- Reaction score
- 147
- Points
- 710
A ray of light in the dark defile
The Western alliance is in trouble in Afghanistan. But France is ready to help take on the Taliban, and others still want to join NATO (look at the charts, read the whole piece)
The Economist, March 27
http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=10919203&fsrc=nwlptwfree
Mark
Ottawa
The Western alliance is in trouble in Afghanistan. But France is ready to help take on the Taliban, and others still want to join NATO (look at the charts, read the whole piece)
The Economist, March 27
http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=10919203&fsrc=nwlptwfree
ANOTHER fighting season beckons in Afghanistan, and the strain is beginning to tell. Many European countries are weary of the war, America is growing tired of reluctant allies and Afghans are becoming disenchanted. Still, NATO says it retains the initiative: the Taliban have been forced to abandon set-piece battles in favour of “asymmetric” suicide-bombs.
This is brave talk. Last year was the bloodiest yet, with more than 230 Western soldiers killed. Opium-poppy production is at a record high, financing the Taliban and corrupting the government in Kabul. The old truth of counter-insurgency still holds: armies can win every battle, yet lose the will to fight an intractable war.
Paddy Ashdown, the British politician and ex-commando who was nearly appointed as the United Nations' envoy to Kabul, makes the point by quoting “Arithmetic on the Frontier”, a poem by Rudyard Kipling describing the British empire's troubles fighting Afghan tribesmen armed with the jezail, a home-made musket:
In such a fight against a weaker but elusive enemy, says Kipling, “the odds are on the cheaper man”...
http://whitewolf.newcastle.edu.au/words/authors/K/KiplingRudyard/verse/vol1/arithmeticfrontier.html
...out of the gloom comes some hope, in the dashing form of Nicolas Sarkozy. Despite the Bush administration's unpopularity in Europe, the French president has gone out of his way to befriend America and wants France to rejoin NATO's integrated military structure, from which de Gaulle withdrew in 1966. Even better, French forces hitherto deployed in Kabul seem ready to fight the Taliban. Mr Sarkozy is expected to announce in Bucharest the deployment of about 1,000 French soldiers alongside the Americans in eastern Afghanistan. This would release some American forces to move to Kandahar, keep the Canadians in Afghanistan and, perhaps, encourage others to do more.
A further measure of support may come from another unexpected quarter: Russia. For all the Kremlin's rage about NATO enlargement and American missile defences in Europe, President Vladimir Putin has been invited to Bucharest, where he may sign an agreement opening up air and land routes through Russia to supply NATO forces in Afghanistan...
Within Europe, only Britain and France (both nuclear powers) have a tradition of wielding military force far afield. But these days both are struggling with overstretched equipment budgets. Whether because of national pride, incompatible priorities or the desire to prop up domestic industries, European defence spending is fragmented and duplicative. A study for the European Parliament in 2006 found that Europeans operate four models of tanks, compared with one in America; 16 kinds of armoured vehicles compared with three American ones; 11 types of frigates versus one in America. The NATO Response Force (NRF), a 25,000-strong package of land, sea and air contingents meant to be ready for action at five days' notice, was supposed to help transform static European armies into nimbler forces. But barely a year after the NRF was declared operational, NATO admits the Europeans are too stretched to meet its requirements.
With deployments in the Balkans, the Middle East and Africa, many European countries are close to the limit of what they can sustain in terms of overseas operations. A NATO source reckons that, short of all-out war, only 10,000 more troops can be squeezed out of Europe. Helicopters fit for war zones are scarce everywhere. Any hope of a big increase in military resources in Afghanistan must await a reduction of American forces in Iraq...
Mark
Ottawa
