Right; a loss will see Poilievre pushed out of a political window and they’ll make sure Byrne is there to break his landing, but from too great a height to matter. But I don’t see the Conservative Party of Canada fracturing into two or more constituent parts. They’ll recognize that, if Carney wins, they badly need to find a way to rebuild appeal for centrist swing voters that deliver elections.CPC know if they fracture that they're done. They are also experts at fratricide and fracturing. The putsch of OToole is still fresh in many minds and an electoral loss would provide the necessary grounds for Vengeance.