KANDAHAR CITY, Afghanistan — Canada has come closer to working out an effective relationship between soldiers and civilians in Afghanistan than any other country in the world, according to a U.S. diplomat.
Bill Harris, the top U.S. diplomat in southern Afghanistan, believes that “people will write dissertations” one day about a Canadian-led Provincial Reconstruction Team he describes as a “wildly successful … irregular warfare unit.”..
Canada’s so-called whole-of-government approach in Afghanistan been concentrated on the PRT since Paul Martin’s Liberal government ordered Canadian troops south — away from Kabul — in late 2005. But the activities of the diplomats and other civilians assigned to the PRT have since received far less media attention than the exploits of the battle group.
Nevertheless, the PRT has made a name for itself with its American co-workers, who are the civilian part of a surge ordered by U.S. President Barack Obama.
While there were only four American PRT members on the ground last Christmas, there are now nearly 100 integrated into the PRT. The team is expected to become entirely American when Canada’s combat mission in Afghanistan ends next July…
The battle for Kandahar, its importance played down even before it began, has been eclipsed in the media and in Washington by a focus on corruption and peace talks, but its outcome is crucial to the wider Afghan war.
Operation Dragon Strike is the first major attempt since 2001 to regain control of a city that is the Taliban's spiritual home. This autumn may be the last time that the NATO-led alliance has sufficient boots on the ground to try the push.
Victory would give NATO and the Afghan government more leverage in potential peace negotiations, as acceptance grows in Kabul and abroad that a political solution may be the most likely end to a war now in its tenth year.
If winter arrives and insurgents are still capable of mounting major attacks and intimidating the local population, it could further chill Western governments' already diminishing appetite for a long-term presence in Afghanistan...
For all its importance, NATO and the U.S. military have tried to keep the operation low-profile and expectations modest.
It was formally unveiled only after it had kicked off, and this week the region's top commander said it would not be possible to judge the results until next June.
The military has been stung by criticism of a much-publicized spring effort to take control of Marjah, a trade hub in neighboring Helmand province. There, foreign forces promised a quick takeover followed by roll-out of a "government in a box."..
Casualty figures in a main Kandahar hospital over the summer were testament to the violence. Almost twice as many patients with war injuries were treated in August and September -- some 1,000 -- compared with the same period in 2009 [emphasis added].
Dragon Strike was launched at the end of September...
...Kandahar had been virtually ignored by NATO for years, garrisoned by Canadian forces with little counter-insurgency experience [emphasis added] and far too few to hold major swathes of territory.
"One of the things that scared us when we first started looking at Kandahar last year was how little we knew about it," said Andrew Exum from the Center for a New America Security, who fought in Afghanistan and worked as an adviser to former top U.S. and NATO commander in Afghanistan Stanley McChrystal...
Reporting from Kabul, Afghanistan —
The Taliban didn't even need to fire a shot. A band of insurgents overran a small rural district in eastern Afghanistan before dawn Monday, setting government buildings and vehicles ablaze and abducting at least 16 police officers, provincial authorities said.
Some observers warned that the overnight incident in the Khogyani district of Ghazni province was symptomatic of an intensifying Taliban push in parts of the country other than the south, the movement's traditional stronghold, and where Western officials have been reporting significant military progress.
Government forces regained control of the district within a few hours, provincial spokesman Ismail Jahangir said; the Taliban melted away when a large contingent of Afghan police and soldiers moved in. NATO forces were not involved, the Western military said. The fate of the abducted Afghan police officers was unknown.
Provincial officials said the brief takeover underscored the growing vulnerability of isolated districts in a province where the insurgency has been growing stronger.
Ghazni's geographic position is strategic; the main highway between the capital, Kabul, and the south's main city of Kandahar runs through it. NATO supply convoys come under frequent attack when they pass through the province...
NAWA, AFGHANISTAN - U.S. Marines have begun handing over some of their small bases to the Afghan army in this once-volatile district in the country's southwest, a transition that top military commanders intend to cite as proof that the Obama administration's troop escalation and counterinsurgency strategy are succeeding.
The transfer, which calls for most Marines to withdraw from populated parts of Nawa and consolidate in a series of desert bases by the spring, would allow the overall number of U.S. troops in the district - now about 1,000 - to be reduced by next summer. Senior Marine officers said that insurgent attacks in Nawa have declined significantly and that the capacity of the Afghan army to operate independently has increased.
