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Trump administration 2024-2028

In a related note, the Polymarket 'prediction market trading' (which seems like a veneer for actual gambling) saw a $529M trade on the timing of the Iran bombing, with similar trades happening around Venezuala and other US attacks.

Seems a hell of a lot like insider trading, with indivudual directly profitting from this, and greasy AF. Sure it's completely coincidental that Donald Trump Jr is on their advisory board.

This is insane, and also seems like another breach of OPSEC like the pizza orders that targets could monitor as an early warning to prepare themselves.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/poly...g18kLrfmbAuIgRcQrMnoqNh05K0q-Yjcp4mzytpQlRbzp
 
Navy_Pete said:
This is insane, and also seems like another breach of OPSEC like the pizza orders that targets could monitor as an early warning to prepare themselves.
Click to expand...
What would be the point of worrying about OPSEC for indicators of "something is going to happen there" if a major political aim is to properly restore Congress's role in the decision to authorize war? The US can either try for the former or just give up and go with the latter; there is mitigation for the latter if it's done well before any operations are in contemplation and that would also apply some diplomatic leverage. (Against the Iranian regime, Congress could have authorized a blank cheque as far back as 1979.)

There will still be the necessity of OPSEC for "what exactly is going to happen", and judging by some domestic political reactions, going through Congress risks some of that, too. I suppose the US would have to eat leaks for at least one operation, but if the administration came down brutally hard on leakers and used every possible legal theory to chase anyone promulgating leaks (including journalists, if there are suitable provisions in law), that might mitigate the risk for future operations.

Being against war (eg. pure anti-war), being against unauthorized war (eg. constitutionalists), and being against what the US is trying to do are three different positions I'm seeing people stake out, sometimes in different mixes (eg. anti-war or constitutionalist, but pro-regime change). The people whose positions amount to defending the Iranian regime are in the least desirable position, and while there may not be many, they are loud.

[Add: at some point, someone is going to find a budget to place bogus bets or buy a bunch of pizza just to make people think something is about to happen in a lead up to some kind of negotiations...]
 
The Bread Guy said:
Meanwhile, with the 250th anniversary coming up, a bit of U.S. history via the DoW info-machine.
"Harsh Treatment of Colonists Leads to American Revolutionary War"
"Battle of Yorktown Leads to Treaty With Great Britain"
Click to expand...

I was always fascinated by the key role France played in the US victory, which tends to get downplayed by the "Murrica!" crowd.

And, ironically, French support of the US helped establish the conditions that contributed to its own decline including kicking off their own revolution, as well as helping to establish Canada in its present form through the need to abandon New France to its fate. ;)


France's direct help was a major and decisive contribution towards the United States' eventual victory and independence in the war. However, as a cost of participation in the war, France accumulated over 1 billion livres in debt, which significantly strained the nation's finances. The French government's failure to control spending (in combination with other factors) led to unrest in the nation, which eventually culminated in a revolution a few years after the conflict between the US and Great Britain concluded. Relations between France and the United States thereafter deteriorated, leading to the Quasi-War in 1798.

en.wikipedia.org

France in the American Revolutionary War - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
 
PrairieFella said:
3 more of the same 3? Paywall.
Click to expand...
Pentagon says three F-15s downed by friendly fire in Kuwait, no casualties

Three American F-15 fighter jets crashed Monday morning over Kuwait in an “apparent friendly fire” incident, U.S. Central Command said in a statement. All six crew members ejected safely and are in stable condition.
“The U.S. Air Force fighter jets were mistakenly shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses,” Central Command said. Military officials said the three jets were in engaged active combat at the time of the incident, involving attacks from Iranian aircraft, ballistic missiles and drones.
U.S. military officials confirmed they were coordinating with Kuwaiti defense forces as they investigated the incident.
Earlier Monday, Kuwait said that it was coordinating with U.S. counterparts to investigate a crash of several aircraft and that authorities had initiated an immediate search-and-rescue operation, evacuating the crews and transporting them for medical care.
 
Nvlgzr said:
Pentagon says three F-15s downed by friendly fire in Kuwait, no casualties

Three American F-15 fighter jets crashed Monday morning over Kuwait in an “apparent friendly fire” incident, U.S. Central Command said in a statement. All six crew members ejected safely and are in stable condition.
“The U.S. Air Force fighter jets were mistakenly shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses,” Central Command said. Military officials said the three jets were in engaged active combat at the time of the incident, involving attacks from Iranian aircraft, ballistic missiles and drones.
U.S. military officials confirmed they were coordinating with Kuwaiti defense forces as they investigated the incident.
Earlier Monday, Kuwait said that it was coordinating with U.S. counterparts to investigate a crash of several aircraft and that authorities had initiated an immediate search-and-rescue operation, evacuating the crews and transporting them for medical care.
Click to expand...

In other news, Kuwaiti Air Defence Team receives efficiency medal and an invite to Ukraine ;)
 
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