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Political impacts of Ukraine war

If he joins the Russian army he could potentially face criminal liability under the Foreign Enlistment Act.

The way he said returning to Canada was “risky”, I thought either he’s extremely paranoid and thinks the Canadian government is going to start rounding up Christians, or he may be facing charges of some sort here.

But that would be a problem for him too, should he survive being a human drone target.
 
Russia’s new strategy boiled to two words “war crimes”, Operation Vivaldi, and the Trump-Putin Quid Pro Quo


These business deals are not new—they are part of a longer existing quid pro quo. Why do you think Trump has starved Ukraine of air defense? Why do you think the US government is putting immense pressure on Ukraine to give up more land and territory (even as the Ukrainians are pushing the Russians back)? Why do you think the Trump administration is leaking right and left that it wants to lift sanctions on Russia as soon as it can (gift link to an Atlantic article on this that I also encourage you to read).

Look, to get paid the serious money, the Trump administration needs to get Putin the win Putin wants and the win they want. That is the real Win-Win that Jared Kushner (see above in the NY Times piece) talked about when he did his infamous interview. Indeed, to make it obvious to the even thickest denier, Kushner stated openly that it was Ukrainian obstinance in not surrendering more land and people to Putin that was holding up the deal.

“President Putin's laid out his line of what he wants to achieve. If Ukraine wanted to withdraw to that line, then obviously we have the rest of the deal set up and put together.”
I do not know how or why people are surprised by this. The Trump administration has made the US an accessory to Russian war crimes to enrich cronies and itself. All these stories are doing is confirming this. The dishonesty comes from those who have pretended for 20 months that Trump might actually help Ukraine in any meaningful way.

The real money comes rolling in when Ukraine is shafted. That is what is driving US policy.
 
Ukraine Kill Zone (previously known as the Line of Contact)

700 miles long by 40 miles deep - dominated by Russian and Ukrainian Drones

""Not far from where we are talking today, we have a group that moved through the kill zone, and they will walk four hours just to go 1 kilometer," he said. "Because all the time they hear the drone, and they have to hide and wait. Then the drone passes, and they can move."

"Nightfall doesn't make it any safer to move because the drones have thermal cameras that detect body heat and make it even harder to hide.

""In the night, it's even more dangerous," he said."

 

I think there are a lot of lessons to be learned by NATO in the ongoing and ever evolving EW/Counter-EW side of the Ukraine war.

The drone, called SHOT-L1, can strike targets up to 80 km (50 miles) away and is priced at UAH 416,000 (about $9,300) per unit on the platform. The manufacturer has not been named, and there is no information yet on whether the drone has been codified, the formal approval that admits a product into service with the Ukrainian military.

An operator sends the SHOT-L1 toward the area where a target is believed to be, and once the drone reaches the assigned zone, an onboard system scans it for radio emissions, works out the direction of a detected source and steers the drone onto it automatically. If it picks up several emitters at once, the drone goes for the strongest one, the manufacturer says.


If no active signal turns up within a set time, the drone switches to a backup mission and attacks a fixed ground target chosen before launch.


The SHOT-L1 carries a 4 kg (8.8-pound) payload and cruises at 100 km/h (62 mph) with up to 60 minutes of flight time. It has a thermal camera, an analog video link and a terminal guidance system for the final approach.
 
With the potential of this resulting in a "little green men" situation, I think the chances of Finland mining it's border are ticking ever higher.

“More and more border crossers have a military background, so they are experienced off-roaders and orienteers,” Pitkäniitty said.

He added that many appeared to be fleeing Russia to avoid conscription or military service, while organizations in Russia were helping some people travel west.

“Some may have been on the front line in the Ukrainian war and may have been involved in war crimes,” Pitkäniitty said.

 
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