But the Marine plan still envisages a significant U.S. military presence in the desert and in the district's main town to provide emergency backup to Afghan soldiers, mentor the fledgling police force and interdict insurgents seeking to enter the area...
...
On his blog, Matthew Fisher points out that Canadian casualties in Kandahar have fallen nearly 80 percent, and the region is becoming increasingly safe and pacified...
http://communities.canada.com/shareit/blogs/canada-at-war/archive/2010/11/03/low-casualties-rare-optimism.aspx
...
A major factor contributing to the decline in casualties is that the fighting season is just about over. The capital "T" Taliban have gone back to Pakistan to recuperate and decide where they intend to try to blow people up next year. Many of the small "T" Taliban, who are impoverished locals often fighting for a few Pakistani rupees, have undoubtedly cached their weapons and returned to their farms.
But nobody here believes this is the whole story. From Canadian privates and corporals deep in the field to the most senior commanders and diplomats, everyone that I have spoken to over the past couple of months agrees that the Taliban have never been challenged like they have been since Barack Obama's surge began a couple of months back and never before have they suffered such catastrophic losses and had so many senior and middle-ranking leaders eliminated or captured.
Afghans are notoriously cynical and habitually complaining that everything is getting worse and worse. But, against all my experience after many years reporting from here, they say they notice a difference, too. I first picked up on their optimism in late September at a shura of village elders in Sperwan Ghar that was sponsored by the Canadian battle group. Hundreds of men in magnificent turbans and flowing gowns showed up where only a few, if any, would dare to venture before. To a man these hardscrabble farmers said they felt they could do so because the Taliban was finally on its back foot.
It was the same, relatively happy story a few days ago when I spoke with a number of educated Kandaharis. They all said that while the Taliban continue to circulate night letters threatening mayhem in Kandahar City, the security situation in the provincial capital had improved tremendously since the U.S. Army flooded the city with hundreds of military policemen and more than 1,000 infantrymen this summer.
It is a narrative that has been slowly picked up my most of the American and British media. But you'd never know about this sea change from reading and hearing the usual doom and gloom about Afghanistan that passes for informed commentary in much of the Canadian media [emphasis added].
However rosy the situation looks right now, as the Washington Post and Wall Street Journal both pointed out in articles today, the coalition is on tenterhooks because they know the remarkable gains of this summer and fall will be totally for nought if President Hamid Karzai's Kabul-centric government does not begin to supply government services in the south — something that it may not be capable of, but worse than that, does not seem much interested in even trying to deliver...
NATO’s International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) and Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) have been conducting joint Operation Halmazag (lightning in Dari) in the Chahar Darreh district of Kunduz province since 31 October, the Bundeswehr announced today. The aim of the operation is to protect the population and improve the security situation south of the town of Kunduz for civil reconstruction projects and to put pressure on the Taliban to increase the freedom of movement of ISAF and the local population. This involves gaining control of territory along LOC Little Pluto, a road running southwards, and establishing outposts along the route and in Quatliam, some six kilometres west of the German-led provincial reconstruction team (PRT) in Kunduz.
![]()
Photo: Bundeswehr/Von Söhnen
German infantry, panzer grenadiers (mechanized infantry), reconnaissance units and engineers from the German training and protection battalion in Kunduz are participating in the operation, alongside US forces and ANSF. Fighting already broke out on 31 October as the German battalion was deploying, with firefights with insurgents equipped with small arms, rocket-propelled grenades and mortars continuing over the last four days.
German Panzerhaubitze 2000 155 mm armoured artillery has been providing fire support from the Kunduz PRT since 31 October, engaging insurgent mortar positions and firing illumination rounds at night. Close air support has been called in and there have been aerial shows of force. The Bundeswehr reports that the fighting has been so intense that damage assessment could only be conducted by KZO unmanned aerial vehicles.
During the fighting, two German Marder armoured infantry fighting vehicles were damaged by improvised explosive devices and three German soldiers were slightly wounded, two of whom could continue their mission after first aid on the battlefield. The insurgent death toll is eight.
WASHINGTON — The Obama administration has decided to walk away from what it once touted as key deadlines in the Afghanistan war in an effort to de-emphasize the president’s pledge that he would begin withdrawing U.S. forces in July 2011, administration and military officials said Tuesday.
The new policy will be on display next week during a NATO conference in Lisbon, Portugal, where the administration hopes to introduce a timeline that calls for the withdrawal of U.S. and NATO forces from Afghanistan by 2014, according to three senior officials and others speaking anonymously as a matter of policy. Afghan President Hamid Karzai has said Afghan troops could provide their security by then.
