
MEHLAJAT, Afghanistan — When the governor of Kandahar Province came to this town, freshly liberated on Sunday from the Taliban, his armed entourage appeared to outnumber what was left of the population.
“Don’t worry,” Gov. Tooryalai Wesa told the few elders who ventured out of their homes. “The Taliban are gone. Our security forces will not leave you alone. You’re safe now.”
For the moment, this farming community of about 60,000 people on the edge of Kandahar City looked more like a ghost town, doors closed and windows barred, with hardly anyone on the streets. Laced with booby-traps and hidden bombs, the wheat and corn fields nearby were empty of workers.
The tempo of operations throughout the districts surrounding Kandahar has been steadily increasing in recent weeks, but nowhere more suddenly than in this town and the surrounding Dand district.
While many operations in Afghanistan are now joint ones between NATO and Afghan forces, in most of them, the phrase “Afghan-led” is little more than a fiction. This was an exception.
While American commanders said the operation pointed the way to Afghanistan’s future, the outcome — a town filled with bombs and booby traps but devoid of most residents or fighters — showed just how difficult it would be to secure the area and win over residents. The reasons the Afghans took the lead seemed to have more to do with local politics than coalition building.
When Muhammad Rasol, the police chief of the Daman district, to the east of the city, and three officers were killed by a suicide bomber on Aug. 18, Kandahar’s powerful provincial assembly chairman, Ahmed Wali Karzai, was furious and complained to his brother, President Hamid Karzai, American officials said.
President Karzai issued an unprecedented decree giving the powers of commander in chief to the governor of Kandahar Province, Mr. Wesa, and ordering him to convene an urgent “military shura” to discuss a response. Mr. Wesa is a close ally of the president’s brother.
Mehlajat has been infamous as a staging area for Taliban assassinations, and in just the previous three weeks, 10 people had been killed here. A local Taliban court had issued death sentences against anyone suspected of links to the government; four of the victims were hung from electricity poles and another from a tree. Two truck bombs last year and many of the assassinations in Kandahar, now taking place at the rate of two or three a day, have been attributed to members of the Taliban from here.
The governor’s military shura decided to hit Mehlajat , and do it quickly. The operation was led by Col. Abdul Razaq, a controversial figure and an ally of Ahmed Wali Karzai, who leads a unit of the Border Police in the province. It also included army forces and other police units, all under the governor’s ultimate command.
The Afghans informed NATO commanders that they were going ahead on two weeks’ notice — a remarkably short time for a major operation involving what the Afghans said were 1,700 police officers and soldiers.
“It came about rather quickly,” said Lt. Col. Victor Garcia, deputy commander of the United States Army’s Task Force Raider, which backed up the Afghans. “It was a happy surprise.”
It was not a surprise to the Taliban, however, who had either fled or hid by the time the operation started, local residents said. Other than two policemen wounded by a roadside bomb, there were no casualties. “We blocked all ways in and out for them,” said Colonel Razaq, who added that the authorities had picked up 100 people suspected of being Taliban fighters...
COMBAT OUTPOST SENJARAY, Afghanistan—Defense Secretary Robert Gates said he envisions two or three more years of combat operations in Afghanistan before the U.S. transitions to an advisory role, a mission likely to last years more.
Mr. Gates’s comments Friday at a military camp outside Kandahar were his most decisive to date on the war’s timeline. They came as he made a vigorous, public case that the U.S. counterinsurgency strategy would prove to be working by the time the Obama administration begins its next review of the war in December.
President Barack Obama announced a surge of 30,000 U.S. troops in December 2009, bringing the current American force to about 100,000 today. But Mr. Obama has pledged to begin drawing down the surge troops in July. The timeline outlined by Mr. Gates Friday appeared to be an attempt to set expectations that combat will continue in Afghanistan, without making it appear that he supports an endless war.
Pulling out combat forces in three years would ensure that the allied presence has transitioned to a training mission by the time British troops are due to withdraw in 2015. It would also meet Afghan President Hamid Karzai’s goal of having his own army take responsibility for security by 2014…
Mr. Gates strongly opposes an abrupt strategy change that would move the U.S. toward a counterterrorism strategy that is more focused on killing militants and less focused on protecting population centers.
On Friday he said a move to a counterterrorism strategy would simply result in pushing insurgents from one place to another as in an arcade game of “whack-a-mole.”..
IN MUSA QALA, AFGHANISTAN U.S. Marines and British civilian advisers are waging two wars in the hilly northern half of Helmand province: They're fighting the Taliban, and they're quarreling with each other.
