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2025 U.S. - Venezuela conflict

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Supposedly a photo from the Bella-1 this morning...looks a bit like a 'little bird' - so credence to the concept of US SOFCOM folks going to the UK to help with her arrest.
 

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Supposedly a photo from the Bella-1 this morning...looks a bit like a 'little bird' - so credence to the concept of US SOFCOM folks going to the UK to help with her arrest.

“Good morning boys. Don’t be dumb.”

How long before we see the Russians start putting teams with MANPADS on shadow fleet ships?
 
Do we think that Russia is ready to openly kill US service members? That would be quite an escalation...
Probably not? But the capability and ambiguity could be a deterrent.

DEVGRU must be busy!

Probably US Coast Guard MSRT. They have their own capabilities for this kind of boarding, and the lack of an available team was allegedly why the Bella got away the first time. They’ve been hitting drug boats for years.
 
I wouldn't put it past a Wagner-like group to attempt to do so. But if they are making the calculus, it would be suicide.

Can’t find it now, but saw posts in a Telegram channel that mentioned some Wagner types may have been schwacked in Caracas. They may want to get a bit of plausibly deniable by Vlad revenge.

Probably US Coast Guard MSRT. They have their own capabilities for this kind of boarding, and the lack of an available team was allegedly why the Bella got away the first time. They’ve been hitting drug boats for years.
Agree, along with an FBI rep attached to the team. It was likely a hybrid op, in the sense that the 160th put them on the Bella with AFSOC covering fires.
 
The 3 vessels Russia sent, and one actually was a sub. Now I'm really curious to know what Bella 1 is carrying.

f8zfujp1mxbg1.jpg
 
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Looks like the US didn’t GAF about that Russian deterrent force. Odds are they were electronically suppressed by F/A-18E Growlers and would have had their decks strewn with 30mm and 105mm lead from the heavens if they had tried FAFO Ph.1.
 
How confident are you on the sourcing of that photo? I'm skeptical a sub on this op would be surfaced.

I had that thought after posting, after much searching I went on a dive through the Russian side of the internet that western services don't usually index and found it on a news site in an article published July 14, 2023. So the usual reverse searches missed it.

I was a bit too quick from the hip.
 
I think the photo I posted of the Little Bird is actually from the USCG ship - based on the while guard rails.
 
According to the Miami Herald in October, there were meetings between White House and Chavista officials brokered by, who else, Qatar, to ease Maduro out, make Rodriguez president, kick China out and hand the oil to the US.


The proposals, funneled through intermediaries in Qatar, sought to persuade sectors of the U.S. government that a “Madurismo without Maduro” could enable a peaceful transition in Venezuela—preserving political stability without dismantling the ruling apparatus
According to the sources, Qatari mediators presented to the U.S. two formal proposals this year, one in April and another in September. Both outlined potential governing mechanisms without Maduro in power. In those scenarios, Delcy Rodríguez would serve as the institutional continuity figure, while retired Gen. Miguel Rodríguez Torres, who is currently in exile and is not related to the Rodriguez siblings, would head a transitional government.
 
RFA Tideforce was apparently involved as well, but no specific details given.


British Soccer GIF by 100 Thieves
 
According to the Miami Herald in October, there were meetings between White House and Chavista officials brokered by, who else, Qatar, to ease Maduro out, make Rodriguez president, kick China out and hand the oil to the US.

Venezuela-Austria

Greenland-Munich (The EU will cave and say this is the last one, the only other alternative is to put troops in Greenland and dare the USA to fire)

Canada-Poland
 
Venezuela-Austria

Greenland-Munich (The EU will cave and say this is the last one, the only other alternative is to put troops in Greenland and dare the USA to fire)

“Canada- Poland”



Lots of available radio stations to blame.
 

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