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Hybrid Warfare and Sabotage

The Bread Guy said:
Warnings from POL intelligence based on past attacks on infrastructure.
techcrunch.com

Poland says hackers breached water treatment plants, and the US is facing the same threat | TechCrunch

A report by Poland’s top intelligence agency accused Russia of sabotage and hacking activities against the country’s military and civilian infrastructure.
techcrunch.com techcrunch.com
mezha.net

Polish intelligence reveals attacks on water treatment plants, warns of takeover risk | Ukraine news - #Mezha

Polish intelligence says hackers targeted five water treatment plants, risking industrial control takeover and highlighting global threats to water infrastructure.
mezha.net mezha.net
www.securityweek.com

Polish Security Agency Reports ICS Breaches at Five Water Treatment Plants

The hackers gained the ability to modify equipment operational parameters, creating a direct risk to the public water supply.
www.securityweek.com www.securityweek.com
In case you can read Polish, attached is POL's Internal Security Agency report (58 pages) released earlier this week.
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The Air Gap is your friend.

en.wikipedia.org

Air gap (networking) - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
 
Kirkhill said:
An overt declaration of covert war?
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I would say that Russia has actively been at war with the West for some time.

One of the latest. Explosive drone at German airport linked to Russian military intelligence, US intel source says

Going back 12 years, it is an open secret that the GRU blew up the weapons depot in Vrbětice Czechia killing two Czech nationals and injuring several. The name of the three members of Unit 21955 who conducted the bombing is also known to Western IC

Additionally Andrey Averyanov - Wikipedia is known to have conducted the recce and ordered it and several other ‘wet work’ activities in Europe (and elsewhere).
 
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KevinB said:
I would say that Russia has actively been at war with the West for some time.

One of the latest. Explosive drone at German airport linked to Russian military intelligence, US intel source says

Going back 12 years, it is an open secret that the GRU blew up the weapons depot in Vrbětice Czechia killing two Czech nationals and injuring several. The name of the three members of Unit 21955 who conducted the bombing is also known to Western IC

Additionally Andrey Averyanov - Wikipedia is known to have conducted the recce and ordered it and several other ‘wet work’ activities in Europe (and elsewhere).
Click to expand...


I agree.

What I find unique about this situation is that the Russians are effectively declaring that the Little Green Men, the deniable force that they launched into Ukraine, are in fact responsive to Russian orders.

There is no more deniability.

I'm curious to see how our politicians react to their loss of cover. Deniability helped them as much as it did Vlad.
 
Kirkhill said:
I agree.

What I find unique about this situation is that the Russians are effectively declaring that the Little Green Men, the deniable force that they launched into Ukraine, are in fact responsive to Russian orders.

There is no more deniability.

I'm curious to see how our politicians react to their loss of cover. Deniability helped them as much as it did Vlad.
Click to expand...
I would say that even prior to Yevgeny Prigozhin’s demise, that Vladimir Putin had gambled that by outing Wagner (and the incredibly convoluted network of crisscrossed business networks) as part and parcel of the GRU, that the west would do nothing.
The book I mentioned elsewhere (Putin’s Sledgehammer) is the most detailed OS expose on Putin’s Russia - and how the little green men came to be.
The dichotomy that Russian Law forbids PMC’s - it allows certain companies security forces - but nothing like what Wagner became, and what Redut is now for Ukraine, or what “PMC Bear, otherwise known a 81st Special Forces Detachment (of VDV 45th Guards Spetsnaz Reconnaissance Brigade) does in Africa.
How Russia's GRU Set Up A Fake Private Military Company For Its War In Ukraine

Wiki has a remarkably thorough breakdown on the GRU.
 
The fact that the UN (or anyone else) has sat by while Russian companies have been gobbling up Africa for over a decade - openly flouting weapon embargoes - is appalling.
The monies that Russia pulls out of Africa are increasing and can offset a lot of the losses of its domestic energy sector due to “Ukrainian Sanctions”.

www.gisreportsonline.com

Russia’s Africa footprint is deeper than imagined – GIS Reports

Russia has steadily increased its engagement in Africa, focusing on military presence, energy and infrastructure to secure resources and counter Western influence.
www.gisreportsonline.com www.gisreportsonline.com

I tend to believe that the above is significantly undervalued - both in terms of $ but also Russian troop numbers.
 
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Infrastructure around a German power plant has been bombed. 1 successful detonation and 2 failed, no injuries.

Holy cow.

EDIT: The substation belongs to the third biggest coal power plant in Germany which sits a little less than 10km from the German-Polish border.

www.scmp.com

Explosive devices damage power lines near German coal plant

At least one device detonated, but others failed to go off. No one was hurt and there was no major blackout in the area.
www.scmp.com www.scmp.com
 
Last edited:
ytz said:
Who is going to do it but Ukraine?
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Ukraine has its own issues from/with GRU’s 8th Directorate.

ytz said:
Nobody else has the cojones.
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Last guy who wanted to do that (Gen Chris Donahue) got shoved out the door by Pete Hegseth. Because why take advice from a former Delta Commander, who did OTC after 9/11 and spent 13 years in the unit during the height of GWOT.
 
KevinB said:
Last guy who wanted to do that (Gen Chris Donahue) got shoved out the door by Pete Hegseth. Because why take advice from a former Delta Commander, who did OTC after 9/11 and spent 13 years in the unit during the height of GWOT.
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But what are his testosterone levels, right? #priorities
 
KevinB said:
Last guy who wanted to do that (Gen Chris Donahue) got shoved out the door by Pete Hegseth. Because why take advice from a former Delta Commander, who did OTC after 9/11 and spent 13 years in the unit during the height of GWOT
Click to expand...

Honestly, if the Europeans really cared, somebody could hire him as a consultant and he would help them clean up.
 
ytz said:
Honestly, if the Europeans really cared, somebody could hire him as a consultant and he would help them clean up.
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Which European are you talking about? Henry Kissinger couldn't find him or her. The woman appointed may be having her department gutted.




www.politico.eu

Kallas pushes back on Franco-German reform plans for EU diplomatic service

“Majority” of countries support “the current institutional setup” of the EEAS, Europe’s foreign policy chief says.
www.politico.eu www.politico.eu
 
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