The disagreements among the supposed allies are almost as frequent as firefights with insurgents. The Americans contend that the British forces they replaced this spring were too complacent in dealing with the Taliban. The British maintain that the Americans are too aggressive and that they are compromising hard-fought security gains by pushing into irrelevant places and overextending themselves.
"They were here for four years," one field-grade Marine officer huffed about the British military. "What did they do?"
"They've been in Musa Qala for four months," a British civilian in Helmand said of the U.S. Marines. "The situation up there has gotten worse, not better."
The disputes here, which also extend to the pace of reconstruction projects and the embrace of a former warlord who has become the police chief, illuminate the tensions that are flaring as U.S. forces surge into parts of southern Afghanistan that had once been the almost-exclusive domain of NATO allies. There are now about 20,000 U.S. troops in Helmand; the 10,000 British soldiers who once roamed all over the province are now consolidating their operations in a handful of districts around the provincial capital.
The new U.S. troops in the south are intended to replace departing Dutch soldiers and relieve pressure on under-resourced and overburdened military personnel from Britain and Canada, where public support for the war has fallen even more precipitously than in the United States. But the transition entails significant new risks for U.S. forces, who are now responsible for more dangerous parts of the country.
To the south of Musa Qala, U.S. Marines are in the process of moving into Sangin district, where more than 100 British troops - nearly one-third of that country's total war dead - were killed over the past four years. Senior Marine officers initially resisted being saddled with the area, which they dubbed "the killing fields," but they relented after pressure from top U.S. commanders.
The influx also has elicited conflicting emotions from coalition partners. British and Canadian officers say they didn't have the manpower or equipment to confront a mushrooming insurgency by themselves, but they also cringe at the need to be bailed out by the United States [emphasis added]...
International forces in Afghanistan have at times overstated the progress being made this year, the deputy commander of the NATO-led force said on Saturday, with advances coming slower than originally expected.
British Lieutenant-General Sir Nick Parker, second-in-command of the International Security Assistance Force behind U.S. General David Petraeus, said progress had been slowed by the complexity of the mission.
Petraeus has said in a range of interviews in recent weeks that progress was being made and that the Taliban's momentum had been checked, though violence across the country is at its worst since the hardline Islamists were ousted in late 2001...
ISAF troops have faced stiff resistance since Operation Moshtarak began in late February, particularly around the Taliban stronghold of Marjah in the Helmand River valley.
"If you were to go back and listen to the sort of things we said in January and February, before Moshtarak started, I think we were probably a little bit over-enthusiastic," Parker told a small group of reporters in Kabul.
"I was, in some of the things I said, a little bit too positive in some respects," he said...
Parker said it had proven more difficult than expected to establish lasting government and development agencies, despite hopes for a new "government in a box" strategy to follow military operations in Marjah.
"That's nobody's fault, that's just the complexity of the environment we're operating in," Parker said.
On Tuesday, Petraeus said in an interview that his forces had taken a heavy toll on the Taliban leadership, but also acknowledged that the Islamists were fighting back and that their "footprint" had spread this year...
KANDAHAR, AFGHANISTAN
Under a scorching sun, Defense Secretary Bob Gates tells soldiers from the first U.S. combat brigade deployed inside this city that they're the "forward foxhole" in the fight against the Taliban. It's already a bloody battle: In its first two weeks here, the brigade has lost eight soldiers, including five killed last Monday in a roadside bombing.
Gates hears an upbeat account from the brigade's commanders about their patrols alongside the Afghan army and police in this Taliban stronghold. And, after touring several fronts in the make-or-break Kandahar campaign, Gates tells reporters that he's "encouraged" about prospects for stabilizing the area and eventually transferring responsibility for security to the Afghans.
Soldiers gathered in the shade for a smoke offered a more cautious assessment. Sgt. Michael Ellis, who leads the security team for one of the brigade's commanders, says of the Afghan army and police: "They're just not up to speed. They lack organization." He says that when he came under attack with Afghan troops a few days ago, some of them began firing their AK-47s erratically into the sky.
This contrast between commanders' high hopes for Afghanistan and stubborn realities on the ground is the strongest impression during a visit here. Traveling with the military, there's always something of a contact high -- with senior officers assuring visitors that the mission can be achieved. But the Afghan strategy is still very much a work in progress, with many of the key concepts still unproven on the battlefield.
Enthusiasm certainly was the theme of a briefing that Gen. David Petraeus gave to reporters traveling with Gates. He stuck to an upbeat script, using slides remade from those he developed during his successful Iraq campaign. Petraeus, who took over command just two months ago, said that he is still framing the details of his "commander's guidance" for this war.
