Actually, Brit doesn't have too bad of an idea, IMHO.
If organizing and paying a large number of men in a centralized locationin the western style is impossible given the infrastructure, perhaps it would be a better idea to organize the ANA along the lines of local militias, led by Western advisors in the villiages closely linked via Sat Coms and with a reaction force in the provincial capitals ready to chopper into any trouble spot?
I had an old prof ages ago who fought in Africa. He had some great rules for combatting an insurgency:
1. An attractive alternate political agenda effectively communicated to the population.
2. Effective and reliable rural policing (note: not army)
3. Secure lines of communications.
4. Actionable intelligence.
5. A swift and lethal killing force.
There are others, but you get the idea.
In Afghanistan, I'm not sure we have an effective political agenda that's being effectively communicated. This is, in part, due to the myriad of tribal loyalties, the corruption and (I have to say it) a singular lack of effectiveness on the part of the Afghan government to properly get its message out - if indeed it has a "message".
Where the "militia" idea could be effective is in the rural areas. As Brittany says, a significant Western presence - in leadership roles - would be mandatory and it could not be built on the AMF bag of hammers that we currently have. The Western presence would be there to ensure impartiality and to reduce the massive corruption level. The "militia" would not have to be heavily armed (light weapons, mortars, RPG-7, that sort of thing - perhaps wheeled APCs). Instead, their role would be to:
- ensure local policing (not military action)
- demonstrate authority of the national government
- gather actionable intelligence
- act as the "trigger" for killing force action
- assist with security of lines of communication
The "federal police" (as I'll call it) would be backed up by coalition/Afghani military units strategically located throughout the country. The military would concentrate on:
- providing QRF (likely largely heliborne) forces as the main "killing force"
- providing border security on the ground and operating in the zone along the Pakistani border
- assisting with security of lines of communication
- coordinating strategic assets (intelligence, etc.) and actioning strategic intelligence
For the short term, you're not going to prevent individual acts of terrorism in the centre of the country. Instead concentrate on establishing a valid presence throughout the countryside, displacing the warlords and sorting out the Pakistani border region. Above all, the political agenda has to be valid and communicated effectively in a way Afghans can understand and support.
If any of the above looks familiar, I did a major MA paper on the insurgency in Rhodesia...
The Rhodesians did all the above (with the exception of the intelligence) very effectively, but didn't get the political side sorted out until the very end - when it was too late.
Thinking out loud.
Cheers,
Teddy