Iran Super Thread- Merged

[Kirkhill]

I was just commenting last night how I feel less informed now with all this information available because I have no sense of what is real. And it is worse with all these AI generated pictures and stories.

Now here's a funny thing. And us just talking about information control, reliability and influence affairs. And then this turns up. When the Ayatollahs and the IRGC couldn't control the output from home they pulled the plug on their servers.

And the Scots Nationalists went dark.

Scottish independence accounts go dark after Iran internet blackout

Multiple social media accounts posting on UK politics believed to be linked to Tehran regime

www.telegraph.co.uk

....

I haven't seen our Hamas fellow travellers inour streets recently. Have their sites gone dark as well?

...

Disruption is the goal. That is all.

 

[The Bread Guy]

Are we still talking about Iran? So many autocracies.....

... can't keep 'em sorted without a program these days, right?

Yeah, that is a bit more Rorschach-ian/multi-purpose than I first planned - good catch

 

[brihard]

Not sure any of us have mentioned it in this thread in the past week but it looks like Iran’s currency has essentially completely collapsed on foreign exchange markets. I’m not sure if there even are any still relevant figures on inflation right now given the rapidly developing events.

 

[Mills Bomb]

Not sure any of us have mentioned it in this thread in the past week but it looks like Iran’s currency has essentially completely collapsed on foreign exchange markets. I’m not sure if there even are any still relevant figures on inflation right now given the rapidly developing events.

That's certainly another indicator this could be the real collapse.

If anyone did believe the regime and the currency can recover from this, and it was possible to buy Iranian Rial, you would think financial institutions would take advantage of this and buy it up while it's essentially worthless.

This is looking like it's going to be a massive hyperinflation / humanitarian nightmare for the Iranian people.

 

[Cloud Cover]

Are we still talking about Iran? So many autocracies.....

Don’t get your hopes up…

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Hypocrisy reigns

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011132657816551529

 

[daftandbarmy]

Hypocrisy reigns

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011132657816551529

Retaliation from Trump in 5... 4... 3...

Oh wait, what's this?

The complicated life of Francesca Albanese: A rising figure in Italy but barred from every bank by Trump’s sanctions

The UN special rapporteur for the Palestinian territories has become a leading voice in her country, but she is on a US blacklist as if she were a terrorist and can only use cash

english.elpais.com

 

[OldSolduer]

Hypocrisy reigns

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011132657816551529

I have a word for people like that but it would get me censured if I used it here.
Suffice it to say it’s applicable to females and males.

 

[HavokFour]

Straight out of the al-Assad playbook.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011467581534658627

 

[OldSolduer]

Straight out of the al-Assad playbook.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011467581534658627

Same thing Serbs did to Croats in Vukovar...allegedly

 

[brihard]

Not a ton to base this on yet but I’m reading of both the U.S. and potentially UK pulling non-essential personnel out of Al Udeid airbase in Qatar, likely in anticipation of Iran trying to absolutely flatten it.

This is the kind of indicator I think we’d watch for as strikes become imminent…

Tehran is eight and a half hours ahead of Eastern Time.

 

[daftandbarmy]

Not a ton to base this on yet but I’m reading of both the U.S. and potentially UK pulling non-essential personnel out of Al Udeid airbase in Qatar, likely in anticipation of Iran trying to absolutely flatten it.

This is the kind of indicator I think we’d watch for as strikes become imminent…

An increase in bookings at high end hotels in Paris would also be a pretty good indicator IMHO

Iranian elite reportedly seeking exit strategy
The family of former President Hassan Rouhani and the speaker of Iran’s parliament are among those said to be seeking French visas.

Officials within the Iranian leadership are seeking safe haven in Europe, a French-Iranian journalist told the French press.

“Since precisely 24 hours ago, several personalities from the reformist clan have requested visas. Or at least are attempting, via a Parisian lawyer, to obtain French visas for their families,” Emmanuel Razavi, who specializes in Mideast affairs, told FigaroVox, a site of French paper Le Figaro, on Thursday.

https://www.jns.org/iranian-elite-reportedly-seeking-exit-strategy/

 

[HavokFour]

Not a ton to base this on yet but I’m reading of both the U.S. and potentially UK pulling non-essential personnel out of Al Udeid airbase in Qatar, likely in anticipation of Iran trying to absolutely flatten it.

