So, as I see it, we can get a light force, usefully armed IMO, on the ground in a permissive environment in about a week. Once that force is established it can be built up with reinforcements, at a trickle. It's major problem is that the bigger and heavier the force is the less likely it is that we will be able to recover the force in a timely fashion. Dunkirk 2 would be a problem. Hong Kong 2 would be more likely.
We need sea transport on hand to move the Medium Force. Transport that is virtually identical to that required for the Heavy Force. Strategically then, the Medium Force offers few, if any, advantages over the Heavy Force. There can be considerable debate about the merits of the two forces once they are in theatre. But the first problem we face, having decided we are going to be supplying a Medium Force, is getting the force to an appropriate theatre of our choosing. And executing a recovery when necessary. We may get to choose the where and when of the insertion. They enemy may get to choose the where and when of the withdrawal.
With that need declared the standard solutions are
1. USN/RN large amphibious vessels (Albions and Tarawas)
2. RFA/MSC fleet auxilliaries (Bay Class LSDAs)
3. PPP - Various and includes DFDS RoRo Ferry arrangement with Denmark and Point Class RoRo arrangement with RN (long term charters and leases)
4. STUFT (Shipping Taken Up From Trade) - urgent charters from the market.
We have demonstrated that we are not in the market for Solution 1. The RCN is not in the market for a BHS.
We have relied on urgent charters from the market, as far as I can gather. Solution 4. Has that been successful? Is it appropriate for a retirement in the face of the enemy?
Solution 2 is a possibility but it requires establishing an organization we don't have
Which brings me to the Solution 3, the PPP arrangements.
We have started down that road, it seems to me, with Federal and the Asterix. I have also found out that the ferries on the Atlantic coast and in the Gulf of St Lawrence are also PPP ventures with the vessels being owned by the Government of Canada and operated by local private interests like Marine Atlantic and Bay Ferries. I also discovered that they Yarmouth to Bar Harbor ferry operated by Bay Ferries Ltd is actually owned by the USN Military Sealift Command. She is the original high speed catamaran HST-2 that was taken up from Hawaii Superferry at the instigation of the Marines and spawned 15 vessel T-EPF / JHSV fleet built by Austal.
I think it would be a reasonable suggestion that one of the PPP models be adopted to both improve marine connectivity down the Labrador, with Iqaluit and with Greenland and Iceland.
Iqaluit was actually expecting a RoRo terminal but apparently the Infrastructure Government decided it was too expensive. Personally I think that those types of investments are exactly the investments the Government of Canada should be making. They stake a much more significant claim than an annual snowmobile excursion among the polar bears.
Newspaper of record for Nunavut, and the Nunavik territory of Quebec
nunatsiaq.com
Government builds ships to its specs and charters them out as excess capacity to local operators with the understanding that they can be withdrawn from trade (without disrupting connectivity) in support of Government operations. It wouldn't bother me if the vessels ran empty most of the time - any more than it bothers me to drive along an empty divided highway on the prairies.