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Trump administration 2024-2028

PMedMoe said:
Smithsonian will again include Trump in impeachment exhibit in 'coming weeks'
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That reads like “we reviewed the content, the temporary placard was crap, we’re making a new permanent one”. See if it sticks I guess.

Czech_pivo said:
2) Perhaps more damaging for the president, it would also undercut one of the core arguments he’s made to justify his trade agenda: that his tariffs are bringing in unprecedented revenue that can help pay for his tax cuts and, one day, could replace the income tax altogether.
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So, this is one of the most annoying and disingenuous things.

The tariffs are taxes on American importers and consumers. Paying for tax cuts with a hike in a different tax isn't a net reduction in taxes.
 
brihard said:
The tariffs are taxes on American importers and consumers. Paying for tax cuts with a hike in a different tax isn't a net reduction in taxes.
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True, but tariffs bring in revenue AND can be blamed on “those people” - in the event a regime, hypothetically of course, wanted to create an enemy to unite the masses and distract from domestic fuckery. Handy that, no?
 
Remius said:
So then, patience.
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It sure seems like it.
Sit quietly, don't say anything to upset the applecart and let things play out naturally.
But, if it does go down like this, what has to be remembered that CUSMA dies a natural death in July of 2026 - and just about anything can happen then.
 
Czech_pivo said:
It sure seems like it.
Sit quietly, don't say anything to upset the applecart and let things play out naturally.
But, if it does go down like this, what has to be remembered that CUSMA dies a natural death in July of 2026 - and just about anything can happen then.
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2026 is the first mandatory review of CUSMA by the signatory nations. The trade agreement is currently set to expire in 2036. If there is a written agreement by all three parties to extend the treaty at the review the expiration date will be extended another 16 years to 2052.

If the three nations fail to agree in writing to extend the agreement in July 2026 then the expiration date of the agreement remains 2036. There will then be annual reviews thereafter where the parties have another opportunity to extend the agreement to 2052.

So, just because there is not agreement to extend the agreement to 2052 next July CUSMA will still remain in effect until 2036. IF the US (or Canada or Mexico) were to wish to unilaterally leave the agreement before 2036 they would have to indicate their withdrawal in writing and they would exit the agreement 6 months later. Apparently however there may be some statutory details in the enabling legislation in the US that may require Congressional approval to withdraw from the agreement.

There are lots of States that may not want to see the US unilaterally withdraw from CUSMA so Trump may want to walk a more narrow path by refusing to extend CUSMA next July and use the pressure of that to push for some modifications to the agreement to make it more favourable to the US in return for an extension.

Unilateral withdrawal by the US might cause more problems that would be worth it to the Trump administration...especially if the impacts of tariffs begin to bite in advance of the 2026 midterm elections.
 
GR66 said:
2026 is the first mandatory review of CUSMA by the signatory nations. The trade agreement is currently set to expire in 2036. If there is a written agreement by all three parties to extend the treaty at the review the expiration date will be extended another 16 years to 2052.

If the three nations fail to agree in writing to extend the agreement in July 2026 then the expiration date of the agreement remains 2036. There will then be annual reviews thereafter where the parties have another opportunity to extend the agreement to 2052.

So, just because there is not agreement to extend the agreement to 2052 next July CUSMA will still remain in effect until 2036. IF the US (or Canada or Mexico) were to wish to unilaterally leave the agreement before 2036 they would have to indicate their withdrawal in writing and they would exit the agreement 6 months later. Apparently however there may be some statutory details in the enabling legislation in the US that may require Congressional approval to withdraw from the agreement.

There are lots of States that may not want to see the US unilaterally withdraw from CUSMA so Trump may want to walk a more narrow path by refusing to extend CUSMA next July and use the pressure of that to push for some modifications to the agreement to make it more favourable to the US in return for an extension.

Unilateral withdrawal by the US might cause more problems that would be worth it to the Trump administration...especially if the impacts of tariffs begin to bite in advance of the 2026 midterm elections.
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Awesome information and details - much appreciated.
Have to wonder why this sort of detailed analysis, information is NOT making its way through any of the media in Canada and/or the US.

If the US were to try and unilaterally try to exit the agreement, it wouldn't be able to do so until Jan of 2027 - 6 months after the timeline of July 2026 - which would be AFTER the mid-term elections of 2026.

