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Iran Super Thread- Merged

Winged 'em....


The IRGCASF has hit an (probably Israeli) F-35 over central Iran.

The Iranians are not claiming it as shot down, though: damaged, and forced to make an emergency landing 'on one of US facilities in the area'.
AFAIK, this is not even the first such case: only the most serious (concerning F-35s) so far - and the first of which the video was released.


Here's a "video" that the Iranian's released.

Massive grain of salt, remember all the AI images that were released during the strikes last year.

 
Here's a "video" that the Iranian's released.

Massive grain of salt, remember all the AI images that were released during the strikes last year.


How would they have filmed that, from space?

Anyways, looks like there was probably a 'legit hit' somewhere ...

US F-35 damaged by suspected Iranian fire makes emergency landing, sources say​


 
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Hegseth’s ask for 200$ billion USD in extra funding for the Iran war works out to be 20$ million USD per dead Iranian, assuming an additional 10,000 dead.
40$ million USD per dead Iranian if only another 5,000 are killed.


Regardless on your thoughts on the war, it all comes down to dollars, the number of dead and what the acceptable ratio is.
 
Qatar is saying that 17% of their Nat Gas production has been knocked out so far up to a period of 5yrs.


The potential total loss to them is 100$ billion USD over that 5yrs.

Add that into the additional 200$ billion in needed US military costs and those 2 items are a total cost of 300$ billion USD.
The outcome in terms of dollars spent, opportunity lost could surpass 1$ trillion USD.
 
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Reactions: ytz
Hegseth’s ask for 200$ billion USD in extra funding for the Iran war works out to be 20$ million USD per dead Iranian, assuming an additional 10,000 dead.
40$ million USD per dead Iranian if only another 5,000 are killed.


Regardless on your thoughts on the war, it all comes down to dollars, the number of dead and what the acceptable ratio is.

Shooting down cheap drones with expensive munitions is a winning miss match for the Iranians.
 

Asia is paying $150 for oil while Europe and the US are paying $100. They are world's shock absorber soaking up all the inflation. But that won't last. For how they are still getting some deliveries of oil. Whatever is on the water. That wraps up in a week. After that prices go higher. And as they retool for other blends, they will reduce that spread and pass the inflation around.

Qatar is saying that 17% of their Nat Gas production has been knocked out so far up to a period of 5yrs.


The potential total loss to them is 100$ billion USD over that 5yrs.

Add that into the additional 200$ billion in needed US military costs and those 2 items are a total cost of 300$ billion USD.
The outcome in terms of dollars spent, opportunity lost could surpass 1$ trillion USD.

India just announced they plan on tripling solar by 2035. Spain and Germany are providing a good contrast between electrostate and petrostate. Spain's electricity prices are more stable than Germany's right now due to lower proportion of non-fossil electricity. Chinese solar is about to see a boom like we've never seen. No importing country is going to forget this supply shock. Ever. I would temper the enthusiasm for some huge boom for Canadian O&G. Trump is proving everyday how dangerous it is to rely on imported energy.
 
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Curious why we aren't seeing casualty numbers from the Iranian side? Both real and Hamas style inflated ones? I can genuinely say that despite seeing reports about dozens if not hudnreads of strikes plastered all over social media, I haven't seen any that detail civilian casualties, clearly inflated propaganda or otherwise.
 
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