The Pentagon also has decided not to announce specific dates for handing security responsibility for several Afghan provinces to local officials and instead intends to work out a more vague definition of transition when it meets with its NATO allies, the officials said.
What a year ago had been touted as an extensive December review of the strategy now will be less expansive and will offer no major changes in strategy, the officials said. U.S. Central Command, the military division that oversees Afghanistan operations, hasn’t submitted a withdrawal order for forces for the July deadline [emphasis added], two of those officials said.
The shift, begun privately, came in part because U.S. officials realized that conditions in Afghanistan were unlikely to allow a speedy withdrawal…
…
Total ANSF growth, starting from November 2009 to present increased from 191,969 to 255,506, an increase of 63,537 (33 percent). The Afghan army has grown from 97,011 to 136,164, an increase of 39,153 (40 percent) and the national police from 94,958 to 117,342, an increase of 22,384 (24 percent).
In November 2009, only 35 percent of all soldiers met the minimum qualification standards with their personal weapon. There was an unworkable 1:79 trainers to troop ratio at the firing ranges where Afghan soldiers were attempting to learn. Ten months later, the average unit has a 97 percent qualification rate at the range and the instructor to troop ratio has decreased to 1:29, thanks to increasing support from coalition partners.
The quality of the troops may in some way be reflected through public trust. The Afghan Minister of Defense, Abdul Rahim Wardak, mentioned that the Afghan National Police (ANA) is perceived as the most trusted public institution in Afghanistan during a Rehearsal of Concept drill in Kabul in October. According to the results of an Afghan nation-wide survey (sample 6,700), 71 percent of Afghans feel a favorable impression toward the Afghan National Police (ANP) and 74 percent feel favorably towards the ANA. (By comparison, only 23 percent of Americans surveyed in a Gallup poll this month felt favorably towards the U.S. Congress.)
Last fall, the daily ISAF training capacity for the ANA was 6,000 seats, resulting in a backlog of the Afghan troops in the pipeline. Today, the ANA daily training capacity has increased to 20,000 seats (up 233 percent) and the ANP training capacity has increased 38 percent, from 7,740 to 10,661 seats. In 2009, there were zero Afghan trainers. Today, there are 1,800 Afghan trainers in the ANA and 800 in the ANP, and those numbers are growing. A critical assumption here is the continued support of coalition trainers [emphasis added]…
Education of this force is also critical to professionalization, but it takes time as we can see in western professional development pipelines for NCOs and officers. NTM-A
http://www.ntm-a.com/
has developed a “backbone” of NCOs, from 1,950 to 9,300, an increase of 7,350 (376 percent). The National Military Academy of Afghanistan had 300 applicants in 2005 for 120 spaces, and 3600 applicants this year for 600 spaces…
Hopefully, the upcoming Lisbon Summit will allow some time for COIN math homework. While they’re balancing equations on the chalkboard, attendees there should be sure to note that while the surge of ISAF forces are on the offensive in Kandahar, there is also another important silent surge occurring in the country. Attendees will also hopefully realize that coalition forces must meet their promised trainer contributions [emphasis added] for the conditions-based transition process to work and the ANSF to ultimately receive a passing grade on its report card.
Paula Broadwell is a Research Associate at the Harvard University Center for Public Leadership. She is the author of the forthcoming book, All In: The Education of General David Petraeus (Penguin Press, 2011).
The U.S. and its allies have unleashed a massive air campaign in Afghanistan, launching missiles and bombs from the sky at a rate rarely seen since the war’s earliest days. In October alone, NATO planes fired their weapons on 1,000 separate missions, U.S. Air Force statistics provided to Danger Room show.
http://www.wired.com/images_blogs/dangerroom/2010/11/31-October-2010-Airpower-Stats.pdf
Since Gen. David Petraeus took command of the war effort in late June, coalition aircraft have flown 2,600 attack sorties. That’s 50% more than they did during the same period in 2009. Not surprisingly, civilian casualties are on the rise, as well.
NATO officials say the increase in air attacks is simply a natural outgrowth of a more aggressive campaign to push militants out of their strongholds in southern Afghanistan. “Simply put, our air strikes have increased because our operations have increased. We’ve made a concentrated effort in the south to clear out the insurgency and therefore have increased our number of troops on the ground and aircraft to support them in this effort,” Lt. Nicole Schwegman, a NATO spokesperson, tells Danger Room.
