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Kharg Island

Lol. After this he's toast. He can't keep the base if he blames Trump. And nobody else is going to vote for him after this. You know they'll be running. And the best part is that they can claim they're the real anti-war candidates. And they'll be endorsed by Dad. Ivanka will be the first...

A week ago they were leaking how he said they could do it quick and how he advocated for decapitation. It's not even just the decision to attack. We're seeing how ideology trumped competence. They didn't take up Ukraine's counter drone offer before because the leader has a crush on Putin...

Stop being woke. - Morons who don't understand why we follow these conventions.

The Kharg Island taskforce. And markets are closed on the weekends. Enough to not have panicked oil market reactions till Monday.

It wasn't hidden. The Op is listed on the website. Exact location is not. For obvious reasons. And it's protocol to check on the member, contact family, etc before any press release.

This is the genius criticizing war colleges and stopping officers from going to Ivy League schools for grad programs because "woke" and not manly. Somehow I think if they actually had someone who wasn't a terminal O-4 with a chip on his shoulder, they'd have better decision-making and planning...

The chaos wasn't actually hitting pockets in the US that much or at all. A global recession actually will hurt Americans. Even if Americans are the least impacted internationally. We have literally signed on to this through various trade agreements. My only question is why we never built a...

Which doesn't matter if exports aren't restricted. And doing that would create all kinds of other chaos globally.

They don't. That's the easy answer. They just have to survive to win. And they are calculating that the American public (and Trump) will tire of $4 gas long before the IRGC and the clerics run out of leaders. Meanwhile, all they need ammo for is suppressing people at home.

At what price? And I mean that almost literally. Because I guarantee you that the Republicans will get a shellacking at the mid terms if gas is consistently over $4/gal. That price level takes out $200B of consumer spending from just households. And the US is among the least impacted. If...

Something that really hasn't caught on more, that I am aware of because of family in the region, is concerns over food. Most of the Gulf countries import significant percentages of food. Like 80-90%. If shipping is consistently threatened, there's concerns they'll be running short soon...

This: Hitting Basij is the first sign of an actually smart strategy. A hint of intelligence.

Half agree with you. You'd be surprised what we can do with sat imagery, known intelligence (particularly metrology) and AI these days. Toss in techniques like Coherent Change Detection and we can follow a known launcher back to base after they've left their launch site. But an effort like...

Double edged sword. Kharg Island would hurt the regime. But any attack on there would raise oil prices substantially. And possibly risk China getting involved. But I'm hedging with oil calls, because I think these guys might be stupid enough to do this.

Yeah. But that requires a fixed launch site. No shoot and scoot. Hope the launch crew is ready to eat a GMLRS.

Polling mostly disagrees with your assertions here. I suspect your mixing up "Americans" with "Trump voters". Cause even a good chunk of Republicans aren't comfortable with this war. And the majority of Democrats and Independents are opposed.

Look how much coast they have to cover. And, things can fly over (and past) landed forces. The only way to practically protect ships is convoys with naval pickets.

Is it? Why is POTUS telling tankers to simply run the blockade? Why is he offering government backed insurance and naval protection? Why are the G7 and IEA having emergency meetings on coordinated SPR release? Their actions certainly speak to how much they care about oil prices. I would add...