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  1. Brad Sallows

    British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

    Yes, there are always many factors. About the only thing dependable is that whatever government does will look cunning like the grouse alongside the thousands of people who actually have skin in the game.
  2. Brad Sallows

    British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

    That should help curb the amount of risk developers will take to bring new housing to market. They will err on the side of "too little stock" rather than "too much"; the resulting drop in supply should encourage prices to rise.
  3. Brad Sallows

    Trump administration 2024-2028

    The more capital the super-rich have, the more there is available for investment. They don't settle for money in mattresses. A lot of the enmity against the super-rich originates in ignorance as to what all that wealth is actually doing. Much of the enmity is the one thing it is not doing...
  4. Brad Sallows

    Informing the Army’s Future Structure - CAMO Discussion

    Everyone talks about planning contingency activities; few seemed to do it. Leaving my cynicism aside, the one year I was "budget guy", things went well and it was a tight ship. Not because of me, but because the (civilian, full-time) formation compt kept an eye on everyone. That right there...
  5. Brad Sallows

    EV's, Gas/Oil, and The Future- another swerve split from- JT Hints Boosting Canada’s Military Spending

    Experiences can vary. Conventional wisdom up to about the '80s was that you could get about 100,000 miles out of a car (engine), and you changed oil at 3,000 miles (5,000 km) or 3 months. Then that started moving up. For a while I drove an '86 Mazda that had a 10,000 km recommended oil change...
  6. Brad Sallows

    Informing the Army’s Future Structure - CAMO Discussion

    Except for the year one unit blew past its ceiling so badly that everyone else had to cancel activities with weeks remaining in the year. And mentioning the circumstances, even something so minor as the name of the unit, was frowned upon. Break them all.
  7. Brad Sallows

    British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

    Pretty much every time I've gone dark for a few days over the past year-and-a-half, the world has been approximately the same at the end as it was at the start of the period. This time, the entire planet seems to have turned ass-over-teakettle.
  8. Brad Sallows

    Religious/Extremist Terrorism: Non-Muslim edition

    Somewhere between always gratifying the people on the fringes and adequately redressing at least some of their grievances there must be an optimal point.
  9. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    That's just prudent. Some people are bound to go hunting for evidence of any price increases, anywhere, and there will undoubtedly be some. The actual causes of those price increases are unlikely to be investigated to determine whether they are consequences of privatization or of other events...
  10. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Liberal Patriot is gone, but Ruy Teixeira is still sticking to his themes at another substack called Welcome Stack. In this article he mentions an important point, drawing on a 2030 apportionment forecast. Reliably Democratic states could lose up to 9 seats, and reliably Republican states...
  11. Brad Sallows

    The Cost to Retire Comfortably Around the World

    Some people just enjoy their work. For some their work is part of their identity and sense of self-worth, and of those some are aware of it and therefore reluctant to retire; the ones who don't anticipate it are the kinds of people who end up expressing feelings of loss and whatnot after...
  12. Brad Sallows

    2026 US-Denmark Tensions/End of NATO

    The chaos goes away. The think tanks and their political access remain.
  13. Brad Sallows

    2026 US-Denmark Tensions/End of NATO

    Surely such a thing cannot exist. Trump is all chaos and bombast; there could not possibly be any single - let alone multiple - agenda being advanced by people behind him. It is imperative that critics continue to focus their time and attention on the man, not on the evolution of policies within...
  14. Brad Sallows

    British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

    With the dissident conservatives having established a home in the shell of CentreBC, an election to wrongfoot the Conservative opposition is suddenly a much larger risk. It would undoubtedly wrongfoot them, but also apply pressure to the moderates to quickly organize - I don't doubt that they...
  15. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    You seem to be seeing a huge impediment where I see none. I get that the US is written into the treaty as the centre of administrative treaty matters (primarily accession and renunciation). I don't see nations necessarily wringing their hands over how to adapt the existing treaty and simply...
  16. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    It's a treaty, not a constitution. It doesn't need an amending formula. The non-US members could meet, agree to adopt the provisions of the treaty with the replacement of the US by some other depository state, retain all the other trappings of the organization and start unwinding US...
  17. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    Have you read the treaty? I've gone back and skimmed it. My initial recollection is reinforced: most articles don't mention the US at all, and those that do are chiefly concerned with its function as a depository.
  18. Brad Sallows

    British Columbia NDP Majority Government 2024-(no later than) 2029

    Findlay has cooked herself. Is she too obtuse to realize this, or just too stubborn to take the inevitable exit and resign?
  19. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    Which couple? If all that needs to happen is for some other country to be swapped in for the US as the depository, then the member states and candidate just need to agree on the choice and swap the names in the text. Switzerland? Austria? Someone completely outside the area of interest, like...
  20. Brad Sallows

    Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

    To save time, which articles of the treaty do you think cannot easily be adapted?
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