I'm struggling to think how this ends without American boots on the ground or Iran getting nukes. I am not seeing an in-between right now. Very pessimistic.
Lest we forget, she wrote the original plan on how to hit 2%. She was shuffled out of the job shortly after. I suspect she is a big reason the government is at or close to 2% this year. Her blueprint.
I could see it going both ways. I actually think both Mattis and Austin were decent...
He's trying really hard to declare victory and slough off the policing to everybody else, notably the Europeans (whose energy security is vulnerable) and the Gulf States (whose economies are vulnerable).
The real question to me is what happens when the Gulf States just cut a deal and move on...
Among many examples I was thinking of. But think of how incompetent he was at an institutional level. And it all stemmed from him not being able to separate his military experience from being an effective minister.
By contrast, Anand had a solid reputation among the GOFOs I know. Listened...
And that's the problem. Different goals. Israel really does not care if the Strait is closed. It's a smaller price to pay for a postage stamp sized country. Heck, Netanyahu will get re-elected for this. Meanwhile, Europe has another energy crisis and a resurgent Russia whose failing economy...
I've never seen you once criticize this admin on any substance. So I think that "burden" is obvious.
I'm fairly sure if Trump said the sky was purple you'd be here telling us his only mistake was not saying it's Indigo.
I don't think anybody that genuinely planned for a Iran war wouldn't have sufficient naval force in the region to keep the Strait open.
They were high on Venezuela. That's clearly the problem here.
Now the question is how to salvage this. If the regime survives, it'll be worse. Much...
The rub lies in who gets to decide what is political indoctrination. Dudes like you and Hegseth who never went to War College or you know the Commandant of said institutions who I trust know what they are preparing students for (being GOFOs themselves).
Also, the other problem with all these...
Ex-military as President or Prime Minister? Useful. They should know what it's like before they send men and women into harms way. Ex-military as MND, SecDef, etc? Dangerous. They tend not to understand what civilian control of the armed forces means in reality. And they are almost...
100 ships a day need an escort through there. They will need a lot of allied help. We should be asking for trade concessions when they come. And be ready to send a frigate, some MCDVs and a six pack over there.
This is the problem with having a terminal Major dictate what Colonels and Generals should be taught.
I said before that he's their version of Paul Hellyer. I stand by it. Nothing worse than guys who served thinking they understand all of the military. Just enough knowledge to make them...
Guy who never attended a War College is so sure on what they need to teach....
Also, posts that whine about cultural topics covered in War College are up there with Hegseth's ignorance. War College =\= Staff College / JPME. It's not about how to learn to sink an aircraft carrier. That's the...
That's why he fired all the lawyers. And the folks who do Collateral Damage Estimates and develop CDE methodology, ... Against the the recommendation of those woke generals (the Joint Chiefs and Combatant Commanders)...
I think they believe they'll have leverage over the regime if they get the Island.
The problem, however, is that they risk creating an economic crisis as oil prices moon. And if I'm Iran, I lean into this hard by going after everything in the Strait and going after the Saudi oilfields and...
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