A bit long, but informative.
Ferguson is giving the Trump administration's shocking approach the benefit of a doubt but the big 'If' is: what if it doesn't work?
Conflict: Niall Ferguson on Ukraine, Taiwan, and His War of Words with V. P. Vance
Niall Ferguson, preeminent historian, discuss the war and ongoing stalemate in Ukraine; the Trump administration’s foreign policy and negotiations with Russia; and the broader geopolitical landscape, including the shift in Europe’s defense posture as the US signals a reduced commitment to NATO.
Niall Ferguson, preeminent historian, discuss the war and ongoing stalemate in Ukraine; the Trump administration’s foreign policy and negotiations with Russia; and the broader geopolitical landscape, including the shift in Europe’s defense posture as the US signals a reduced commitment to NATO.
www.hoover.org
Doomed. Doomed I tell ye.
We're no known as dour without reason.
Momentary glimmer of light. 10 years down the road. AI and Technology. They might save us eventually. But what about today?
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Hamoukar - Syria, 3500 BC. In a war over a city positioned on a strategic material trade route, and known for its expertise in working that strategic material we find the ground littered with these.
These are sun-dried clay bullets. Manufactured locally in their thousands and stockpiled at strategic locations around the city. They city was known for working with a black, volcanic glass, still prized today for supplying cutting edges finer than any steel scalpel: Obsidian. It was the rare earth of its day. It had been for 10,000 years previous. Since 14,000 BC.
A huge battle destroyed one of the world's earliest cities at around 3500 B.C. and left behind, preserved in their places, artifacts from daily life in an urban settlement in upper Mesopotamia, according to a joint announcement from the University of Chicago and the Department of Antiquities in...
phys.org
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Digression. Why do we make things out of iron? Bronze makes better blades and did up until modern furnaces and alloying caught up. The reason for the Iron Age was that Iron is found everywhere, virtually. Bronze required arsenic or tin and those materials came from a very limited number of sources. The supply chains were long and expensive and subject to political favouritism.
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WW2. Ships sinking. Need to build ships faster than they could be sunk. Enter technological innovation.
en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
en.wikipedia.org
Project Habakkuk's Pykrete mix of wood chips and ice was a failure
The concrete ships were a qualified failure although they ultimately inspired the ocean going caissons of the Mulberry Harbours of Normandy.
The Liberty Ships though, were a success, although some failed - they cracked in mid ocean before the enemy could get to them due to poorly tempered steel made in a hurry by inexperienced work forces. But more of the prefab ships, made from prefab sections, some with concrete interior decks, survived long enough to make themselves useful.
One of them survives as the
Star of Kodiak, landlocked in Kodiak harbor where she was pressed into service as a seafood processor after a 1964 tsunami wiped out the water front.
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All of which brings me to where I think we are today.
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Archaeologists can date eras by the materials found in the garbage dumps. Rocks and bones. Clays and ceramics of various types. Concrete, bricks and tiles. Copper, Bronze, Iron.... Steel. And today .... Plastic. (Wood and leather deteriorate and don't survive).
Plastic is ubiquitous. Plastic survives. Plastic has replaced paper, wood, pottery, steel, aluminum, iron and silicon. Plastic is cheap. Plastic is flexible, in all the many ways that you might want to use that word.
We have swapped the foundries of the Iron Age, the ones that supplied the materials for the Liberty Ships of WW2, along with the aluminum smelters that provided Boeing with their materials in Seattle, for plastic forming factories fed by hydrocarbons.
We have lots of hydrocarbons. And we have lots of facilities capable of producing specialized plastics and of forming them into things. Including things that can kill and things that can transport.
Couple plastic with 3D printing, along with materials like metals, including aluminum, bronze and lead as well as clay and in the next two years we could start stockpiling plastic rockets, plastic bullets, plastic boats, plastic submarines. Where plastic will not suffice then the other materials offer adjuncts to cover over the weak points.
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Which brings me to Anduril and its 3D printing of vessels and aircraft.
3D printing of propellants
3D printing technology is considered the perfect modern manufacturing technology for military/industrial enterprises worldwide. Applying 3D printing i…
www.sciencedirect.com
3D printing of jet engines
GE Aerospace, the aerospace and aviation division of US energy multinational General Electric (GE), has announced plans to invest over $650 million into its global manufacturing plants and supply chain this year. The Ohio-based engine manufacturer hopes that this investment will increase its...
3dprintingindustry.com
And add in
en.wikipedia.org
And
The Russian production goal is slightly lower.
www.forbes.com
Newly elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney discussed increasing pressure on Moscow, particularly by imposing additional sanctions against Russia's banking sector and its so-called "shadow fleet" of oil tankers.
kyivindependent.com
Carney and Zelensky also discussed defense cooperation and the possibility of joint production of long-range weapons and electronic warfare equipment.
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If we can't do things the conventional way then we will be forced to do things the other way....and make the best of it.
Even if it means learning how to do things differently because we can't do what we use to do in the good old days.