The US Social Security Trust Fund is 6 years from running empty.
And if they tried to balance their federal budget exclusively using GST, they'd have to impose a 20% GST. As per a discussion I heard from Mike Moffat on a recent podcast.
The US is actually third in the G7 for their debt ratio. Behind freaking Italy and Japan. That should tell you how bad it is. Canada is middle of the pack. The UK and Germany do better than us. But we're 15 perecentage points of GDP behind the US and that gap is growing.
So I expect a lot more turmoil and turbulence. They need to raise taxes substantially. But they can't. So their bond rates keep going up. Which only makes the working and middle class more unhappy. So they are trying to tax their people more through tariffs. Of course, that messes up trade. And is a reason to cut bond holdings. It's all a mess. Their decades of mismanagement is coming home to roost. And they need a foil to distract. Hence, trade wars with countries that are doing better, like Canada.