It's May, 2026. GDP numbers for 2026 are still estimates/projections. Even 2025 numbers aren't very firm, but at least they're more firm than complete unknowns/extrapolations.
The estimates of population loss for 2025 vary, but are somewhere around 100,000 net for the year. It should have...
Yes, the US is doing well. The effect of Trump's tariffs has not been as ruinous to the US as either predicted or hoped; by almost all measures of output and employment the US is somehow still thriving. Every time there's a glimmer of hope for a resolution of the war, markets respond...
The decades-long trend it shows.
Population decline, 2025 Q4. 103,504 people. Population estimate for 01 Jan 2026: 41,472,081. World Bank GDP estimate for 2025: about $2.1T USD (so comparable to what's at the links I provided).
$2.1T / 41,472,081 = $50636 (per capita)
$2.1T /...
Of course it can, and will. People who talk seriously about more engagement with adversaries like China cannot expect to be also taken seriously when they talk about less engagement with the US. As bad as the Trump-led facets of the US are, they are not remotely as bad as true adversaries of...
Why bother? We could be having one right now. Putin telegraphed himself in 2014, and look where things are. Europe had years to get ready before phase II; Europe's had years to do something more decisive since phase II started.
As I've noted repeatedly, spot measurements are not really helpful and are no match for trend measurements. The trend is unimpressive. It would be nice to exhibit a mostly monotonically increasing curve over the long term, and Canada doesn't.
US
Canada
It takes about 30 seconds to find...
Sure. Another 10-15 years of the US outpacing everyone else. Just as likely they'll be begging the US to save them from whatever squabbles they fail to head off. By then it'll be just about time for Ukraine Round 3, assuming Ukraine manages to survive this one, no thanks to direct involvement...
Most searches will turn up links to information synthesized from OECD reports.
OECD sources are difficult to pin down, but can be found for those interested. Many will be PDFs. Be sure to check publication dates; some are outdated by a decade or more.
No, but if you search the topic, the evidence exists, in this case. Whether Canada occupies position #38 I don't know, but the numbers are very unfavourable. Hiding behind an "Aha!" doesn't make things better for us.
There was never going to be a coalition including any relevant European nation with Israel as the second-ranking partner in a war against an Islamic country. France, Germany, and UK are probably at the head of a long list of European countries with substantial fractious Muslim minorities...
Refers to per capita growth.
One observation is that Canada's per capita GDP is already pretty high, so there might just be less room for improvement.
Another observation, though, is that Canada's per capita GDP is not as high as the US and the OECD seems to think the US is going to do well...
They aren't necessarily war crimes. "Military advantage" can be almost anything that gets you closer to your aims. "Proportionality" is just a subjective attempt to be reasonable about what is done to secure military advantage.
If a government is determined to go down like Hitler in the...
Every time I've voted, the person who handed me the ballot drew a line through my name on a list of names (presumably people registered to vote at that polling station). All the printed registries at a polling station could be scrutinized for duplicates after voting ends.
A simple sanity...
Anonymous sources are worthless. Journalism passed the point of no ethical return long ago (eg. asking for rebuttal with insufficient time before going to press).
The "military advantage" sought is pressure leading to capitulation.
Start with, say, bridges. If that isn't enough, move onto something else. Then something else. There is no "you have to invade us, defeat our armies, and occupy our lands" rule. I can guess that the damage would be a lot...
Part of the reason this situation arose is that the world essentially left Israel (and the US) to fix their "Iran problem". The more it's left to them to fix, the more likely other people are not going to like the solutions. It's simple "estimate of the situation" arithmetic: neither the US...
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