On the other hand, some outside observers believe the strikes are part of an attempt to soften up the insurgency before negotiations with them begin in earnest. But one thing is clear: it’s a strategy Petraeus has used before. Once he took over the Iraq war effort, air strikes jumped nearly sevenfold...
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2007/10/in-december-the/
KABUL — Afghanistan is to get its first national women's cricket team, the sport's governing body in the country said on Thursday, announcing plans for it to compete in an international tournament next year.
"This development is so exciting for our young women cricketers and their families and supporters," said Diana, women's cricket development officer at the Afghanistan Cricket Board (ACB), in a statement.
"We love our country and hope to support it through our sport. Seeing a women's cricket team in the Asian Cup will do so much to raise the hopes of many women here," added Diana, who like many Afghans uses only one name.
Women's participation in sport in Afghanistan has increased since the 2001 fall of the hardline Islamist Taliban, who banned education for girls and forced women to retreat behind the all-enveloping burqa.
Sprinter-turned-lawmaker Robina Jalali made it to the Olympic Games in 2004 and 2008, competing in a hijab or traditional Muslim headscarf.
Football and basketball teams have sprung up in some urban areas, but women's full involvement in sports is still lacking -- as in other areas of society -- and in many rural areas women rarely leave their homes.
The ACB said the team's participation in next February's short-format Twenty20 tournament in Kuwait would be the first time Afghan women will have taken part in cricket matches abroad.
More than 100 young women currently play the game in the capital Kabul and three have recently attended umpire training courses. The ACB has also set up coaching sessions to attract more girls and young women to the sport...
Cricket in Afghanistan is taking off after the men's national side qualified for the Twenty20 World Cup held in the West Indies earlier this year.
The team is currently preparing to play in the Asian Games from Saturday...
Many Afghan cricketers learned the sport in neighbouring Pakistan after fleeing the violence as refugees [emphasis added]...
THE HAGUE, Netherlands — The new Dutch government is sending a team to Afghanistan to explore the possibility of returning to the international alliance fighting the Taliban insurgency, Prime Minister Mark Rutte said Friday.
The decision is a tentative step toward re-engaging in the international effort in Afghanistan just months after the last coalition government collapsed in a dispute over whether or not to prolong a military mission there.
"I am positive (about a new mission) because I think it is in the interest of maintaining what we have done there earlier and because stability in that region is in our national interest," Rutte told reporters in The Hague after his weekly Cabinet meeting.
Rutte said the team will look at the work of NATO forces and of a European Union police training mission, but gave no other details. He also declined to say how he envisioned any new Dutch mission.
Rutte needs the support of parliament to send troops back to Afghanistan even in an auxiliary function [emphasis added]. It is unlikely a majority of lawmakers would back a new combat role. The prime minister is in closed-door talks with opposition parties to seek support for a mission.
"We're going to look at it all and then you have to see if you can put together a package that ... can win support from enough other parties to form a majority," Rutte said.
No decision on Afghanistan can be reached in time to announce it at next week's NATO summit in the Portuguese capital, Lisbon...
Taliban fighters launched a pre-dawn attack on a NATO base in eastern Afghanistan on Saturday, triggering a firefight with foreign and Afghan forces that left eight militants dead.
NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) said its troops and Afghan National Army (ANA) soldiers stationed at Jalalabad airport came under attack, but that none of their forces were killed.
"The forward operating base received small arms fire from an unknown number of insurgents and after gaining positive identification of insurgent fighting positions an ANA and ISAF quick reaction force was sent to the area," it added.
"Initial reports indicate no ANA or ISAF servicemembers were killed."
One of the attackers was wearing a suicide vest, ISAF said.
Nangarhar provincial government spokesman Ahmad Zia Abdulzoi also said eight attackers were killed.
The Taliban, which often exaggerates details of its attacks, including foreign casualties, said that 14 suicide bombers were involved...
Jalalabad has more than 2,500 military and civilian personnel and is one of NATO's largest bases in Afghanistan after Kandahar in the south and Bagram, north of Kabul.
Kandahar and Bagram have also been targets for Taliban attacks in the past.
Saturday's incident came after a failed suicide attack in the Afghan capital Kabul on Friday, which was aimed at a convoy of foreign and local troops near a military base.
Kabul has suffered relatively lightly in recent months [emphasis added]...