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This. Very much this. It's a substantial break in the relationship. And that card has to be played well.

I think early 2027 is when the first payments are due for 2030 deliveries.

Not yet. But every day without a deal hurts the F-35. Current progress payments and the like cover deliveries through to the end of 2029.

There's the military aspect of Golden Dome which is semi-serious and then what the administration wants. They don't want substantive Canadian participation. They want us to simply cut them a large cheque. Which of course, our government will not do. But we keep talking to our military...

It's kinda not the job of MPs though.....

Won't target China, Russia or North Korea with any real endurance. But they talk about maximum pressure. What happens to insurance rates of the tankers if the Iranians nail just one going through? I've already heard of insane rates. Like double digit percent of ship and cargo per transit...

What actual serving members think of their mission.....

New trades coming. Space Mission Operator. Could be recruiting this Fall or in the new year. Space Warfare Officer. Probably Fall 2027. Templated on USSF equivalents.

And just remember, the last we heard of HFR, they were saying Toronto-Montreal in 5 hrs. The current train is scheduled at 5.5 hrs and with delays is often pushing 6 hrs. Imagine spending $45-75B and still taking 5 hrs for that trip.

Economic Case Study from Alto: https://www.altotrain.ca/sites/default/files/2026-08/canada-s-moment-the-economic-opportunity-of-high-speed-rail-alto.pdf And the notable bit for those who keep pushing the previous HFR:

Personally I am less concerned about controlling bleeding edge models than having our personal data shipped abroad. I would love to see EU still protections for the data of Canadians to be retained in Canada. Though, I guess Big Tech would lose it at this kind of demand.

I wouldn't be that pessimistic. CCA functionality is heavily dependent on sensor networking and AI. There's very little input from the pilot. The aircraft fly themselves. They self-manage tasks. Possibly even priorities. For all intents and purposes, this becomes a mini-swarm of autonomous...

Was always going to be.

I have gone back through some Mod presentations. And it's more clear that what they are building isn't the end state. It's a crawl-walk-run model. The current structure is mostly about modernization and recapitalization. And in the mid-2030s and beyond, they seem to be aiming for two reg F...

With the caveat that I'm a blue suiter, I agree that it seems to be stuffed with a lot. But I'm sympathetic to what they are trying to do. The kind of transformation being done, with standing up new units, buying billions in new kit and creating new trades or specialties, while building new...

You're not wrong. But also, the CA is building the airplane while flying it. I think it's just fine to create brigades to hold these new unit and a Div focused on reserves. There's a limit what they they can build simultaneously. Trying to build a Corps while building subordinate divisions...

The Israelis don't fly Growlers or dedicated Wild Weasels either. They fly pods on fighters and use bizjet stand off jammers like everybody else. And really long term tactical jamming is perfect for CCAs.

So far they are being shoved into brigades under the new expeditionary version of 1st CD. In addition to the 3 CMBGs, the Div is getting a Light Infantry Regiment that is brigade sized, a Combat Support Brigade, a Sustainment Brigade, a fires brigad and a battalion sized Signals Regiment. That...

You are substantially misunderstanding fifth gen air warfare. The F-35 was never supposed to take over C2. No idea where this is coming from. What it can do is provide substantial passive collection and pass a ton of information through MADL, which other F-35s can fuse onboard in a coherent...