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18 Aug 2025: Poilievre/By-election in Battle River–Crowfoot (AB)

Have no fear, I’m sure once Poilievre regains a seat, he’ll give due attention to figuring out how to rally the necessary votes in Parliament to trigger an election. The door for that will probably open in about a year once the NDP have a new leader.
I think the NDP being as broke as can be will give PMMC even more time than that.
 
I think the NDP being as broke as can be will give PMMC even more time than that.
Oh I think so too. Very good chance this minority goes at least 3 years before the NDP see a diem to carpe. Meanwhile Poilievre will find some new noun to verb and will, I’m sure, issue lots of calls to resign and call an election. But the CPC already chased and caught that car and I’m confident they learned from their mistakes.
 
I'll critique and insult whoever the hell I feel like. Don't like it, tell me to F off.
Meh.

Yes, we all know. I put it on Bruce Fanjoy running a very effective anti-Pierre campaign. Campaigning nationally (which he had to do as a party leader), also sunk his standing, my opinions, and 100% subject to being wrong. Now, he aint your MP to worry about.
And he ain’t yours, but here you are.

Curious. What is it you do for a living and may I ask your age bracket? Strictly curiosity.

I am a farmer (likely not by 2026) and I am in my 50s.
You know what I do for a living and you know my age bracket. Why ask? What does it matter? Just curious.


But the CPC already chased and caught that car and I’m confident they learned from their mistakes.
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Oh definitely. No way they’ll throw the same people and same approaches that already failed in the last parliament at this one. And I’m sure he’ll be much more present for his constituents in rural Alberta than he was for our riding that he actually lives in. If there’s anything that can be said about the modern CPC it’s that they learn from their mistakes and nimbly adapt.
 
Oh definitely. No way they’ll throw the same people and same approaches that already failed in the last parliament at this one. And I’m sure he’ll be much more present for his constituents in rural Alberta than he was for our riding that he actually lives in. If there’s anything that can be said about the modern CPC it’s that they learn from their mistakes and nimbly adapt.
Even if he wins, is he not still subject to a leadership review in September?
 
Even if he wins, is he not still subject to a leadership review in September?
January. So far we haven’t seen any of the posturing by potential successors to suggest the party establishment intends to let it be seriously contested. Absolutely everything right now appears to point towards him being granted the mulligan.
 
ou know what I do for a living and you know my age bracket. Why ask? What does it matter? Just curious.
Actually I don't remember. I think you were/are air force? Assuming your older (50+?)

I have been following some interesting stats on the anti-Pierre/pro Carney crowd. I was listening to something this morning that inidicated Carney's base is very heavy 65+. Thats my curiousity. IF we discuss this further, we should break it out into a Liberal thread.
 
Yup, you’re right. Though my family is prairie farming and oil and gas. I was the only kid below below grandparent-level to serve. My Aunt supported Joe Clark’s *campaign team for his political career and PC (small c) is the baseline family DNA, so my critique is the person’s actions (or lack thereof), not a differing of fundamental political views.
 
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Actually I don't remember. I think you were/are air force? Assuming your older (50+?)

I have been following some interesting stats on the anti-Pierre/pro Carney crowd. I was listening to something this morning that inidicated Carney's base is very heavy 65+. Thats my curiousity. IF we discuss this further, we should break it out into a Liberal thread.
I have two SILs who voted for JT. Nice hair.

Conservative here - not a card carrying one with a dash of liberalism tossed in.
 
Once again, Pierre has an excellent idea, hopefully the Liberals try to use it

That mostly appears to be his 2025 election platform bundled into a single proposal.

The provision regarding foreign acquisition of Canadian companies and resources is already what the Investment Canada Act does in the form of national security reviews.

The call for new energy infrastructure is laudable in general, but presents the same challenge we’ve discussed before; industry needs to actually come to the table with project proposals unless Parliament directly legislates a federal infrastructure project that the government will contract itself.

So, not much new here, but we’ll see how far his mulligan extends. The tacit admission that Carney will be PM for a while is an interesting bit of time in the CPC’s material on this.
 
Back to Team Blue insider baseball, speaking on a podcast ....
... JB reportedly says she won't be running the next campaign.
"Jenni Byrne stands by not pivoting Poilievre to Trump, but won't run next election campaign" (CBC)
 
Back to Team Blue insider baseball, speaking on a podcast ....
... JB reportedly says she won't be running the next campaign.
"Jenni Byrne stands by not pivoting Poilievre to Trump, but won't run next election campaign" (CBC)
I figured Jenni Byrne had a very good ability to read the tea leaves, and realize that the presence, especially amongst disgruntled conservatives, would not be an asset to PP, especially as he approaches his leadership review.

It's more disappointing that PP couldn't see that.
 
I figured Jenni Byrne had a very good ability to read the tea leaves, and realize that the presence, especially amongst disgruntled conservatives, would not be an asset to PP, especially as he approaches his leadership review.

It's more disappointing that PP couldn't see that.
She's certainly smart enough to read the tea leaves, but with some people, seeing it =/= taking it in + accepting it.

We'll see how much of a role, if any, she ends up having - be surprised if the party said zero contact to that much institutional/tactical experience, even if it meant less ... gatekeeper-ish work.
 
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