In an interview, Gates offered a more careful analysis than the one he gave in the blazing Kandahar heat.
"I think it's too early to draw any conclusions," he said. "We need some months more to look at this" before a December review evaluating "proof of concept."..
As Petraeus shapes his battle plans, he is coming at the problem from several directions at once. There's a top-down component, working with Afghan ministries and the national army and police. But there's also a bottom-up push, in which U.S. Special Forces will work with tribal leaders to form "local police [emphasis added]."..
The plan for Kandahar is that U.S. and Afghan troops will establish joint outposts in the city's 17 precincts and surrounding areas, so that the population feels safe enough to attend the shuras, or councils. The Taliban has responded with a wave of assassinations, and Lt. Gen. David Rodriguez, who is Petraeus's deputy, said that the offensive will succeed only if local leaders "take risks" and brave the intimidation. That's a lot to ask of people who mistrust both America and the Karzai government, and it may be the weakest link in the U.S. plan...
...
President Hamid Karzai said Saturday he will name the members of a council next week to pursue peace talks with insurgents willing to renounce violence, honor the Afghan constitution, and sever ties with terrorist networks.
The announcement came amid a further round of insurgent violence, with seven people, including four policemen, killed by a suicide bomber perched on the back of a motorcycle in the increasingly violent northern province of Kunduz.
At least three people were also killed and 11 wounded in a suicide car bomb attack on a U.S. Army convoy in the insurgent hotbed of Kandahar, according to local hospitals. NATO said there were no injuries to coalition forces or damage to their vehicles.
A statement issued by Karzai’s office called the formation of the High Peace Council a “significant step toward peace talks.”
It said the members will include former Taliban, jihadi leaders, leading figures in Afghan society and women.
The establishment of such a panel was approved in June at a national peace conference in Kabul, a move welcomed by foreign governments working to stabilize the Afghan government and economy. Although the Taliban leadership has shown no appetite for talks, Karzai hopes the reconciliation process will help split the movement between its hardcore members and those less committed to its strict Islamic ideology...
The Defence Secretary, Liam Fox, will this week face calls to set out a detailed timetable for the withdrawal of British troops from Afghanistan in the first major Commons vote since the war began almost nine years ago.
New powers handed to backbenchers will allow MPs to debate the continued deployment of British forces, with many of the record new intake expected to express unease at the timescale for troops coming home...
The Commons vote comes amid claims the Blair-Brown rivalry at the heart of the Labour government caused "impossible operational pressures" for the armed forces in both Iraq and Afghanistan. The former head of the Army, General Sir Richard Dannatt, uses a new book, Leading from the Front, serialised in The Sunday Telegraph, to claim Gordon Brown was a "malign" influence by failing to fund military commitments agreed by his government. Tony Blair lacked the "moral courage" to overrule his Chancellor.
The coalition has empahsised that British forces will not remain in Afghanistan indefinitely. David Cameron expects the Afghan forces to take control of security by 2014 with a deadline for the withdrawal of British combat troops set for the following year [emphasis added]. The Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, last week staged a surprise visit to Camp Bastion, and claimed the military campaign was "turning the corner" – though he admitted he had "no idea exactly how and when we will succeed [emphasis added]"...
BRUSSELS — US General David Petraeus, the commander of the war in Afghanistan, has requested 2,000 extra troops to bolster a crucial mission to train Afghan security forces, a NATO official said Monday.
The mission would come on the heels of the deployment of tens of thousands of soldiers who were sent as part of a surge strategy aimed at crushing a resilient Taliban insurgency, the official said.
"There is now a discussion under way for additional resources, principally trainers, that could be sent to Afghanistan to bolster the mission," said the official, who requested anonymity.
At least 750 of the new soldiers would focus on training Afghan forces, he said, refusing to give more details about the rest of the mission. He said it was premature to say when the 2,000 extra troops would be deployed...
The US general's request was relayed to the transatlantic alliance's 28 members and it is up to individual governments to decide on whether to make contributions, the NATO official said...
Petraeus's request for 2,000 more troops comes ahead of a NATO summit in Lisbon on November 19-20 during which the Afghan campaign will feature prominently...
Reporting from Forward Operating Base Zeebrugge,
There may be no better symbol of American involvement in southern Afghanistan — initial success, current frustration and an uncertain future — than the giant Kajaki Dam.
Built in 1953 by the U.S. government, the 320-foot high, 887-foot-wide dam was part of a U.S. economic aid initiative in Helmand province that included irrigation canals, roads, schools, health clinics and more. The dam helped make the region the agricultural heartland of this sprawling country.
