be embarrassed by them laughing off his threats.
That kinda genius thinking comes from...
Oil's at $106 right now in the futures market. And there's lineups at gas stations cause average Joes are paying attention. He might be declaring victory and packing it up sooner than we think.
Now whether the Iranians stop fighting? That's a different question.
These people seem to be naive. Did they really think a regime so embedded would be toppled so easily and that war would not impact them at all? Bizarre.
I wish he was actually applying some of that military experience. Dude seems more intent on fighting culture wars, mostly on made up or very exaggerated issues. Doing deadlifts with the troops isn't going to win the race between the A2AD bubble and Agile ops.
To wit...
$150 oil. Totally a treat.
Oil last peaked in July 2008 at $147/bbl. Adjusted for inflation that is $222 today. So we have a ways to go before creating another generational crisis that will take a decade to recover from.
And before that, oil peaked at $11.65 in January 1974 during the '73...
A week ago there were the usual suspects on here saying that we were being biased and not giving these guys the benefit of doubt.
To me, if you're going to plan a war with Iran and don't plan for a fight to control the Strait, and don't plan to protect major commercial centres (like Doha and...
Sure. He famously (for the RCAF) opposed the purchase of C-17s in lieu of more Hercs. Imagine where we'd be today without C-17s. But I can't imagine that time period was easy. Went from the decade to darkness to fighting in Kandahar. Somehow the budgets stayed the same. So choices were...
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