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The cost of food: facts and figures - BBC

Load Up the Pantry


I don't want to alarm anybody, but maybe it's time for Americans to start stockpiling food.

No, this is not a drill.

You've seen the TV footage of food riots in parts of the developing world. Yes, they're a long way away from the U.S. But most foodstuffs operate in a global market. When the cost of wheat soars in Asia, it will do the same here.

Reality: Food prices are already rising here much faster than the returns you are likely to get from keeping your money in a bank or money-market fund. And there are very good reasons to believe prices on the shelves are about to start rising a lot faster.

"Load up the pantry," says Manu Daftary, one of Wall Street's top investors and the manager of the Quaker Strategic Growth mutual fund. "I think prices are going higher. People are too complacent. They think it isn't going to happen here. But I don't know how the food companies can absorb higher costs." (Full disclosure: I am an investor in Quaker Strategic)

Stocking up on food may not replace your long-term investments, but it may make a sensible home for some of your shorter-term cash. Do the math. If you keep your standby cash in a money-market fund you'll be lucky to get a 2.5% interest rate. Even the best one-year certificate of deposit you can find is only going to pay you about 4.1%, according to Bankrate.com. And those yields are before tax.
More on link.


Yeah it's American and such, but still a good read.

Also, I have read on some other sites that the U.S. Gov has bought the whole Mountain House stock they recently had come in, and after looking at their site, they have very litte of anything left to sell. Kind of odd, don't ya think?

I'm going to fire off an email to them today, see what they have to say about that.

Baker
 
The food crisis begins to bite

The food crisis begins to bite

Rioting in Haiti. Rationing in America. Queues in Egypt. Protests in Afghanistan. As the price of food continues to soar, the impact is being felt by people around the globe

By Jerome Taylor and Andrew Buncombe
Friday, 25 April 2008


CHINA


The roaring economy and an ever expanding middle class have had a particularly profound effect on food prices, particularly rice and wheat. Because of industrialisation, rice planting fell from 33 million hectares in 1983 to 29 million by 2006 and China now imports more than ever, placing a major strain on international supplies. Despite freezing prices, rampant inflation means the cost of food has risen by 21 per cent this year.

USA

In a land where supposedly the rich are thin and the poor are overweight, one of the largest cash and carry stores, Sam's Club, announced this week it would limit customers to take home a maximum of four bags of rice. The move came a day after Costco Wholesale Corp, the biggest US warehouse-club operator, limited bulk rice purchases in some stores and warned that customers had begun stockpiling certain goods.

NORTH KOREA

Even during times of relative stability, North Korea has shown itself to be inept at feeding its population. During the 1990s a famine caused by poor harvests killed an estimated two to three million people. On Wednesday the World Food Programme warned that the country could again be plunged into famine because of the spiralling cost of rice and there was an estimated shortfall of 1.6 million tons of rice and wheat.

EGYPT

Up to 50 million Egyptians rely on subsidised bread and this year Cairo has estimated it will cost $2.5bn. But with the price of wheat rocketing in the past year there are fears the country has plunged into a "bread crisis". Queues are now double the length they were a year ago. Inflation hit 12.1 per cent in February with prices for dairy goods up 20 per cent and cooking oils 40 per cent

VENEZUELA

Latin American countries were some of the first nations to voice their concern at rising wheat prices, particularly after thousands of people in Mexico took to the streets at the beginning of 2007 to take part in the so-called "Tortilla Protests". This week the presidents of Bolivia, Nicaragua and Cuba's vice-president flew to Caracas to announce a joint $100m scheme to combat the impact of rising food prices on the region's poor.

BRAZIL

On Wednesday Brazil became the latest major rice producer to temporarily suspend exports because of soaring costs and domestic shortages. In recent weeks Latin American countries and African nations have asked for up to 500,000 tons of rice from Brazil which will now not be delivered. Brazil's agricultural ministry has said it has to ensure that the country has at least enough rice reserves to last the next six to eight months.

