Political impacts of Ukraine war

[Czech_pivo]

As part of Carney's trip to Ukraine/Poland/Germany/Latvia:

Though not specifically called out as part of Carney's talks with Poland today, other than to say 'expand trade with Poland', I did find this 4 days old article out of Poland and nuclear energy and the mention of Canada interesting.

Koreans exit Poland's nuclear project, leaving US, France, Canada in the race

South Korea’s KHNP has withdrawn from Poland’s planned second nuclear power plant project, leaving U.S.-based Westinghouse, France’s EDF, and Canada’s AtkinsRéalis in the race.

tvpworld.com

 

[HavokFour]

As part of Carney's trip to Ukraine/Poland/Germany/Latvia:

Though not specifically called out as part of Carney's talks with Poland today, other than to say 'expand trade with Poland', I did find this 4 days old article out of Poland and nuclear energy and the mention of Canada interesting.

Koreans exit Poland's nuclear project, leaving US, France, Canada in the race

South Korea’s KHNP has withdrawn from Poland’s planned second nuclear power plant project, leaving U.S.-based Westinghouse, France’s EDF, and Canada’s AtkinsRéalis in the race.

tvpworld.com

Possibly a "we buy your subs, you drop your bid in Poland" type deal?

 

[The Bread Guy]

I wonder which CDN bank moved that gold to Portugal….

Well, the Bank of Canada got someone to absolve THEM in 1997, so ....

Final report on wartime gold transactions released

The Bank of Canada today released a report by Professor Duncan McDowall of Carleton University entitled Due Diligence: A report on the Bank of Canada's handling of foreign gold during World War II.

www.bankofcanada.ca

 

[Czech_pivo]

Possibly a "we buy your subs, you drop your bid in Poland" type deal?

I don't think so, according to the article the SK's have to pay a 'fee' to Westinghouse for using their technology in SK nuclear reactors, coupled with the 'requirement' for the US Gov't to sign off on the SK sale to foreign countries for using this technology and then finally that extra 'fee' to Westhinghouse makes the SK's price uncompetitive.

 

[HavokFour]

Times sure have changed. Remember when the Russian's were mocking Europe saying it would freeze in the winter (cutting off Russian gas), early on in the war?

Parts of Russia face gasoline shortages after Ukraine struck refineries

Several regions in Russia and parts of Ukraine it controls are reporting gasoline shortages after Ukraine stepped up attacks on Russian oil refineries this month, and amid a seasonal surge in fuel demand.

www.reuters.com

 

[HavokFour]

Can't really say this changes a whole lot, not like they were abiding by it before.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1960073078974660936

 

[KevinB]

Meanwhile transactional Donny is at it again.

Limited options may force Europe to pay US for security in Ukraine

Trump's transactional diplomacy could involve Europe paying up to $90 billion to ensure U.S. assistance to avoid another Russian invasion of Ukraine.

www.defensenews.com

 

[HavokFour]

Ouch. Almost an entire quarter in such a short span of time.

Ukraine knocks out 17% of Russia’s oil capacity — and that’s just this month, Reuters says - Euromaidan Press

Moscow’s energy security unravels as Ukraine escalates long-range attacks on its most vulnerable assets.

euromaidanpress.com

 

[The Bread Guy]

Meanwhile transactional Donny is at it again.

Limited options may force Europe to pay US for security in Ukraine

Trump's transactional diplomacy could involve Europe paying up to $90 billion to ensure U.S. assistance to avoid another Russian invasion of Ukraine.

www.defensenews.com

Preferably in used, non-consecutive bills or $TRUMP crypto

 

[daftandbarmy]

Baby steps... aren't helping much

A Comprehensive U.S. Approach Could Help End the War in Ukraine​

It is of course possible that even if the Trump administration invested in a comprehensive conflict diplomacy process, Putin would still block a deal. But we haven't yet tested that proposition. Negotiations to end the war in Ukraine have not failed. They haven't yet properly begun.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2025/08/a-comprehensive-us-approach-could-help-end-the-war.html

 

[The Bread Guy]

MOAR reassurances from the Veep!

