• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

Drones, the Air Littoral, and the Looming Irrelevance of the USAF

From V-Bat to X-Bat - a tail sitting VTOL CCA.


1761186204846.jpeg

1761186311647.jpeg

RCAF or RRCA?
 
From the above.



it’s vertical takeoff and landing. And the reason why vertical takeoff and landing is so important is that in all of our wargames, we lose more aircraft on the ground than we do in the air. And over the last 20 or 30 years, the United States has spent a considerable amount of money making aircraft incredibly survivable in the air. More and more low observable, more and more advanced technologies, to be survivable in the air. What China has done is said, okay, cool, you guys keep going down that road, we’re just going to take them all out on the ground before they even get there. Or we’re going to deny the ability for those aircraft to even get into the fight, because tactical aircraft are heavily dependent on tankers, to cover the ranges in the Pacific. So, we’re going to prevent you from basing them too close, which means you’re going to rely on the tankers, and we’re going to develop a lot of ways to hold those tankers at risk so that you can’t even get them into the theater.
 
More on the X-Bat


"Shield AI said X-BAT’s ability to deliver combat capability while taking off and landing vertically, independent of any need for runways, could transform the way U.S. and allied air forces wage air warfare.

“Airpower without runways is the holy grail of deterrence,”"

I reiterate my earlier question. RRCA or RCAF?

If it has no pilot and has no runway and finds its own targets isn't it just a munition? A round? A reusable round but a round none the less.
 
How much of a military revolution are drones?

RMA revisited. With a subtext of "Tempus Fugit."

“Precision strikes are not effective when the opponent’s ideology is the target.”

"Will drones act as a mobile minefield on land, at sea, or in the air, attracted to some type of signature with a lethal payload? Or will drones battle to seize “command of the drone domain” so they can exploit it for their purposes while denying the domain to the opponent’s drones?"


 
No room for the infanteer.....


the war has changed in the past three-and-a-half years, since the time he sent back video of him guiding mortar fire from a hide 600 metres away from the Russian lines.

“The fast progression of this war was unreal. It started with (the Russians being in the) next building beside you, close quarters combat. The next time I went back, there were a few drones for reconnaissance and they were armed. And then all of sudden I came back after that and joined the Vendetta group (59th brigade, 10th battalion Ukrainian Army). And when I got there, the place was littered with $400 drones with IEDs (improvised explosive devices) on them.

“The progression has gone so fast, you now have a $400 drone with an AI tech guidance system that can see up from 12 to 20 kilometres away, so you can’t really hide. There are drones that can see you from 20 kilometres away, that can zoom in on a frog through a tree. It’s now become a real chess match. The advancement in technology, the advancement in drone warfare, means there is no front line anymore. You go to the front lines, you go there to draw fire or unfortunately to die,” he said.

Ivison said he remembered the video footage of Challice and his comrades fighting in huge drainage ditches in the fields of south Ukraine.

Challice said that is a thing of the past. “There is no more close combat. Like I said, there’s no room for a soldier anymore that’s combat-trained. Now, there’s 20-year-old kids that are sitting 15 kilometres away in a hole with 300 drones, and they just send one up after the other, after the other (while) in their boxers eating chips.”

Challice said he’s become a decent drone pilot.

“I did a lot of drone training with the Ukrainian military in my time off, so I was able to kind of pick it up pretty easy with the (quadrocopters). The (drone pilots) were flying our reconnaissance drone and they found a bunch of Russians and they let me take the wheel and I did what I had to do. It’s war (but) it’s changed and nobody’s ready for this.”

The change has been a great leveller for Ukraine, which instead of using $250,000 a missile Javelins to take out a tank, now does the same job with a $400 drone.

“It’s very good news. They mass produce these things. I’ve been in drone factories from Zaporizhzhia to Kharkiv, to even just north of Pokrovsk, and I’m not talking tens, there’s tens of thousands being built in these places. If one goes down, they send five more up.

“It’s become a cost-effective war. These big defence contractors like Lockheed Martin, Bombardier, they’ve got these big ticket items, but now, like you said, I can shoot a tank with a Javelin fire-and-forget $250,000 missile or I can hit them with a $400 drone with an IED on it that does the same thing. It’s completely changed the face of warfare.”


 
Question:

If western defense is premised on keynesian economics can it shift to the production of low cost munitions?

This particularly applies to the US and Canada.

Defence is given to be a non-productive activity. Money spent on defence falls into the dig a hole fill a hole get paid category. A good chunk of the US economy is predicated on pumping money into the economy via defence. Is the incentive sufficient that the majors have built their business plans on doing as little as possible for as much as possible?

If so, can they pivot to prioritising productivity and cost control?

...

And what applies to the US applies to Canada in spades. At least the US wants an army.
 
No room for the infanteer.....


the war has changed in the past three-and-a-half years, since the time he sent back video of him guiding mortar fire from a hide 600 metres away from the Russian lines.

“The fast progression of this war was unreal. It started with (the Russians being in the) next building beside you, close quarters combat. The next time I went back, there were a few drones for reconnaissance and they were armed. And then all of sudden I came back after that and joined the Vendetta group (59th brigade, 10th battalion Ukrainian Army). And when I got there, the place was littered with $400 drones with IEDs (improvised explosive devices) on them.

“The progression has gone so fast, you now have a $400 drone with an AI tech guidance system that can see up from 12 to 20 kilometres away, so you can’t really hide. There are drones that can see you from 20 kilometres away, that can zoom in on a frog through a tree. It’s now become a real chess match. The advancement in technology, the advancement in drone warfare, means there is no front line anymore. You go to the front lines, you go there to draw fire or unfortunately to die,” he said.

Ivison said he remembered the video footage of Challice and his comrades fighting in huge drainage ditches in the fields of south Ukraine.

Challice said that is a thing of the past. “There is no more close combat. Like I said, there’s no room for a soldier anymore that’s combat-trained. Now, there’s 20-year-old kids that are sitting 15 kilometres away in a hole with 300 drones, and they just send one up after the other, after the other (while) in their boxers eating chips.”

Challice said he’s become a decent drone pilot.

“I did a lot of drone training with the Ukrainian military in my time off, so I was able to kind of pick it up pretty easy with the (quadrocopters). The (drone pilots) were flying our reconnaissance drone and they found a bunch of Russians and they let me take the wheel and I did what I had to do. It’s war (but) it’s changed and nobody’s ready for this.”

The change has been a great leveller for Ukraine, which instead of using $250,000 a missile Javelins to take out a tank, now does the same job with a $400 drone.

“It’s very good news. They mass produce these things. I’ve been in drone factories from Zaporizhzhia to Kharkiv, to even just north of Pokrovsk, and I’m not talking tens, there’s tens of thousands being built in these places. If one goes down, they send five more up.

“It’s become a cost-effective war. These big defence contractors like Lockheed Martin, Bombardier, they’ve got these big ticket items, but now, like you said, I can shoot a tank with a Javelin fire-and-forget $250,000 missile or I can hit them with a $400 drone with an IED on it that does the same thing. It’s completely changed the face of warfare.”



Further to - The rise of loitering munitions in high-intensity warfare - Army Technology
 
Back
Top