If The Donald loses the court cases before it, including the Supreme Court possible rulings AND they have to repay the illegally obtained tariffs back to those they collected it from, he make have painted himself into a corner.
 
brihard said:
The tariffs are taxes on American importers and consumers. Paying for tax cuts with a hike in a different tax isn't a net reduction in taxes.
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and if manufacturing does move back to the US then the revenue from tariffs will decrease, meaning either they forgo spending that revenue or they increase income taxes to make up the shortfall.
 
Czech_pivo said:
Awesome information and details - much appreciated.
Have to wonder why this sort of detailed analysis, information is NOT making its way through any of the media in Canada and/or the US.
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Details aren't sexy enough to put in headlines that sell...and besides actually digging into the truth of a story is sooooo much more work than producing click-bait.
 
GR66 said:
2026 is the first mandatory review of CUSMA by the signatory nations. The trade agreement is currently set to expire in 2036. If there is a written agreement by all three parties to extend the treaty at the review the expiration date will be extended another 16 years to 2052.

If the three nations fail to agree in writing to extend the agreement in July 2026 then the expiration date of the agreement remains 2036. There will then be annual reviews thereafter where the parties have another opportunity to extend the agreement to 2052.

So, just because there is not agreement to extend the agreement to 2052 next July CUSMA will still remain in effect until 2036. IF the US (or Canada or Mexico) were to wish to unilaterally leave the agreement before 2036 they would have to indicate their withdrawal in writing and they would exit the agreement 6 months later. Apparently however there may be some statutory details in the enabling legislation in the US that may require Congressional approval to withdraw from the agreement.

There are lots of States that may not want to see the US unilaterally withdraw from CUSMA so Trump may want to walk a more narrow path by refusing to extend CUSMA next July and use the pressure of that to push for some modifications to the agreement to make it more favourable to the US in return for an extension.

Unilateral withdrawal by the US might cause more problems that would be worth it to the Trump administration...especially if the impacts of tariffs begin to bite in advance of the 2026 midterm elections.
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Thanks for an accessible REST of the story - appreciated!
 
Yes, completely normal for the DOJ to hire someone who urged people to kill cops…

adamkinzinger.substack.com

The DOJ Just Hired a Man Who Cheered for Cops to Be Killed

He called Capitol police “Nazis” and screamed “Kill ’em!” Now he’s working at the Department of Justice.
adamkinzinger.substack.com adamkinzinger.substack.com

And yet on January 6, 2021, Jared Wise stood in the middle of a violent mob and cheered as his fellow Americans—police officers—were beaten, brutalized, and overwhelmed. He screamed at those same officers, calling them Nazis. He shouted, “You are the Gestapo, you can’t see it?” And then, as if channeling every ounce of hatred and rage into a single command, he screamed, “Kill ’em! Kill ’em! Kill ’em!”

That’s not hyperbole. That’s on body camera footage. That’s not disputed. That’s not in question.

And this week, the man who incited violence against police officers in defense of a lie—the Big Lie—was rewarded with a job inside the Department of Justice.

Let that sink in. The man who urged the killing of police officers is now employed at the DOJ.
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When asked about it, the DOJ didn’t deny it. They didn’t backtrack or explain. They said, with no irony at all, “Jared Wise is a valued member of the Justice Department. We appreciate his contributions.”

Appreciate his contributions.

This is a man who stood in the middle of an insurrection and screamed for police officers to be killed. And the Department of Justice—of the United States of America—is publicly thanking him for his contributions.
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RangerRay said:
Yes, completely normal for the DOJ to hire someone who urged people to kill cops…

adamkinzinger.substack.com

The DOJ Just Hired a Man Who Cheered for Cops to Be Killed

He called Capitol police “Nazis” and screamed “Kill ’em!” Now he’s working at the Department of Justice.
adamkinzinger.substack.com adamkinzinger.substack.com
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He was a former FBI agent and was indicted on multiple crimes including felonies for January 6th. He was pardoned during trial.

www.justice.gov

Former FBI Supervisory Special Agent Indicted in Federal Court on Felony Charges Related to U.S. Capitol Breach

www.justice.gov www.justice.gov

Isn’t it great how this crap isn’t even surprising anymore?
 
mariomike said:
Mary Ann or Ginger if you were ship wrecked . The endless debate.
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Happy Joel Mchale GIF by ABC Network
 
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