Helmand became known as "Little America" as hundreds of American teachers, engineers and medical professionals lived and worked in the provincial capital, Lashkar Gah, and in smaller villages and in neighboring Kandahar. A power station with two hydroelectric turbines were added in 1975...
...as the war drags into its ninth year, the Kajaki Dam upgrade is indefinitely stalled. The road leading to the dam from the village of Sangin is controlled by the Taliban.
In fall 2008 amid a news blackout, a convoy of 2000 British soldiers transported 100 tons of material needed for the third turbine. But the equipment, which took five days to move, sits idle and the Chinese firm hired to install it has left Afghanistan, citing safety concerns.
A village directly south of the dam has become a ghost town after residents fled to escape the fighting and nightly visits by Taliban fighters warning them not to cooperate with the Americans.
Joel Hafvenstein, whose book, "Opium Season: A Year on the Afghan Frontier," chronicles an anti-poppy effort in Helmand by USAID in the middle of the last decade, said he was stunned when he learned in December that the agency he once worked for had put the Kajaki project on hold...
In June, the British Royal Marine Commandos were relieved by U.S. Marines from an artillery company: India Battery, 3rd Battalion, 12th Regiment. The U.S. troops — at company-level strength — are backed by M777 lightweight howitzers and by Marine helicopter gunships and fixed-wing craft.
In three months, the Marines have had 50-plus skirmishes with Taliban fighters who appear to be trying to position themselves for an assault on the dam. Three Marines have died; many more have been wounded.
"Something of significance happens every time" the Marines leave the base, said Capt. Richard Stinnett, the battery commander.
Much of what the Marines do is "pushing to contact" — military jargon for daring the enemy to fight. "We have to keep a little bit of aggressiveness to keep the enemy off balance [emphasis added]," said Lt. Col. Adam Tharp, future operations officer for Regional Combat Team 2...
More U.S. troops will be needed to secure the road, Tharp said, as well as an influx of Afghan security forces (now being trained) and cooperation from villagers along the route.
In Washington, USAID officials hope that can be accomplished next year so the Kajaki project can proceed. However, that timeline appears optimistic...
Measuring the success or failure of Canada's combat mission in Kandahar will depend on how events unfold this month and next, around a downtrodden village cluster deep in Panjwaii district.
After four years of effort and heavy sacrifices, Canada's military is still confounded by this place, the seat of Taliban power and home to a tiny, unhappy populace. Panjwaii is not secure. Insurgents continue to assemble here, kill troops and plan attacks on Kandahar City and places beyond.
Maj. Eleanor Taylor is blunt: "We cannot protect the population the way we're currently configured."
The Antigonish, N.S., native commands Charles Company, 1st Battalion, The Royal Canadian Regiment Battle Group (1RCR). It's placed inside a Soviet-era military instalment at Sperwan Ghar, 30 kilometres west of Kandahar's capital and right on the Taliban's doorstep.
This is the western front, where the most Canadian soldiers can manage are short patrols and attempts to "disrupt" Taliban activities.
Taylor's company does its best and enjoys "some rays of hope," she says, but it's caught in the same numbers game as others that came before it. Resources are spread too thin. There aren't enough soldiers. And the Afghan National Army troops operating in the area are often a hindrance, not a help.
Knowing the battle for Panjwaii was once considered a high point for Canadian battle groups makes the current predicament seem worse...
SHARANA, Afghanistan—The final U.S. brigade sent to Afghanistan as part of President Barack Obama's surge strategy assumed authority for a swath of the country's eastern territory Wednesday.
The 4th Brigade of the 101st Airborne Division has only a short time to make an impact before the harsh winter of eastern Afghanistan, due to set in by November, makes travel and combat difficult.
Commanders are also under pressure to show progress ahead of a meeting of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in November and the Obama administration's next strategy review, in December.
"The task is great and time is of the essence, as we face parliamentary elections and the future decisions of nations around the world and our own this fall," said Col. Sean Jenkins, at a ceremony in which his task force took charge of Paktika province.
The Taliban has threatened to attack polling stations during the Sept. 18 parliamentary elections. On Wednesday, Afghan election officials said scores of additional polling stations will be closed during the vote because of security conditions, the Associated Press reported.
The ceremony Wednesday officially put in place the last of the 30,000 infantry troops ordered into the country by Mr. Obama in December.
The 4th Brigade, known as Task Force Currahee, was the only large unit assigned to eastern Afghanistan as part of the Obama administration's troop build-up. The majority of the surge forces were sent to southern Afghanistan to participate in operations around Kandahar and Helmand provinces.
