Iran Super Thread- Merged
- Thread starter JasonH
- Start date
- Reaction score
- 7,303
- Points
- 1,260
One of the problems he has is that there's no incentive for the Iranians to quit. They won't disengage. They'll keep holding the Strait hostage. May even keep attacking US forces. If you're the IRGC, this is your moment to leverage concessions.
But I also suspect that he is scared of casualties. He knows what that did to Bush's popularity. He ran against Clinton painting her as a warmonger. And he knows what hell there will be if Democrats sweep the midterms.
So he's trying to square the circle here. Look tough while backing out and not getting blamed for the massive mess being left behind.
But I also suspect that he is scared of casualties. He knows what that did to Bush's popularity. He ran against Clinton painting her as a warmonger. And he knows what hell there will be if Democrats sweep the midterms.
So he's trying to square the circle here. Look tough while backing out and not getting blamed for the massive mess being left behind.
daftandbarmy
Army.ca Fossil
- Reaction score
- 45,022
- Points
- 1,160
Looks like the winds are dropping by this weekend, suitable for parachute operations...
Kharg Island, 06, IR 7 Days Weather - The Weather Network
See the Kharg Island, 06, IR extended weather forecast including feels like temperature, wind gust and chance of rain or snow from TheWeatherNetwork.com
www.theweathernetwork.com
Why in the world would they do it as a parachute drop? If they take those islands it’ll initially be by helicopter airlift, after they’re satisfied they pounded the piss out of any and all defenses. Those air strikes will be the tell it’s about to happen.Looks like the winds are dropping by this weekend, suitable for parachute operations...
Kharg Island, 06, IR 7 Days Weather - The Weather Network
See the Kharg Island, 06, IR extended weather forecast including feels like temperature, wind gust and chance of rain or snow from TheWeatherNetwork.com
McG
Army.ca Legend
- Reaction score
- 5,799
- Points
- 1,260
A token land force to seize a token objective that is isolated from mainland is not a decisive moment. Even with that, we have one member of the administration promising more of the same but harder while the president appears to be laying groundwork for a TACO.
The TACO would be the worst potential outcome for global democracies … I don’t know what the least damaging path for the US itself would be.
The TACO would be the worst potential outcome for global democracies … I don’t know what the least damaging path for the US itself would be.
daftandbarmy
Army.ca Fossil
- Reaction score
- 45,022
- Points
- 1,160
If they actually destroy the infrastructure on Kharg, it loses value as a bargaining chip.
Abandoning the Gulf allies to Iran is the worst outcome for American credibility. A month ago, the Strait was open and safe. Now, it's essentially confirmed as Iranian dominated. The IRGC is confirmed as unremovable. Nightmare for the Gulf States who have to cut a deal basically accepting Iranian primacy over the Strait and the Gulf. They may even be compelled into ending American basing and the petrodollar, when China eventually helps along negotiations.....