Russia admits it won't be able to install puppet regime in Kyiv, Vance says

RUSSIA has abandoned its ambitions to control Ukraine after the war, according to JD Vance – who counts it as a key concession win. The US Vice-President remains confident Trump will broker a…

www.thesun.ie

From the piece:

RUSSIA has abandoned its ambitions to control Ukraine after the war, according to JD Vance - who counts it as a key concession win.

Let's see how well THIS one ages - archived here for posterity

Meanwhile, from Team USSR 2.0 ...

Russia says Europe’s leaders don’t want peace in Ukraine as Vance says US will keep trying

Russian foreign minister praises Trump’s effort and got defensive when asked if Putin was ‘stringing along’ Trump

www.theguardian.com

 

[HavokFour]

Another piece of USSR inheritance is about to turn to dust.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1960743257878749295

No bankruptcies allowed if your business is agriculture. Might start happening in other sectors in the coming months, a very good sign. Be interesting to see how much farmland just sits unused next year if lenders now know for a fact they won't get paid back at all if the recipient is a farmer.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1960246397388689641

 

[The Bread Guy]

Nice of Russia to give the U.S. tentative permission to offer military defense assurances to U.S. allies.

Yeah, about that ...

Kremlin’s new demands threaten to derail peace talks with Ukraine as Trump tries to seal Putin-Zelensky meeting

While President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky work to set up a bilateral Russia-Ukraine summit, Moscow is making new demands that could cancel out the White House’s recent succes…

nypost.com

... with this response from UKR's Prez (links to archived Financial Post article)

That 2022 agreement would be the Istanbul Communique (see attached PDF - source: NY Times), which failed, in part because USSR 2.0 wanted any activation of security guarantee to have to have unanimous approval of all the parties, including Russia. UKR didn't like it then, either ...

 

[McG]

Europe considering its next options to pressure Russia to end its war. Will the EU dare to sanction Russia's closest allies?

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Another piece of USSR inheritance is about to turn to dust.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1960743257878749295

No bankruptcies allowed if your business is agriculture. Might start happening in other sectors in the coming months, a very good sign. Be interesting to see how much farmland just sits unused next year if lenders now know for a fact they won't get paid back at all if the recipient is a farmer.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1960246397388689641

Which is interesting as Russia became the No 1 grain exporter in the world just before 2022.

 

[HavokFour]

Well that should erase any doubt that may have still existed regarding Orban, man is 100% a Russian asset.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1961369489955496368

 

[Kirkhill]

Well that should erase any doubt that may have still existed regarding Orban, man is 100% a Russian asset.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1961369489955496368

You can already find coalitions within NATO . Some willing. Some not. Some independently minded.

Getting all of NATO to act only became harder with expansion. Starting with the addition of Spain and Portugal in the 80s and the French deciding to re-up in 2009.

 

[The Bread Guy]

A bit of insight (via x.com) into some of Hungary's ... issues with Ukraine - and how Poland's deputy PM responded

A bit from UKR & European MSM on this one here

Hungary bars entry of Ukrainian commander of Hungarian descent over oil pipeline attack

Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto described the strike as "an attack on Hungary’s sovereignty," saying it "endangered our energy security and nearly (forced) the use of our strategic reserves."

kyivindependent.com

Hungary sanctions Ukrainian drone commander for oil pipeline bombing

Robert Brovdi is a key commander of Ukraine's Armed Forces. Hungary's sanctions will see him face difficulties entering the Schengen Zone, including NATO institutions. #EuropeNews

www.euronews.com

 

[HavokFour]

Well that's something but you still need to include Ukraine in said talks, it's their house. Not really convinced that contractors will be able to provide any real protection or even deterrence. This is Russia after all, a conventional military.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1961720894188871854

 

[GK .Dundas]

Of course he wants to use PMCs, look how well that worked out with Wagner for the Russians....