Iran Super Thread- Merged

[Oldgateboatdriver]

Dawg, respectfully youve been saying this for almost a year. "Home by Christmas".

That's an old classic, but they never say Christmas of what year.

 

[brihard]

Saudi linked cargo or vessels are now uninsurable in the Red Sea.

https://www.ft.com/content/52aa89e9-f014-498e-8415-2c435a1c858d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

 

[Czech_pivo]

Saudi linked cargo or vessels are now uninsurable in the Red Sea.

https://www.ft.com/content/52aa89e9-f014-498e-8415-2c435a1c858d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Does that not effectively shut their the shipping of all their oil from the Red Sea ports?

How many days/weeks storage capacity do they have before they have to shut down pumping oil?

 

[YZT580]

Does that not effectively shut their the shipping of all their oil from the Red Sea ports?

How many days/weeks storage capacity do they have before they have to shut down pumping oil?

Does that simply apply to southbound traffic or could they still navigate the Suez?

 

[Furniture]

Dawg, respectfully youve been saying this for almost a year. "Home by Christmas".

The war started at the end of Feb...

 

[brihard]

The war started at the end of Feb...

Yes but the (since largely suppressed) domestic resistance against the Iranian regime predates this current round of combat.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Saudi linked cargo or vessels are now uninsurable in the Red Sea.

https://www.ft.com/content/52aa89e9-f014-498e-8415-2c435a1c858d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

The Gulf States have the fiscal reserves and capability to self insure any vessel willing to do so. The problem may be getting the Gulf States to start putting their own resources on the line.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Does that not effectively shut their the shipping of all their oil from the Red Sea ports?

How many days/weeks storage capacity do they have before they have to shut down pumping oil?

I bet that the proposed pipeline through Iraq/Jordon/Israel or Syria is getting a good hard look at.

 

[Altair]

https://www.axios.com/2026/07/26/hormuz-bombing-pause-trump-iran

The top U.S. military commander in the Middle East, Adm. Brad Cooper, recommended stopping the bombing campaign around the Strait of Hormuz because it has reached the limit of its effectiveness, according to two sources with knowledge of his position.

Why it matters: The recommendation by Cooper, the commander of the U.S. Military Central Command (CENTCOM), together with other advisers impacted President Trump's decision on Friday to pause U.S. strikes against Iran, the sources said.

• It was an acknowledgement by both military and civilian advisers to the president that there are limits to what can be accomplished through military action, and specifically an air power campaign.

Driving the news: For the first time in two weeks, Trump ordered the military to hold fire and not conduct strikes against Iranian targets around the southern coast of Iran and in the Strait of Hormuz area.

• The decision came after a meeting with top advisers and military officials who presented him with a new strike plan for the day.
• In the days before the meeting, Trump had been leaning toward returning to major combat operations, but his mindset started to change on Thursday evening, sources said.
• His decision to pump the brakes on bombing the strait solidified on Friday.

Behind the scenes: Earlier in the week, Admiral Cooper gave his recommendation on the way forward to the Pentagon, the joint chiefs and the White House, the sources said.

• He stressed that the two weeks of strikes in the Strait of Hormuz area had significantly degraded Iran's ability to attack ships.
• Cooper noted that the designated bombing targets had been mostly exhausted.
• The CENTCOM commander said a possible next step would be to resume major combat operations to finish the 20% of targets the U.S. military designated but didn't strike during Operation Epic Fury.
• Absent a decision to return to major combat operations, he stressed there was no point in continuing the bombing campaign of the previous two weeks, the sources said.

Ferdinand Foch would be laughing today.