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Not to mention Hezbollah & Co. - even if they've been thrashed a bit in Lebanon, I suspect there's more than zero assets (or supporters) to help out in the West in any such shenanigans.
Israeli strikes on Iran (2024, 2025, etc.)
- Thread starter brihard
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Better to deal with it now, than to let Iran fester forever, particularly with nukes.
Shipping lanes can be cleared, and terrorists can be sorted/stopped.
Brad Sallows
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PrairieFella
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Didn't Trump’s own DNI testify that Iran wasn't actively pursuing a nuke?
KevinB
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She also has a tendency to parrot Russia, and this week POTUS gave her a bit of a smackdown and told to read from the current script or find a new gig.
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So now she's not a Russian plant?
PrairieFella
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I think she is certainly influenced by Russia, but if the intelligence community writ large is saying that, I tend to believe it.
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Are they saying that? What I have read is that Iran has been accelerating their enrichment programme, and showed no signs of slowing prior to the strikes from Israel...
MilEME09
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And likely weeks away from a bomb, and reports after Israeli strikes started they were trying to rush one
PrairieFella
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One things for certain, they will now.
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June 9th, from the IAEA... Iran started this game, they just didn't know the game they were playing.
FAFO
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Retired AF Guy
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Watching different News channels from around the world and India Today is stating that the USAF dropped 6 MOP bombs on Fordow facility. Other news agencies are reporting 10 ballistic missile strikes throughout Israel.
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Fred Hahn over at CUPE must be apoplectic right now.
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The BDA?
“it was MASSIVE”
“ entirely effective”
“obliterated” “wiped out”
“No one’s ever done this before”
“it will be easier next time”
It’s been decided. No other assessment is necessary.
Maxman1
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CENTCOM as of this past Tuesday, via the White House ...
At that point, IIRC, Gabbard hadn't backtracked yet at that point.
Also, to be fair to her, as DNI, she should be sharing a sort of overall aggregate/consensus assessment from all the alphabet soup teams, "averaging" each agency's level of certainty/uncertainty. IF that's what was happening, that may have been the case at that point, with Defence maybe the more aggressive take on the int out there.
After all, certainty can range - remember this from earlier this year?
Here's the transcript via the Associated Press (text also attached if link doesn't work).
Meanwhile, a few details from the IAEA ....
Update on Developments in Iran (2) | IAEA
Update on Developments in Iran (3) | IAEA
- "IRGC: U.S. Aggression Will Receive Regretful Response, Peaceful Nuclear Path Unshaken"
- "Arms Suppliers of Israel Are Legitimate Targets, Iran Warns"
- "Iran announced the first-ever launch of its multi-warhead Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile during the twentieth wave of Operation True Promise III in the early hours of Sunday ..."**
- "Iran's atomic body condemns American assault on nuclear sites, vows legal action"
- "Iran Condemns U.S. Military Strikes as Unprecedented Violation of International Law"
- "Iran’s top military general lauds nation’s resolve against Zionist aggression"
- "At an existential crossroads, Hezbollah stands in defence of its symbol and backbone in Tehran. However, the decision to directly engage in the battle is not a simple one, neither politically nor militarily, given that the U.S.-led Israeli aggression against Lebanon has stripped some of its defensive capabilities ... Hezbollah cadres are deliberately maintaining an ambiguous discourse that allows them to politically manoeuvre and enables them to decide whether to intervene or not, based on the outcome of field and diplomatic developments ..."
- "... (Hezbollah's) Sheikh Qassem affirmed that Hezbollah will act what it deems appropriate in the face of the Israeli-American aggression on Iran..."
- Hamas: condemns strikes (but doesn't say out loud it'll do anything yet)
- Iraqi National Wisdom Movement***: condemns strikes (but doesn't say out loud it'll do anything yet)
Kheibar Shekan - Wikipedia
National Wisdom Movement - Wikipedia
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Although a lot of stuff happened after ISW published its latest last night, this tidbit intrigues re: IRN sorting out who may be next (footnote links in the update) ....
"Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has begun implementing emergency succession measures in response to escalating Israeli strikes and the potential for US military involvement.[1] Unspecified Iranian sources told the New York Times on June 21 that Khamenei has relocated to a secure bunker, suspended digital communications, and now communicates with senior commanders only through a trusted aide.[2] Sources added that Khamenei named three senior clerics as candidates to replace him if he is killed.[3] Khamanei also reportedly named replacements for top military commanders and ordered senior officials to work from underground offices and avoid using cellphones.[4] These steps mark the first reported instance of Khamenei directly selecting potential successors outside the formal process of the Assembly of Experts. Khamenei likely took these steps amid heightened assassination fears, as some Israeli officials, including Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, have openly threatened Khamenei’s life.[5] Two unspecified US officials told Reuters on June 15 that the US President Donald Trump vetoed an Israeli plan to kill Khamenei, however.[6] Trump separately stated on June 17 that the United States knows “exactly where the so-called ‘Supreme Leader’ is hiding” but would not “take him out, at least not for now.”[7]
Khamenei’s previous actions indicate that the three possible replacements are almost certainly equally as ideological as he is. Khamenei previously met with the Assembly of Experts members in November 2024 and emphasized that the next Supreme Leader must “embody the revolution” and implement Islam in Iranian society.[8] Khamenei did not name a successor at the meeting, however. Esfahan interim Friday Prayer Leader and Assembly of Experts member Abdolhasan Mahdavi confirmed a week after Khamenei’s meeting in November 2024 that the assembly had confidentially identified and prioritized three candidates for succession and framed it as “a routine responsibility.”[9] The Assembly of Experts is an 88-member elected clerical body tasked with appointing, supervising, and—at least in theory—removing the Supreme Leader, though in practice it has never challenged the position and plays a limited role in day-to-day politics.[10] The only previous leadership transition in Iran occurred in 1989 under different political conditions. The current assembly was elected in March 2024 and will serve until 2032.[11]
It remains unclear who Khamenei selected as his potential successor. Unspecified sources added that Mojtaba Khamenei, Khamenei’s son and frequently rumored successor, is not among the designated candidates, however.[12] Former President Ebrahim Raisi, another widely speculated figure, died in a helicopter crash in May 2024 and is no longer in consideration.[13] Khamenei’s decision reflects his concerns about external threats and potential instability after his death, as the regime expects opposition groups and anti-regime actors to exploit any leadership vacuum.[14] Opposition groups and anti-regime actors are more likely to try to exploit such a vacuum during a war ..."
"Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has begun implementing emergency succession measures in response to escalating Israeli strikes and the potential for US military involvement.[1] Unspecified Iranian sources told the New York Times on June 21 that Khamenei has relocated to a secure bunker, suspended digital communications, and now communicates with senior commanders only through a trusted aide.[2] Sources added that Khamenei named three senior clerics as candidates to replace him if he is killed.[3] Khamanei also reportedly named replacements for top military commanders and ordered senior officials to work from underground offices and avoid using cellphones.[4] These steps mark the first reported instance of Khamenei directly selecting potential successors outside the formal process of the Assembly of Experts. Khamenei likely took these steps amid heightened assassination fears, as some Israeli officials, including Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, have openly threatened Khamenei’s life.[5] Two unspecified US officials told Reuters on June 15 that the US President Donald Trump vetoed an Israeli plan to kill Khamenei, however.[6] Trump separately stated on June 17 that the United States knows “exactly where the so-called ‘Supreme Leader’ is hiding” but would not “take him out, at least not for now.”[7]
Khamenei’s previous actions indicate that the three possible replacements are almost certainly equally as ideological as he is. Khamenei previously met with the Assembly of Experts members in November 2024 and emphasized that the next Supreme Leader must “embody the revolution” and implement Islam in Iranian society.[8] Khamenei did not name a successor at the meeting, however. Esfahan interim Friday Prayer Leader and Assembly of Experts member Abdolhasan Mahdavi confirmed a week after Khamenei’s meeting in November 2024 that the assembly had confidentially identified and prioritized three candidates for succession and framed it as “a routine responsibility.”[9] The Assembly of Experts is an 88-member elected clerical body tasked with appointing, supervising, and—at least in theory—removing the Supreme Leader, though in practice it has never challenged the position and plays a limited role in day-to-day politics.[10] The only previous leadership transition in Iran occurred in 1989 under different political conditions. The current assembly was elected in March 2024 and will serve until 2032.[11]
It remains unclear who Khamenei selected as his potential successor. Unspecified sources added that Mojtaba Khamenei, Khamenei’s son and frequently rumored successor, is not among the designated candidates, however.[12] Former President Ebrahim Raisi, another widely speculated figure, died in a helicopter crash in May 2024 and is no longer in consideration.[13] Khamenei’s decision reflects his concerns about external threats and potential instability after his death, as the regime expects opposition groups and anti-regime actors to exploit any leadership vacuum.[14] Opposition groups and anti-regime actors are more likely to try to exploit such a vacuum during a war ..."
OldSolduer
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Fred should be shipped to Iran, handed an AK and be told he has to fight the IDF.
