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Reality Intrudes

couchcommander said:
What connection can you draw between Ukraine, Lebanon, and Iraq? Just to be clear here, the Ukrainian party that won the election ran on a platform that was against involvement in Iraq and the Ukraine is currently withdrawing it's troops from Iraq (it was the old corrupt party that supported involvement in Iraq...)

It's not support for the Iraq action per se; it's support for freedom from tyrrany!  With respect to Ukraine specifically, Bush wore 'the orange tie' (as requested) it signalled US support, which may or may not have been critical, but definitely did nothing to stop the momentum.

Further, the independance movement has been active in Lebanon since '76, and the current tension and withdrawl of Syrian troops was sparked by rumours that it was Syria who assasinated Rafik Hariri.

It might be the case that the American attack on Iraq proved their resolve and has provided further impoteus for Syria to comply with American demands, though I hardly think you can pin all of this on a great spreading tide of "freedom" at the hands of American liberators. As you posted in one of your other threats a_majoor, "people power" is the driving force, not American tanks. It just goes to show you don't need to invade a country to have positive change happen....

Why not climb down from our ivory tower and ask the leader of the Lebanese freedom movement?

"... The leader of this Lebanese intifada is Walid Jumblatt, the patriarch of the Druze Muslim community and, until recently, a man who accommodated Syria's occupation. ...

  "It's strange for me to say it, but this process of change has started because of the American invasion of Iraq," explains Jumblatt. "I was cynical about Iraq. But when I saw the Iraqi people voting three weeks ago, 8 million of them, it was the start of a new Arab world." Jumblatt says this spark of democratic revolt is spreading. "The Syrian people, the Egyptian people, all say that something is changing. The Berlin Wall has fallen. We can see it.""

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A45575-2005Feb22.html (or course you are entitled to your own opinion)
 
I, myself, don't doubt that American support for demoracy in the middle east has had some positive effects. Having the worlds superpower behind your movement will give it credibility. I am just not entirely convinced that the american invasion of Iraq has actually helped spread democracy at all (despite what Walid Jumblatt says, the course of events speaks a different story, notably the largest rally of them all taking place today exactly after a month after Hariri was killed, demanding an inquiry into the matter. ). Democracy was and is taking root in these nations on their own volition, not BECAUSE of American involvement in the region, which may (and I am not saying that it is, just saying maybe) be actually retarding this growth (by pissing people off).
 
a: How you would define "improvement"?

Let's look at the long term impacts on Iraq, monitor any significant changes in the HDI standing for the nation and see how quality of life indicators demonstrate, if possible, the the day to day existance of an ordinary Iraqi is improving. 


 
CivU said:
a: How you would define "improvement"?

Let's look at the long term impacts on Iraq, monitor any significant changes in the HDI standing for the nation and see how quality of life indicators demonstrate, if possible, the the day to day existance of an ordinary Iraqi is improving. 

Go to the top of page 40 (sheesh!): http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf
 
couchcommander said:
Democracy was and is taking root in these nations on their own volition, not BECAUSE of American involvement in the region, which may (and I am not saying that it is, just saying maybe) be actually retarding this growth (by pissing people off).

Just like Ray-Gun perpetuated the Soviet regime, eh?
 
Sounds like a good plan CivU. Now no more posting until you have the long term data compiled! ;D

Seriously, I understand what you are saying, but I question your sources. Are you basing your opinion on what you read/see in mainstream media? I ask because most of what I have read from primary sources (i.e. people living and working on the ground right now) tell a far different story from what I read in most media sources.  

In the meantime here is a link you might want to check out. Although it probably doesn't help your argument much it does a pretty good job of detailing the progress on the ground.

http://chrenkoff.blogspot.com/2005/03/good-news-from-iraq-part-23.html
 
CivU said:
a: How you would define "improvement"?

Let's look at the long term impacts on Iraq, monitor any significant changes in the HDI standing for the nation and see how quality of life indicators demonstrate, if possible, the the day to day existance of an ordinary Iraqi is improving.  

Sorry to inject real life into your picture-perfect world of schoolbooks...But things are just a little bit harder than that in reality. It takes far more time to build than to tear down, sometimes it has to get worse before it gets better.

