- Reaction score
- 6,006
- Points
- 1,260
Interesting approach to students collaborating to develop an open source analysis - shared by the Mercyhurst College Institute for Intelligence Studies (MCIIS) in Erie, Pennsylvania....
Non-State Actors (NSA) In Sub-Saharan Africa 2007-2012 Outlook - Key Findings
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* What role will non-state actors (NSAs) play and what impact will NSAs have in Sub-Saharan Africa over the next five years?
o While it may seem counter-intuitive, and notwithstanding significant variability from state to state, non-state actors (NSAs), on average, likely play a limited role in Sub-Saharan Africa, and these roles afford the NSA little to no influence and will likely continue to do so over the next five years. Additionally countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are evenly split between those where Government Sanctioned NSA Role Potentials (as utilized by NSAs like corporations, NGOs, labor unions) dominate and those where Extra-Government NSA Role Potentials (as utilized by NSAs like criminal organizations, terrorist groups) dominate and in both cases the roles played by NSAs on average in these countries are likely still minimal. However, over the next five years, countries where Government Sanctioned Role Potentials dominate are likely to see a moderate increase in the influence of lawful NSAs, while countries where Extra-Governmental NSA Role Potentials dominate are likely to see no increase in the influence of unlawful NSAs.
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Non-State Actors (NSA) In Sub-Saharan Africa 2007-2012 Outlook - Key Findings
(....)
* What role will non-state actors (NSAs) play and what impact will NSAs have in Sub-Saharan Africa over the next five years?
o While it may seem counter-intuitive, and notwithstanding significant variability from state to state, non-state actors (NSAs), on average, likely play a limited role in Sub-Saharan Africa, and these roles afford the NSA little to no influence and will likely continue to do so over the next five years. Additionally countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are evenly split between those where Government Sanctioned NSA Role Potentials (as utilized by NSAs like corporations, NGOs, labor unions) dominate and those where Extra-Government NSA Role Potentials (as utilized by NSAs like criminal organizations, terrorist groups) dominate and in both cases the roles played by NSAs on average in these countries are likely still minimal. However, over the next five years, countries where Government Sanctioned Role Potentials dominate are likely to see a moderate increase in the influence of lawful NSAs, while countries where Extra-Governmental NSA Role Potentials dominate are likely to see no increase in the influence of unlawful NSAs.
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