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True, but the US has mostly expended the effectiveness of the air campaign and a sea campaign is likely preferably to landing ground troops into Iran, although I suspect the smaller islands are due for a management change. You are looking for a quick resolution, but there is unlikely to be one...

I think you are going to see the USN focus on keeping the southern lanes open. Also on this chartlet, I suspect they will redirect the Eastbound lane on the left as a Westbound lane and add a new lane to the south that is Eastbound, moving traffic away from the Iranian coast. Iran has lost...

Listening to him last night, I had to think that he is using their own playbook against them, saying "We won", "We are blockading the Straits" and then next week saying something different is going to keep them off balance. Now the question is: "Is this an act or is he actually thinking this way?"

From the article that Czech posted: Trump also said the U.S. Navy will “seek and interdict every vessel in International Waters that has paid a toll to Iran.”

I never met him in person, but got to know him and Karen through here and FB. Ted had a way of making you think about things, without beating you over the head, an art that is lost to most these days. He will be sorely missed.

It seems the threatened blockade only applies to ships that pay protection money to Iran. How the US is going to determine that, I don't know? My guess is anyone using the northern traffic lanes will be boarded and everyone else will be directed to the southern traffic lanes.

My idea leaves the choice in the hands of the voters and reminds the politician, that it is the voters choice. A fixed referendum question saves the costs and hassle of a byelection and gives consequence to the choice of crossing the floor. The 6 months period gives the politician the chance to...

True, but a referendum result where you might be forced back into the party might make people think twice about that.

I like to see a requirement that MP's have to go independent for 6 months and have to hold a referendum with the voters in their riding. Election Canada can provide the website and process to vet respondents. Questions are simple: 1. Remain independent 2. Return to the party 3. Join party X

The pretense has failed, there was no hope ever that they would work.

TKMS already has a healthy order book for their subs and as much as they want our business, likely they are wondering how they would meet everyone needs/expectations for delivery timelines.

It would be nice to be able to send a team to visit some of these new ships and get to see them during ops and help gather information on what sort of things are what we may want in the CDC, that have already been done before either well or badly.

Opinion piece from GCaptain about shipping The Strait Isn’t 'Closed'—It’s Worse Than That Six weeks into the conflict, the debate over whether the Strait of Hormuz is “open” has become almost irrelevant. Because what we are witnessing is not a formal closure. It’s something far more...

Reportedly Lebanese nationals attacking a Hezbollah rally in Beirut. If so people are losing their fear of Hezbollah.

Like everything, a bit of a business like approach would be good for government. But if you do to much of it, the effects start to go negative.

We need more mine clearance capability and unmanned versions to operate in this area. Shipping Avoids Hormuz Lanes as Iran Pushes Vessels Toward Controlled Corridors

Problem with government running as a business is it has clients with wildly competing interests and complete and utter monopoly. We don't really want a super efficient government, because it will tilt to authoritarianism as the most efficient way to perform.

The Gulf States would have to get serious about their militaries, building more competent navies and air forces, those two are the least threat to the ruling class. They also need a more robust air defense system. They would still fear having a competent army. However they might be forced to get...

You are not going to get meaningful and effective negotiations with the Islamic regime. Their previous economic model is in shambles, they are going to find ways to exhort monies from the ships transiting. That may be ok with the companies for a short time, but eventually the bill will get to...

Plus there are valid concerns about flooding the oceans with active sonars from a marine mammal perspective and the CCG often in or near various whale sanctuaries, so in peacetime, they will limit their use.