Now I have something else to say to you and I'm posting it publicly because all the "friendly warnings" you've gotten from PM's has not sunken in...

I'm going to strongly suggest that you reign it in a bit and consider that you've never been to the area that you're busy lecturing us about, and from what I can see, have far less experience dealing with these issues than some of the folks you're speaking to here, both on the forum and in this thread.

thus far you haven't displayed anything but smug superiority to anyone on the site. I for one, think its rather rude and disrespectful to the others who come here for good discussion. (whether military or not)
Its high time that your attitude change as, personally I'm sick of getting complaints all regarding your posts and the way you "address" others, myself included.

If you want to continue posting here, regardless of your opinion (which is welcome, believe it or not) you will need to lose the attitude. Consider this a fair warning.

The ball's in your court.

Slim
 
CivU said:
As far as the correct approach to foreign policy...how about no approach at all.   It is much easier to not invade a country unilaterally than to participate in the quagmire that has become of Iraq.   This was the approach that most nations took on the issue.   And Iraq, as an experiment, as I stated earlier, has yet to show tangible improvements.   The election worked best as a means of ostensibly finalizing the campaign and relegating the issues on the ground to A17 of the daily paper.  

Wow, that was friggen creative.   Do nothing.

So you dispute the invasion of Iraq, which is debatable (but as you've asserted, by no means declared "right" or "wrong" yet).

But do you argue this approach at the strategic level as well?   Should the US-led coalition (which is most of the West, despite disagreement on tactical approaches like Iraq) "do nothing" with regards to the Middle East?   I would assume this would mean disengagement and removing any support for Israel (and Western-friendly figures like Mubarak of Egypt, Abdullah II of Jordan, and Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia).   This is the impression I'm getting, especially with regards to your general tone whenever US Foreign Policy is mentioned (hegemon and imperialist come to mind).

Or even if we "put our foot in the door" with regards to going into Afghanistan, would you have us sit on the periphery of Dar al Islam and avoid contact with the strategic "center of gravity" of rabid Islamic fundamentalism?   That is really taking a proactive approach - I would consider it akin to remaining in North Africa after throwing the Germans out and doing nothing about Europe.

If this is what you're supporting, I'd like to see some sort of arguement on how this would benefit our interests in the West in particular or the international community as a whole in general

You may condemn attacks on the US approach to foreign policy, but it is just as easy to hop on the GW Bush bandwagon as it is to throw tomatoes as it passes by...

I don't get how you're bringing the "GW bandwagon" into this.   By doing so, you're displaying an affinity for selective memory of recent history.   The Clinton Administration was very proactive in the Middle East, lobbing Tomahawks around, threatening to invade Iraq (actually mobilizing troops to do so once in the early 1990's, IIRC), and adding to the general roar in labelling Saddam Hussein as a threat that needed to be removed (I've posted the quotes from Albright and Co. frequently around here).

US Foreign Policy has been quite assertive in the Middle East since the first Gulf War, regardless of administration; 9/11 only served as a catalyst in what was a general trend.

Reading your counterclaim of "do nothing" combined with an attempt to side-track the debate with a reference towards the current US Administration leads me to believe that you haven't really put much critical thought into the issue - rather you're just running with some sort of typical "Amerika sux" attitude combined with whatever Michael Moore or the University Sociology Department gave you.

Keep trying.
 
How do you explain the myopia (and futility) of advocating American Isolationism without running afoul of Godwin's Law?
 
I_am_John_Galt

That poll is hardly a resounding endorsement for the improvement of the situation in Iraq, it appears as though there is certainly little consensus on the present position.  I also question the validity of a poll conducted in such a destabilized country, how do the findings represent remote regions, marginalized groups, etc.

Andyboy

I guess there are discrepencies between media and individual accounts.  I have read nothing however that demonstrates that things have improved consideradbly in quality of life or indicators that I mentioned, but as I stated, I believe we need to see in the long term whether it works out either for or against...too early to tell?

Slim

Your continually, as an individual, getting worked up over my contributions to the discussion.  I'm not sure if it has to do with a disparity in opinion, but I have been respectful when treated with respect and will continue to do so.  Your paternalism is as condescending as anything I have had to say...