IVORY COAST

Some of the worst instability resulting from high food prices has been felt in West Africa. One person was killed and dozens were injured last month as riots tore through Ivory Coast after the prices of meat and wheat increased by 50 per cent within a week. Ivorian President Laurent Gbagbo was forced to cut taxes to halt the disorder. Violent protests have also broken out in Cameroon, Burkina Faso and Senegal.

AFGHANISTAN

There have been street protests about the soaring cost of food in a country almost entirely reliant on imports of wheat. Already utterly impoverished, the plight of Afghans has worsened because Pakistan has cut its regular flour supply. The government has sought to assure citizens that there is sufficient food and has set aside $50m for additional imports. The price of wheat has risen by around 60 per cent in the last year.

THAILAND

The price of rice in the world's largest exporter rose to $1,000 a ton yesterday and experts warned that it will continue to rise. This is because of the massive demand from the Philippines which is struggling to secure supplies after India and several other producers halted exports. The government has said it can meet the export requests. Indonesia has said it is withholding purchases for a year because prices are so high.

EAST AFRICA

Hundreds of thousands of poor Africans in Uganda and Sudan are to lose out on a vital source of food after one of the world's largest humanitarian organisations said it was cutting aid to 1.5m people. Dave Toycen, president of World Vision Canada, blamed soaring costs and countries failing to live up to aid commitments for the fact that the number of people the charity can help will fall by almost a quarter.

INDIA

The country as added to the problems facing many countries in the region by halting its export of rice, except for its premium basmati product. This has left countries normally reliant on Indian exports, such as the Philippines, searching for alternative supplies. India has more than half of the world's hungriest people and its priority is to safeguard domestic supply. But it too has watched as the cost of food has soared, not just rice but cooking oil, pulses and even vegetables. India has this year forecast a record grain harvest but experts warned farm productivity will have to rise much faster if the nation is to feed its 1.1bn people and avoid a food security crisis. Around two-thirds of India's population are dependent on agriculture for their livelihoods but agriculture is growing much more slowly than the overall economy.

HAITI

The poorest country in the Western hemisphere has seen a three to four-fold increase in the number of so-called boat people trying to leave because of food shortages. Already gripped by wretched poverty, the food crisis triggered riots that led to the death of six people. Haiti's wretched food security situation is a result of "liberalisation measures" forced on the country after former president Jean-Bertrand Aristide was returned to power.

THE PHILIPPINES

The government has been desperately trying to secure alternative sources of rice to counteract the decision of a number of nations to halt rice exports. The country's National Food Authority, which handles rice imports for the government, has now said it plans to increase imports 42 per cent to 2.7m tons this year. This could cost $1.3bn if it does not increase the price of the subsidised rice it is selling to people. But the Philippines is responsible for producing 85 per cent of its own food and international experts believe the country will handle this crisis. The government has also been encouraging consumers and even fast food restaurants to be more frugal and be careful not to waste food. The government is confident it will be able to source sufficient supplies from Vietnam and Thailand.

EUROPE

Less vulnerable to food price fluctuations than emerging nations, but food prices across Europe have nonetheless increased. In Britain wholesale prices of food have increased by 7.4 per cent over the past 12 months, roughly three times the headline rate of inflation. According to the government's own statistics grocery bills have gone up by an average of £750 over the same period, the equivalent of a 12 per cent rise.

Intresting, to say the least.
Baker
 
It is amazing how all these past few decades the greatest fear was a nuclear exchange.  Now we are tottering on the edge of the anarchy due to a worldwide inflation in food prices...
 
How about a made in Canada crisis?

http://stevejanke.com/archives/261260.php?utm_medium=RSS

Stephane Dion: Higher taxes make Canadian food more appealing

Maybe there is a subtlety to the economic principles involved that I'm not getting.  But according to Stephane Dion, if I force a Canadian farmer to pay more in taxes, he'll be selling more produce than a foreign farmer who pays none of those taxes.