The first members of Task Force Currahee began arriving in Paktika in July. The majority of the forces arrived in the country in August and began a process of taking over from the 101st Division's 3rd Brigade.
The Taliban operate in much of the province, and the Haqqani network—an ally of al Qaeda—operates in the northern part, near its historic stronghold of Khost province.
Military officials in Washington and Kabul have said they hope building up conventional troops in eastern Afghanistan will help secure progress made by Special Operations troops.
Since the spring, Special Operations Forces have captured and killed dozens of militant leaders in eastern Afghanistan. But senior military officials say that without a larger troop presence to help improve security in population centers, they fear the militant networks will simply regenerate through new recruits.
The Taliban and the Haqqani network in recent years have taken refuge in Pakistan in winter months, but military officials believe the pattern could change this year because of the floods that have devastated much of Pakistan. Col. Jenkins said some groups of fighters may remain in Afghanistan, and could continue to fight or lay roadside bombs...
British legislators have overwhelmingly supported keeping their troops in Afghanistan until 2015 but that country's renewed support for their Afghanistan mission has no bearing on Canada's plans, according to the Prime Minister's office.
Thursday's 310 to 14 vote in Britain's House of Commons to reaffirm their military presence in the war-torn country was the first in nine years since Britain first deployed its troops there.
Canada's plan to pull our troops out next year, though, remains unchanged.
"Other countries will set their own policies," wrote PMO spokesman Andrew MacDougall in an e-mail. "The government's position has not changed: the military mission ends in 2011."..
KABUL, Afghanistan — Even as more American troops flow into the country, Afghanistan is more dangerous than it has ever been during this war, with security deteriorating in recent months, according to international organizations and humanitarian groups.
Large parts of the country that were once completely safe, like most of the northern provinces, now have a substantial Taliban presence — even in areas where there are few Pashtuns, who previously were the Taliban’s only supporters. As NATO forces poured in and shifted to the south to battle the Taliban in their stronghold, the Taliban responded with a surge of their own, greatly increasing their activities in the north and parts of the east.
The worsening security comes as the Obama administration is under increasing pressure to show results to maintain public support for the war, and raises serious concerns about whether the country can hold legitimate nationwide elections for Parliament next Saturday.
Unarmed government employees can no longer travel safely in 30 percent of the country’s 368 districts, according to published United Nations estimates, and there are districts deemed too dangerous to visit in all but one of the country’s 34 provinces.
[Interactive map here
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/09/12/world/asia/20100912-afghan-indicators.html?ref=asia ]
The number of insurgent attacks has increased significantly; in August 2009, insurgents carried out 630 attacks. This August, they initiated at least 1,353, according to the Afghan N.G.O. Safety Office, an independent organization financed by Western governments and agencies to monitor safety for aid workers.
An attack on a Western medical team in northern Afghanistan in early August, which killed 10 people, was the largest massacre in years of aid workers in Afghanistan.
“The humanitarian space is shrinking day by day,” said a CARE Afghanistan official, Abdul Kebar.
The International Security Assistance Force, or ISAF, does not routinely release detailed data on attacks around the country, and the Afghan government stopped doing so in mid-2009. United Nations officials have also stopped releasing details of attacks, though they monitor them closely. Requests for access to that information were denied.
ISAF officials dispute the notion that security is slipping from them, pointing to their successes with targeted killings and captures of Taliban field commanders and members of the Taliban shadow government.
American military officials say the increased level of violence is related to the rise in the number of its forces here. The last 2,000 of 30,000 new American troops are expected to arrive in the next week or two [emphasis added], military officials say. The result is more military operations, they say, and more opportunities for the insurgents to attack coalition forces...
Last month, ISAF recorded 4,919 “kinetic events,” including small-arms fire, bombs and shelling, a 7 percent increase over the previous month, and a 49 percent increase over August 2009, according to Maj. Sunset R. Belinsky, an ISAF spokeswoman. August 2009 was itself an unusually active month for the insurgency as it sought to disrupt the presidential elections then.
With one attack after another, the Taliban and their insurgent allies have degraded security in almost every part of the country (the one exception is Panjshir Province in the north, which has never succumbed to Taliban control).
The Afghan N.G.O. Safety Office says that by almost every metric it has, Afghanistan is more dangerous now than at any time since 2001.
The most recent troop buildup comes in response to steady advances by the Taliban. Four years ago, the insurgents were active in only four provinces. Now they are active in 33 of 34, the organizations say...
But is reported by Chinese Xinhua. Odd that:
1) Australian troops to stay in Afghanistan till mission done: FM (that’s a Labour coalition government)
2) Spanish PM refuses to put date of Afghanistan withdrawal...
