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  1. Kirkhill

    The Shadow Fleet

    Question to AI: Is the shadow fleet growing or shrinking and has the rate of change changed since decenber 2025? Response: As of early 2026, the shadow fleet is still growing in size, though the rate of growth has slowed significantly compared to the rapid expansion seen in 2024 and early...
  2. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    In addition this is part of the world in which we live today Russian and sanctioned ships that have suffered misadventure with claimed or suspected ukrainian involvement Ukraine has systematically targeted Russian naval vessels and commercial ships linked to its "shadow fleet"—used to bypass...
  3. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    Obviously I am no lawyer but it appears to me that there is enough there to keep lawyers and the press busy for a long time to come. In my opinion this is the only really effective counter Having said that, I think the matter of how prepared, and willing, China is, is a moot point - very...
  4. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    There is legal authority to board a foreign vessel on the high seas even without the master's or flag state's permission, but this authority is strictly limited to specific circumstances. Cambridge University Press & Assessment +1 Under modern international law, primarily the United Nations...
  5. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    are the laws that underwrote the british anti-piracy and anti-slavery activities of the West Africa Squadron and other Royal Navy units still in effect and if not are there similar laws that would justify similar actions in the present day The specific 19th-century British laws—such as the...
  6. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    AI is my friend Since December 2025, a intensified global crackdown has seen at least 14 shadow fleet vessels, primarily carrying Russian oil, boarded, detained, or seized by a coalition of European and other nations. This wave of enforcement, which included 14 such cases between December 2025...
  7. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    On what reasonable grounds can a police officer pull you over on a public highway and go fishing for violations? That seems to be the primary tactic being employed against the shadow fleet, and un-sanctioned traffic generally, by not just the US but some other countries with dogs in this fight...
  8. Kirkhill

    GBAD - The return of 'FOBS'

    Random explorations of the unknown. ... Back to the notion of privatised air defence. Already a thing in Ukraine. Probably a logical extension of all the crowd-sourcing of funds, supplies and weapons that have been a feature of this war...
  9. Kirkhill

    Mine Warfare

    Deployment can be from any place you can back in a trailer and launch any other 11 m boat. Sprint speed of 40 knots Patrol speed of 8 knots while towing Endurance of 18 to 24 hrs depending on duties and fuel consumption Max distance from control station 60 NM But the launch point and the...
  10. Kirkhill

    Mine Warfare

    This article points to the USN deploying guided missile destroyers to hunt mines and questions the tactic. https://www.businessinsider.com/us-warships-destroyers-mines-risky-strait-hormuz-mission-2026-4 I suggest that the older system with crewed mine sweepers and hunters would still havw seen...
  11. Kirkhill

    Canada moves to 2% GDP end of FY25/26 - PMMC

    I feel exactly the same way about pipelines....
  12. Kirkhill

    Canada moves to 2% GDP end of FY25/26 - PMMC

    But our guy seems to be saying the other thing. No?
  13. Kirkhill

    Iran Super Thread- Merged

    Is this right? https://substack.com/@roybentzvi/note/c-242448926?r=29ob66
  14. Kirkhill

    Canada's tanks

    Tankies using drones while on the move.... https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/british-army-trials-drone-warfare-from-moving-tanks/ "B Squadron Leader Major Douglas Graham said: “I am converting my Challenger 2 Squadron into the first Find and Strike Squadron in the British Army. Here on exercise...
  15. Kirkhill

    Canada's tanks

    WRT the Brit Challengers AI tells me As of late 2025, the UK operates or holds in inventory approximately 288 Challenger 2 tanks, although some reports indicate a lower operational figure of around 157–213 depending on service status. The UK is upgrading 148 of these Challenger 2 tanks to the...
  16. Kirkhill

    Canada's tanks

    An old tank is better than no tank? https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/enhanced-m60-republic-china-army "The upgrade package centres around the integration of a new turret, all-electric digital fire controls, and high-resolution observation and aiming systems. These are intended to...
  17. Kirkhill

    Continental Defence Corvette

    Seen. And JAGM has been successfully launched both vertically and inclined https://news.lockheedmartin.com/2026-01-15-Successful-JAGM-Quad-Launcher-Demo-Showcases-90-Degree-Vertical-Launch-and-C-UAS-Capabilities As have Tomahawks (which are also launched horizontally from submarine torpedo...
  18. Kirkhill

    Apaches

    As long as they are fully exploiting their elevation to extend their horizons and keeping ther platform well back from the fight itself. This may add to explaining the interest in low cost long range missiles for helicopters. 5 km missiles are not going to cut it unless the target is coming...
  19. Kirkhill

    GBAD - The return of 'FOBS'

    A new use for those police scanners? https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and_tech/simultaneously_detects_russian_drones_displays_their_video_signal_in_real_time_what_ukrainian_vydun_75_detector_can_do-18131.html Now you can watch the FPV pilot watching you as she chases you round the boardroom...
  20. Kirkhill

    Canada moves to 2% GDP end of FY25/26 - PMMC

    Swings and roundabouts. https://militarnyi.com/en/news/canada-to-invest-1-billion-in-155-mm-shell-production/ https://www.readthemaple.com/quebeckers-fight-u-s-backed-expansion-of-arms-plant/ Consensus would be a fine thing. Best of luck with that. .... By the way: Whose money is paying...
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