Infanteer

By do nothing I mean do nothing unilaterally.  Multilateral engagements, such as Afghanistan, have shown a considerable degree of success.  In studies I read regarding human development indicators in the country they showed considerable improvement, when recordable, over pre-invasion.  But, as one journal piece stated, Afghanistan is not Iraq.  As I said before, some countries chose the do nothing approach over the Coalition of the Willing debacle...

As far as an America sucks attitude, I don't think I'm the only person here who disagrees with their foreign policy agenda; however, those are neither products of Michael Moore, who I have spoke poorly of on here, or Sociology, which has no bearing on the discussion but appears your whipping boy.  My approach is the result of numerous streams and disciplines relating to issues of the history and current critical debate on foreign policy.

 
CivU said:
By do nothing I mean do nothing unilaterally.   Multilateral engagements, such as Afghanistan, have shown a considerable degree of success.   In studies I read regarding human development indicators in the country they showed considerable improvement, when recordable, over pre-invasion.   But, as one journal piece stated, Afghanistan is not Iraq.   As I said before, some countries chose the do nothing approach over the Coalition of the Willing debacle...

Getting warmer, but I fail to see how you are considering the US action in Iraq "Unilateral".  

Who went in?

USA, Britain, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Ukraine, Poland and a host of smaller countries.   Japan and South Korea contributed as well.

Who abstained?

Canada, France, Germany, Russia, China and a host of smaller countries.

Clearly, this is not "Unilateral" in the sense that the US "went in alone".   There are many countries on both sides of the fence and these countries have a variety of reasons for ending up where they did.   "Appeasing the US" is about as good as "Continuing to make profit off of Iraq and Saddam".   I don't think anyone states rationale for the path they took is altruistic or simplistic.

Or do you mean "Unilateral" in terms of not waiting for the UN?   Well, I suppose that is a different issue altogether, not hinging on US Foreign Policy but on the issue that numerous nations chose not to await UN (in)decision on the issue and have done so successfully in the past (Kosovo).   Waiting for a concensus in the world of competing interests and rivalry is a waste of energy.   I imagine WWII would have been spectacular if Britain and France had awaited League of Nations backing (or, perhaps the support of the US and the Soviet Union instead) prior to declaring war on Germany.

So, you're willing to support Afghanistan, which is a result of hegemonic and jingoistic US Foreign policy (remember the protests when they went in there?).   Now what?   Again, we sit on the periphery of Dar al Islam and do nothing?   Do you think the US, which holds the title (by nature of its position) of Target #1, is willing to hedge its security on a passive approach that requires the international community (I guess this means France, Germany, and China, right?) to come around and figure out what's best?

I'm still not seeing any proactive solutions here - just some dithering with a "do nothing" approach.
 
I thought I'd wade in here, the water seems warm....

In the past, I have been very vocal in my criticism of the War in Iraq, specifically with regards to the invasion and the justification for war. I have levelled similar criticisms as CivU has, and debated with I_Am_John_Galt, Brad Sallows, Infanteer, et all ad naseum. I found, at the time, the debate to be enjoyable and I actually learned a thing or two.

I now see the debate on the invasion, WMD, 'just war', etc to be pretty much irrelevant. That doesn't mean I take back every criticism I have posted here (although I wish I could take back some of them), but in the end, it doesn't really matter. Iraq has more pressing matters than whether or not they were invaded justly. There is still a pretty significant security problem in Baghdad, the infrastructure still needs work, there is the transfer of power to the newly elected government, etc. There was a time when the debate of the validity of the invasion was timely, namely from just prior to the invasion to around 10 months ago when it became clear that the US led force was not going to be ousted from Iraq.

The US is there, rightly or not, so crying foul is pointless. A discussion on the rebuilding of Iraq, the transfer of power, the development of Iraq's new Army/Security forces, etc is much more relavant. In fact, the situation in Lebanon has more bearing on the future quality of life of Iraqis than a discussion on the validity of the Iraq invasion. Same goes for the situation in Iran and Syria.

So go ahead, CivU, debate till you are blue in the face. I may support some of your points, but it's an exercise in futility.
 
CivU said:
My approach is the result of numerous streams and disciplines relating to issues of the history and current critical debate on foreign policy.

