Political impacts of Ukraine war

[HavokFour]

Perhaps someone finally looked at a map? Poland isn't having any of it either.

Trump’s hope for quick second summit with Putin may be stalled as pre-meeting tabled for now

Poland threatens to enforce arrest warrant if Putin flies through for Trump summit

"I think the Russian side is aware of this," Radosław Sikorski said.

tvpworld.com

 

[Remius]

Perhaps someone finally looked at a map? Poland isn't having any of it either.

Trump’s hope for quick second summit with Putin may be stalled as pre-meeting tabled for now

Poland threatens to enforce arrest warrant if Putin flies through for Trump summit

"I think the Russian side is aware of this," Radosław Sikorski said.

tvpworld.com

Awesome lol

 

[HavokFour]

Officially not happening. Release the tomahawks.

Trump-Putin meeting canceled after Russia insists goal to conquer Ukraine ‘has not changed’

“There are no plans for President Trump to meet with President Putin in the immediate future,” the White House said.

nypost.com

 

[The Bread Guy]

Officially not happening. Release the tomahawks.

Trump-Putin meeting canceled after Russia insists goal to conquer Ukraine ‘has not changed’

“There are no plans for President Trump to meet with President Putin in the immediate future,” the White House said.

nypost.com

As commentators brighter than me have said, since "The Great Negotiator" seems to have made a concession ("Ok, Vlad, sorry about offering those Tomahawks") after the call from Putin, mission accomplished for USSR 2.0, so who needs a meeting anymore?

If you have 22 minutes to spare, this is worth listening to: NPR interviews a former CIA station boss in Moscow about how Putin appears to be able to play POTUS47. Tiny spoiler alert: he says Putin may know a lot of dirt/secrets about Trump to help him figure out how to deal with him, but he specifically stopped short of using the word "blackmail".

https://www.npr.org/2025/10/20/nx-s1-5580313/former-cia-station-chief-distills-putins-approach-to-trump

Still hoping Trump'll DO something different, like free up the Tomahawks, but maybe I'm naive/cynical - we'll see.

 

[Altair]

Officially not happening. Release the tomahawks.

Trump-Putin meeting canceled after Russia insists goal to conquer Ukraine ‘has not changed’

“There are no plans for President Trump to meet with President Putin in the immediate future,” the White House said.

nypost.com

Fun though experiment. Even if there was to be a meeting in Hungary, how would Putin get there?

Ukraine, not happening.

Poland, member of the ICC

Romania, member of the ICC.

Trump and co are deeply unserious.

 

[HavokFour]

Well, one Trumps few "allies" in Europe has announced he'll be undermining him. Bold choice to pick a fight with Washington and the EU at the same time.

Hungary’s Orbán vows to ‘circumvent’ US sanctions on Russian oil titans

“The battle is not over yet,” Hungarian prime minister says, teeing up a possible fight with the White House.

www.politico.eu

 

[Kirkhill]

Accident or Dark Fleet tactic?

Suez Canal blocked after sanctioned tanker carrying Russian oil grounded in key waterway

Twenty ships still held back after incident

www.tradewindsnews.com

Unlike the Evegreen screw-up this incident was resolved quickly.

But it does show up the vulnerability of trade to a couple of planned scuttlings.

Block Suez and Panama and the North East Passage looks a fair bet for timely deliveries.

 

[HavokFour]

Only a single barrier remains.

Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump

 

[Czech_pivo]

Only a single barrier remains.

Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump

The US moving troops out of Romania and the USS Ford out of the Mediterranean looks a bit like the US further abandoning NATO/Europe.

 

[HavokFour]

Europe is preparing to give it's supply lines some TLC.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1984534398566309956

 

[daftandbarmy]

Europe is preparing to give it's supply lines some TLC.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1984534398566309956

 

[Czech_pivo]

Europe is preparing to give it's supply lines some TLC.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1984534398566309956

A bit surprised to see the dotted line through Serbia….

 

[Altair]

A bit surprised to see the dotted line through Serbia….

For the record, is this being done outside the umbrella of NATO?

 

[HavokFour]

Rutte dropped some very good news today, NATO is now producing more ammunition than Russia. Things are going to get interesting when North Korea starts running low on the ancient stocks they've been dumping on Russia.

First on quantity, we already have state of the art systems, the best of the best. These give us an edge, and we will keep it sharp.
Which we need more and we need fast, and that means increasing production and shortening delivery times. We are already turning the tide on ammunition.
Until recently, Russia was producing more ammunition than all NATO Allies put together.

But not anymore. Across the Alliance, we are now opening dozens of new production lines and expanding existing ones. We are making more than we have done in decades. We need to build on this progress in other areas, from high end air defence and low-cost drone interceptors.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_238858.htm

 

[Czech_pivo]

Rutte dropped some very good news today, NATO is now producing more ammunition than Russia. Things are going to get interesting when North Korea starts running low on the ancient stocks they've been dumping on Russia.

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_238858.htm

Hopefully there will be enough Ukrainians left….

 

[HavokFour]

$36 per barrel, ouch. The shadow fleet is quickly becoming floating storage.

Russian Oil Plunges With Top Producers Days Away From Sanctions
Article

 

[HavokFour]

Understandably, Poland is quickly closing in on being 1 step away from throwing punches.

Poland to close Russian consulate, deploy soldiers after railway sabotage

Poland said on Wednesday it would close the last Russian consulate in its territory and deploy thousands of soldiers to protect infrastructure in response to a railway explosion it blames on Moscow.

www.reuters.com

 

[Czech_pivo]

More news about the rUsSiA diktat to Ukraine.

The 28-point plan — first reported by Axios but followed by other media, including the Financial Times and Reuters, citing unnamed sources — allegedly contains proposals for Ukraine to concede territory in its eastern Donbas region to Russia, abandon certain categories of weaponry and reduce the size of its armed forces by 50%, among other conditions.

A 50% reduction in their Armed Forces and ‘abandon certain …… weaponry’ basically means that Ukraine will be turned into a Eunuch.

 

[HavokFour]

Going to go out on a limb and call this plan what it really looks like, a distraction.

Trump’s 28-point Ukraine peace plan catches Congress off guard

https://twitter.com/x/status/1991460735386554779

https://twitter.com/x/status/1991278498116239511

 

[Cloud Cover]

Might it be there’s a dirty devil quid pro qo here between the US and Russia? Venezuela is an ally of Putin. Perhaps the Russians will give that up if the US abandons Ukraine.