This is the kind of indicator I think we’d watch for as strikes become imminent…

Tehran is eight and a half hours ahead of Eastern Time.

3 destroyers and a sub have sailed into the region.

U.S. Moves Some Personnel From Qatar Air Base as Trump Weighs Military Response to Iran

Nonessential personnel are being removed from Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the main U.S. air operations hub in the region, as President Trump weighs a military response to Iran’s crackdown on protests.

www.nytimes.com

Archive


The Justice Minister has also just given the Iranian people reason to go all in, little to lose with any leniency off the table. The Kurds were already starting to go kinetic so armed resistance might begin kicking off within the general population now.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2011477689073299599

 

[Kirkhill]

An increase in bookings at high end hotels in Paris would also be a pretty good indicator IMHO

Iranian elite reportedly seeking exit strategy
The family of former President Hassan Rouhani and the speaker of Iran’s parliament are among those said to be seeking French visas.

Officials within the Iranian leadership are seeking safe haven in Europe, a French-Iranian journalist told the French press.

“Since precisely 24 hours ago, several personalities from the reformist clan have requested visas. Or at least are attempting, via a Parisian lawyer, to obtain French visas for their families,” Emmanuel Razavi, who specializes in Mideast affairs, told FigaroVox, a site of French paper Le Figaro, on Thursday.

https://www.jns.org/iranian-elite-reportedly-seeking-exit-strategy/

95 Billion USD in the Ayatollah's estate.

I wonder if the need for cash is another reason for the Free Palestine mobs to have gone quiet. They aren't being paid. And they aren't receiving any instructions since the Ayatollah pulled the plug on the internet.

 

[RangerRay]

An increase in bookings at high end hotels in Paris would also be a pretty good indicator IMHO

Iranian elite reportedly seeking exit strategy
The family of former President Hassan Rouhani and the speaker of Iran’s parliament are among those said to be seeking French visas.

Officials within the Iranian leadership are seeking safe haven in Europe, a French-Iranian journalist told the French press.

“Since precisely 24 hours ago, several personalities from the reformist clan have requested visas. Or at least are attempting, via a Parisian lawyer, to obtain French visas for their families,” Emmanuel Razavi, who specializes in Mideast affairs, told FigaroVox, a site of French paper Le Figaro, on Thursday.

https://www.jns.org/iranian-elite-reportedly-seeking-exit-strategy/

I’d tell them to go to Russia.

 

[Kirkhill]

Game plan...

Herd Khamenei, Assad, Maduro, Putin, Kim and Xi into one location.

CRINK-V

CRINK is driven by the Chinese economy.

How stressed is China now?

Russia is tied down in Ukraine for the forseeable.

North Korea can be managed by the South and Japan.

Iran is struggling.

Venezuela is under caution.
Cuba and Nicaragua are dead letters.
Panama is back in US hands.

Bases are disappearing.
Energy sources are drying up.
Allies are less active internationally.
Info ops may have reached the limits of their effectiveness.

Xi may be struggling to find good news for his politburo.

 

[HavokFour]

Game plan...

Herd Khamenei, Assad, Maduro, Putin, Kim and Xi into one location.

CRINK-V

CRINK is driven by the Chinese economy.

How stressed is China now?

Russia is tied down in Ukraine for the forseeable.

North Korea can be managed by the South and Japan.

Iran is struggling.

Venezuela is under caution.
Cuba and Nicaragua are dead letters.
Panama is back in US hands.

Bases are disappearing.
Energy sources are drying up.
Allies are less active internationally.
Info ops may have reached the limits of their effectiveness.

Xi may be struggling to find good news for his politburo.

We are approaching the tail end of the Davidson Window. April-May and October-November are the short periods every year where the seas are calm enough in the strait to facilitate a shot at Taiwan.

Davidson window - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[HavokFour]

Reportedly 6 Stratotankers have departed Doha, the evacuation of Al-Udeid Air Base may be in full swing.