You were who Professor Douglas Ross (Department of Political Science, Simon Fraser University) was describing when he wrote:  "Canadian public opinion meanwhile remains essentially naïve, uninformed and self-absorbed to the point of narcissistic isolationism." 

I'm suprised you and your ego can fit in the same space....



Matthew.  ::)
 
Slim

Your continually, as an individual, getting worked up over my contributions to the discussion.  I'm not sure if it has to do with a disparity in opinion, but I have been respectful when treated with respect and will continue to do so.  Your paternalism is as condescending as anything I have had to say...

CIVU

Well that's just it...They're not contributions at all are they?! You are very condecending  to other members of this board and do not trreat anyone here with anything but casual distain...Almost as if you are too good for this forum and the people in it. Is that the case?

...Lose the attitude.
 
CivU said:
I_am_John_Galt

That poll is hardly a resounding endorsement for the improvement of the situation in Iraq, it appears as though there is certainly little consensus on the present position.  I also question the validity of a poll conducted in such a destabilized country, how do the findings represent remote regions, marginalized groups, etc.

Interesting interpretation and refutation.

Cdn Blackshirt said:
You were who Professor Douglas Ross (Department of Political Science, Simon Fraser University) was describing when he wrote: "Canadian public opinion meanwhile remains essentially naïve, uninformed and self-absorbed to the point of narcissistic isolationism."

I'm not sure whether to laugh or to cry ...

CivU said:
My approach is the result of numerous streams and disciplines relating to issues of the history and current critical debate on foreign policy.

Perhaps you should enumerate some of these 'streams and disciplines' for the benefit of those of us not blessed with the omnipotence of the intelligentsia.
 
Caesar said:
I now see the debate on the invasion, WMD, 'just war', etc to be pretty much irrelevant. That doesn't mean I take back every criticism I have posted here (although I wish I could take back some of them), but in the end, it doesn't really matter. Iraq has more pressing matters than whether or not they were invaded justly. There is still a pretty significant security problem in Baghdad, the infrastructure still needs work, there is the transfer of power to the newly elected government, etc. There was a time when the debate of the validity of the invasion was timely, namely from just prior to the invasion to around 10 months ago when it became clear that the US led force was not going to be ousted from Iraq.

The US is there, rightly or not, so crying foul is pointless. A discussion on the rebuilding of Iraq, the transfer of power, the development of Iraq's new Army/Security forces, etc is much more relavant. In fact, the situation in Lebanon has more bearing on the future quality of life of Iraqis than a discussion on the validity of the Iraq invasion. Same goes for the situation in Iran and Syria.

Sounds about right to me, Caesar.  Regardless if one views America as "Bearer of Democracy" or as "Imperialist Hegemon" (or as most of us with a head on our shoulders see it, somewhere in between) the fact is that they are in Iraq right now and it seems to be in the interests of most decent people to see success in the region.  Sitting back and crying poopoo because of the way the American coalition got there does nothing to help either the operational situation (seeing Iraq change for the better) or the strategic situation (seeing real change in how the Middle East conducts itself on the world stage).

We are not doing our neighbours or the War on Terror any favour by sitting back and playing the "Moral Highground - wait for the UN to decide" game before we offer even political support towards the campaign in Iraq.  Seems as if "doing nothing" is a sound strategy right now, doesn't it?
 
Infanteer said:
We are not doing our neighbours or the War on Terror any favour by sitting back and playing the "Moral Highground - wait for the UN to decide" game before we offer even political support towards the campaign in Iraq.   Seems as if "doing nothing" is a sound strategy right now, doesn't it?

"Yes, but if we actually stopped whining, stomping our feet, and making statements of 'moral responsiblity', we might actually have to DO something, and you know, ACT. It's so much easier to abstain out of priniciple and avoid responsibilty for failure, even if it means giving up credit for success. Who cares if our best friend asked for our help? He acted like a dick, so we should sit here and let him fix the problem. Never mind that he is our primary client, and we his, teaching our friend a lessen is way more important than our financial health. We'll show him! Were doing this for the poor soul he's beating up...it's so unfair! You want us to actually help the poor lad? No. We didn't start it, we'll let our buddy sort it out. But don't misunderstand, we care about the poor boy, just not enough to step in and help pick him up. Our friend understands. I hope we're still invited to his party next week....."
 