Liberal Party leader Stephane Dion is a visionary.  That is to say, he sees visions.  Well, to put it more bluntly, he's seeing things.  He thinks a tax on Canadian carbon emissions will make Canadian produce more cost competitive:

    Putting a price on carbon emissions will lead to a more restrained use of oil, gas and coal and even help stock the shelves of Canadian supermarkets with goods produced by local farmers, says federal Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion. He was in Peterborough April 24 visiting Trent University’s Water Quality Centre and holding a town hall meeting at RE* on George Street.

Why don't supermarkets stock shelves with local grown foods already?  Why cut into the profit margins by importing food from the US or South America when the food was always right here?

If the food is just around the corner, then why not put that on the shelves?

Clearly one of two reasons:

  1. The food is not around the corner.
  2. The food is not cheaper.


Of course, not every food on the shelf can even be grown locally.  This is, quite literally, an apples and oranges comparison.  We don't grow oranges in Canada -- the climate is not suited for it.

So take oranges, and point (1), off the table.  Consider only apples, and point (2).

Why import apples?  Well, first off, plenty of Ontario produce (apples included) is already on the shelves.  We don't need to tax carbon emissions to make that happen.

But would a tax on carbon emissions put more Canadian products on the shelves?

First off, if a food is seasonal, it will be available when it's available, and no tax can change that.  We import food in large part to keep shelves stocked during the local off season.  Apples from South America might be more expensive because of Stephane Dion's tax increase, but that won't make Ontario apple trees blossom in the middle of the winter.  Or any other fruit tree, for that matter.

And second, just how much can Stephane Dion expect his tax to affect the cost of a South American apple?  It is grown and picked on a farm in South America, sorted and trucked to a ship, and brought to port in Halifax.  At that point, it is put on a Canadian truck and brought to the market.

So the last leg of the journey will cost more because of Stephane Dion's tax on the carbon emissions made by the Canadian truck driver. But the total cost of the apple includes the cost of the farming and fertilizing and picking and sorting and shipping that happened prior to its arriving in Canada.

Somehow, I can't see how Stephane Dion's tax can affect that.  I suppose Stephane Dion's Liberals could calculated the carbon footprint of that process, and slap an equivalent carbon tariff on the products at the point it is imported, but I doubt that would be legal.

At the end of the day, Stephane Dion's carbon tax could only apply to Canadians.

When you think about it, it is likely to make Canadian foods more expensive!

The Canadian farmer pays for Stephane Dion's carbon tax on the fuel he buys for his tractor, on the carbon footprint associated with the fertilizer, for the wages he pays to his workers who drive to the farm and so now want to be paid more to afford the cost of gas, and so on and so forth.

The South American farmer pays none of those costs.  Sure the South American product has to be shipped, but I'm sure shipping magnates like former Liberal leader Paul Martin know how to keep those costs under control even as fuel costs rise.  The first thing Martin has to do to make sure that ships are not registered in Canada, so that Stephane Dion's carbon tax can't be applied.  Oh wait, the international fleet of Paul Martin's Canadian Steamship Lines were all re-flagged through the 1990s, thus ensuring that Stephane Dion's hoped-for carbon tax will be paid by other Canadians, and not directly affect Paul Martin's profits.

Rising fuel costs will make imported food more expensive.  Rising fuel costs will also make locally grown foods more expensive, but it is possible that with less distance to market, local foods could be more competitive (which only matters if the competition is head-to-head, and that only happen when the growing seasons coincide).  Put a carbon tax just on Canadian fuel consumption, though, and you're just as likely to have erased any price advantage Canadian farmers had when competing for shelf-space in a Canadian supermarket.

Food will cost more.  Less will be sold as Canadians make do with less as Stephane Dion's  carbon tax increases the price of everything.  Farmers will pay more to run their operations, and sell less of their more expensive product to Canadians struggling with less money to spend on food.

Stephane Dion for a hungrier, poorer Canada!
 
Good article!


(He) is a visionary.  That is to say, he sees visions.  Well, to put it more bluntly, he's seeing things. 

And that's a brilliant phrasing of words...
 
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