The War in Ukraine

[HavokFour]

Orban causing unnecessary trouble yet again. Hard to not see this as him doing this on behalf of Putin.

Spy drones flew into Ukraine from Hungary, Zelenskyy says

Relations between Kyiv and Budapest get worse and worse … and worse.

www.politico.eu

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971651427799007472

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971645072723898644

There is also a bit of an exodus happening in Crimea due to the fuel shortages.

https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social%2Fpost%2F3lzqzyyizt22h

 

[CBH99]

Do you think Ukraine is actually trying to completely destroy Russia's oil manufacturing capacity, and is simply unable?

Or are they able to, but unwilling to go scorched earth, for fear that that would elicit a more extreme response from Russia? Are they just trying to slowly make Russians lives more difficult without ignited an unwanted fire?

I think all 3 of these are the case.

I imagine it takes some time to plan these attacks, as the personnel & equipment have to be moved into place first without any detection.

But the more difficult life is made for the average Russian because of this war (already very unpopular with Russians) the more & more resistence Putin will feel from his own population.


Ukraine has been extremely clever & thought outside the box to a very impressive degree during this conflict, gotta give them that

 

[Kirkhill]

What the Orcs are getting right

What The Bear Got Right – Analysing Russian Successes

Even a broken clock is right twice a day...

open.substack.com

From defense and drones to economics and propaganda.

 

[brihard]

I think all 3 of these are the case.

I imagine it takes some time to plan these attacks, as the personnel & equipment have to be moved into place first without any detection.

But the more difficult life is made for the average Russian because of this war (already very unpopular with Russians) the more & more resistence Putin will feel from his own population.


Ukraine has been extremely clever & thought outside the box to a very impressive degree during this conflict, gotta give them that

I think that realistically the Ukrainians are pushing steadily and aggressively on Russian oil infrastructure at the pace they can sustain, given the concurrent need to also service other targets. They only have so much bandwidth for the intel and targeting and mission planning all of this takes. If Ukraine could move faster on the Russian petroleum sector, I suspect they would.

 

[MilEME09]

Investigation into desertion in the russian army this year, Tatarigami does great work

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971930123298611441

 

[The Bread Guy]

Orban causing unnecessary trouble yet again. Hard to not see this as him doing this on behalf of Putin.

Spy drones flew into Ukraine from Hungary, Zelenskyy says

Relations between Kyiv and Budapest get worse and worse … and worse.

www.politico.eu

(...)

Maybe, but there's also a a bit of .... history there ....
"What has Hungary's Orban got against Ukraine?" (BBC)

Hungarians in Ukraine – Europe Between East And West

Posts about Hungarians in Ukraine written by fortchoteau1

europebetweeneastandwest.wordpress.com

Why Hungary-Ukrainian tensions are so high

In western Ukraine, animosity has been growing – meet an artist trying to tamp down tensions by rebuilding a castle. And in reporter’s notebook, we ask a Ukrainian mobilization officer about his job.

www.counteroffensive.news

Ukraine arrests two over alleged Hungarian spy plot

Ukraine's security service says the state-backed spy network sought to obtain information about military defences on its border with Hungary.

www.bbc.com

 

[MilEME09]

Maybe, but there's also a a bit of .... history there ....
"What has Hungary's Orban got against Ukraine?" (BBC)

Hungarians in Ukraine – Europe Between East And West

Posts about Hungarians in Ukraine written by fortchoteau1

europebetweeneastandwest.wordpress.com

Why Hungary-Ukrainian tensions are so high

In western Ukraine, animosity has been growing – meet an artist trying to tamp down tensions by rebuilding a castle. And in reporter’s notebook, we ask a Ukrainian mobilization officer about his job.

www.counteroffensive.news

Ukraine arrests two over alleged Hungarian spy plot

Ukraine's security service says the state-backed spy network sought to obtain information about military defences on its border with Hungary.

www.bbc.com

Proof apparently coming that Hungary used its drones to spot for Russian strikes. If this ends uo being true, I cannot see this going well at all for Hungary.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971931086528868468

 

[The Bread Guy]

Proof apparently coming that Hungary used its drones to spot for Russian strikes. If this ends uo being true, I cannot see this going well at all for Hungary.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971931086528868468

Hoooooly shiiiiiit - didn't know things were quite THAT bad ....