Caesar said:
"Yes, but if we actually stopped whining, stomping our feet, and making statements of 'moral responsiblity', we might actually have to DO something, and you know, ACT. It's so much easier to abstain out of priniciple and avoid responsibilty for failure, even if it means giving up credit for success. Who cares if our best friend asked for our help? He acted like a dick, so we should sit here and let him fix the problem. Never mind that he is our primary client, and we his, teaching our friend a lessen is way more important than our financial health. We'll show him! Were doing this for the poor soul he's beating up...it's so unfair! You want us to actually help the poor lad? No. We didn't start it, we'll let our buddy sort it out. But don't misunderstand, we care about the poor boy, just not enough to step in and help pick him up. Our friend understands. I hope we're still invited to his party next week....."

Lol.... :)

Glorified Ape said:
I'm sure that's how the "Jihadis" see it too.

You're most likely correct.   I refuse to put conflicts into some "Good" and "Evil" boxes - people on each side see themselves and their cause as "good".   I feel that "Evil" only exists on the plane of Warhammer and Dungeons and Dragons, where factions recognize their cause as evil and pursue it for that reason....(I always wanted to fit those games into a political discussion... :D).

That being said, how does one decide where to place their energy and support?   Who to support if nothing ever lives up to the altruistic aims it holds as its ideals?   I would (and do) approach it in a bit of a rough Mill-esque Utilitarian approach.

No political or social system will ever provide everyone with satisfaction.   People will always slip through the cracks and many will never be happy with their lot in life.   The way I see it, one should look to what systems provide the greatest amount of good for the greatest amount of people.   As I said, the analysis is always rough, injustice will inevitably occur, and when you got down to smaller levels of community, divergence and reevaluation of what constitutes "good" can occur.

But basically, one can hold some sort of Hobbesian definition of "natural law" as a universal constant of how to compare social systems:

"The right of nature, which writers commonly call jus naturale, is the liberty each man hath to use his own power as he will himself for the preservation of his own nature; that is to say, of his own life; and consequently, of doing anything which, in his own judgement and reason, he shall conceive to be the aptest means thereunto."

People, for the most part, really just want to live in peace, raise a family, and not have to worry about getting killed.   Throw religion into this, and it is unchanging - people want to live their lives in peace as good children of God/Allah/Jehovah/etc/etc and make it to the afterlife (for which, Tolerance is required).

You can apply this basic model and see that Democracy, although far from perfect, has done a far better job of providing these goods in the greatest amount to the greatest number of people.   Looking at fascism, communism, and absolutism in the 20th century, they simply didn't make the cut.   I look at the condition most people in the Middle East are in and I can make the same judgement; people under autocratic dictatorships or fundamentalist theocracies don't get to pursue a basic law of nature to the extent that they can under a more liberal social system.   Sure, some may prosper (the mullahs, the sheiks), but most don't, and end up being victimized in something approaching Hobbes' State of Nature (They have no legitimate covenant with the Leviathan, so they instead becomes victims of it).

Call it Westernism gone rampant, closed-mindedness, or an inability to see through others eyes if you want, but I think the proof is in the pudding by the fact that Iranian students continually push for reform, immigrants flock to instead of from the West, and most of the world's prosperity lies within societies which structure their systems around liberal democratic principles (I'm not talking about prosperity in terms of material goods, I'm talking about prosperity in terms of QOL, education, food, and relative peace and security - factors that support Hobbes' First Law).

Until a system that comes about that replaces the liberal democratic order in Utilitarian terms, I really care not for "Jihadis" who see us as interfearing with their "profit and personal pleasure" because the profit and personal pleasure benefits few at the expense of women (who are shunted away), outsiders (who are regarded as idolaters), and society in general (who have no choice in many of the aspects of life - if they derivate, they are beheaded).   I have no doubt that we will often go afoul with many of our policies in the West - to err is human - but I have no compunction against claiming that, in the long run, the path we are taking is as good as it gets.
 
Is that the case?

No...it isn't. However, you chose to treat my comments with disdain, and I do so to yours accordingly...

Blackshirt, are you not Canadian? Where does that place your opinion?

Infanteer, unilateral in the sense that they went in without United Nations or NATO support.

 
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