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Iran Super Thread- Merged


A week ago they were leaking how he said they could do it quick and how he advocated for decapitation.

It's not even just the decision to attack. We're seeing how ideology trumped competence. They didn't take up Ukraine's counter drone offer before because the leader has a crush on Putin. They didn't move the ARG into theatre earlier because "No boots on the ground.". Heck, SecWar says this is a jihad.....err crusade. Maybe that's why he didn't think planning NEO and securing FOB was important.

Now the bullshit is catching up they are panicking. Since Trump doesn't allow admitting mistakes they have no idea how to show enough contrition to save their careers without getting fired or losing the base. So they are leaking to the press about how they are innocent. Next up they leak blame about each other to the press like a bunch of catty bitches.
 
he'd be better off with a trial run starting anytime now

Lol. After this he's toast. He can't keep the base if he blames Trump. And nobody else is going to vote for him after this.

Could be worse: Don Jr or Eric could be candidates!

You know they'll be running. And the best part is that they can claim they're the real anti-war candidates. And they'll be endorsed by Dad. Ivanka will be the first female POTUS.
 
Speaking of drones


Looks like that's now potentially 7 refuellers out of battle today, although let's see what additional information follows.
 
Wasn’t it just days ago the U.S. got cranky and told Israel to rein in attacks on Iran’s oil infrastructure due to the macroeconomic impacts? Now he’s threatening to wipe out the civilian oil infrastructure on Kharg Island? Make this make sense for me please.

I think they believe they'll have leverage over the regime if they get the Island.

The problem, however, is that they risk creating an economic crisis as oil prices moon. And if I'm Iran, I lean into this hard by going after everything in the Strait and going after the Saudi oilfields and Qatar's gas fields. The smart play for the regime is to escalate hard and make the oil shock as painful as they can.

But I guess it's the only play the Administration has left. There is no real way to force the regime to stop the denial operation at the Strait. Good luck to the USN and USMC I guess.

Good primer:

 
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"No quarter" during military conflict, as far as I understand, implies that combatants would not be taken prisoner, but executed.

I would assume most people agree this is illegal?


You would be correct.

That's why he fired all the lawyers. And the folks who do Collateral Damage Estimates and develop CDE methodology, ... Against the the recommendation of those woke generals (the Joint Chiefs and Combatant Commanders).

 
I think they believe they'll have leverage over the regime if they get the Island.

The problem, however, is that they risk creating an economic crisis as oil prices moon. And if I'm Iran, I lean into this hard by going after everything in the Strait and going after the Saudi oilfields and Qatar's gas fields. The smart play for the regime is to escalate hard and make the oil shock as painful as they can.

But I guess it's the only play the Administration has left. There is no real way to force the regime to stop the denial operation at the Strait. Good luck to the USN and USMC I guess. Iranians decide to mine or destroy the the Kharg island oil installations…?

If the Iranians decide to mine the oil facilities at Kharg with a few to destroying them if the marines land things could become interesting.
 
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Take out the electrical substations and that will make sabotage a bit harder. Once they secured the Island, perhaps hand it over to a coalition of Gulf State troops to hold, freeing up US forces for potentiel landing at Qeshm Island.
 
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