In other news, another USSR 2.0 "recruiting" source dries up.

Kenyan police break up ring trafficking people to Russia to fight in Ukraine

Recruitment materials, travel documents, and job offer letters were seized during the raid.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[HavokFour]

Proof apparently coming that Hungary used its drones to spot for Russian strikes. If this ends uo being true, I cannot see this going well at all for Hungary.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971931086528868468

Definitely going to need some very solid proof for such a serious allegation. Not seeing any chirping from any other sources yet.

 

[brihard]

Definitely going to need some very solid proof for such a serious allegation. Not seeing any chirping from any other sources yet.

Agreed. It’s super inflammatory and so I’m highly skeptical.

 

[HavokFour]

Agreed. It’s super inflammatory and so I’m highly skeptical.

Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs makes no mention or any indication of the drones being used to guide Russian strikes in his latest tweet regarding the incident. I wonder if EMPR.media read a bit too much into the "gathered all of the necessary evidence" part, as it was made after this one came out.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1971927772017951190

 

[HavokFour]

New thread regarding the rapid evaporation of Russian self-propelled artillery along the front. So now we see AD crew and artillery gunners now being transferred to the infantry due to a mounting lack of things operate and lack of ammunition to operate what they do have.

Thread by @ChrisO_wiki on Thread Reader App

@ChrisO_wiki: 1/ Russian self-propelled artillery has become increasingly rare on the front lines, due to its vulnerability to longer-ranged Western artillery systems and Ukrainian drone strikes. The gunners have re...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[Czech_pivo]

Agreed. It’s super inflammatory and so I’m highly skeptical.

IF something like that was true you’d have to wonder if it could be grounds to remove Hungary from NATO?

 

[HavokFour]

Well, now we know where some of those old Israeli Patriot batteries are going to end up. At least 3 before the end of the year.

Zelensky confirms Israel sent Patriot missile battery to Ukraine, says more coming in fall

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed for the first time that Israel delivered Patriot air defense systems to Kyiv, adding two more batteries will arrive in the fall after months of speculation and denials

www.ynetnews.com

 

[Colin Parkinson]

I think that realistically the Ukrainians are pushing steadily and aggressively on Russian oil infrastructure at the pace they can sustain, given the concurrent need to also service other targets. They only have so much bandwidth for the intel and targeting and mission planning all of this takes. If Ukraine could move faster on the Russian petroleum sector, I suspect they would.

Also, if you wait for them to repair the damage, get started and then hit them again, you use up their spare parts, create labour costs, shutdown/startup costs and repair costs. Particularly if you hit different refineries in the same components such as distilling units and cracking units.

 

[Czech_pivo]

Also, if you wait for them to repair the damage, get started and then hit them again, you use up their spare parts, create labour costs, shutdown/startup costs and repair costs. Particularly if you hit different refineries in the same components such as distilling units and cracking units.

Plus, you further erode civilian morale. They repair it and you come along and destroy it again. Rinse and repeat.

 

[suffolkowner]

New thread regarding the rapid evaporation of Russian self-propelled artillery along the front. So now we see AD crew and artillery gunners now being transferred to the infantry due to a mounting lack of things operate and lack of ammunition to operate what they do have.

Thread by @ChrisO_wiki on Thread Reader App

@ChrisO_wiki: 1/ Russian self-propelled artillery has become increasingly rare on the front lines, due to its vulnerability to longer-ranged Western artillery systems and Ukrainian drone strikes. The gunners have re...…

threadreaderapp.com

how are they even training all these specialties so fast? And if they dont have the artillery or AD why would they?

 

[MilEME09]

how are they even training all these specialties so fast? And if they dont have the artillery or AD why would they?

One thing to understand is towed guns have become the preferred option in this war, SPGs are dying faster then towed guns. Towed are smaller, easier to dig in and camouflage, and harder to spot from drone.

 

[brihard]

One thing to understand is towed guns have become the preferred option in this war, SPGs are dying faster then towed guns. Towed are smaller, easier to dig in and camouflage, and harder to spot from drone.

Probably more survivable from drone hits, too- more at least quickly repairable. The gun is not integral to the mechanized platform.

 

[MilEME09]

Probably more survivable from drone hits, too- more at least quickly repairable. The gun is not integral to the mechanized platform.

SPGs also hold their ammo so much more fragile