2026 US-Denmark Tensions/End of NATO

[Czech_pivo]

News out of France - This will not be the last of this, the snowball has just started its run down the slope.

Denmark to cooperate with France on nuclear deterrence

Denmark has entered ‌an agreement on strategic nuclear deterrence with France, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said on Monday.

www.reuters.com

Denmark to cooperate with France on nuclear deterrence​

Denmark has entered ‌an agreement on strategic nuclear deterrence with France, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said on Monday.

France to increase nuclear arsenal and European weapons cooperation, Macron says

French president says Paris could deploy nuclear-capable fighter jets to countries such as Germany and Poland

www.theguardian.com

France to increase nuclear arsenal and European weapons cooperation, Macron says​

French president says Paris could deploy nuclear-capable fighter jets to countries such as Germany and Poland
France will increase the size of its nuclear arsenal for the first time in decades and significantly intensify nuclear weapons cooperation with eight European allies including the UK as part of a “major” strengthening of its deterrence doctrine, Emmanuel Macron has said.

I take the news that the UK is teaming up with the French because they have begun to realize that hitching their wagon to the US in terms of Nuclear weapons access/production may not be a prudent thing going forward.
Talks on enhanced cooperation had already started with the UK, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden and Denmark, he added. The new model would allow France’s strategic deterrent to be “spread across the European continent” to “complicate the calculations of our adversaries”, Macron said. The doctrine could also involve “the conventional participation of allied forces in our nuclear activities”, he added.

 

[Remius]

News out of France - This will not be the last of this, the snowball has just started its run down the slope.

Denmark to cooperate with France on nuclear deterrence

Denmark has entered ‌an agreement on strategic nuclear deterrence with France, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said on Monday.

www.reuters.com

Denmark to cooperate with France on nuclear deterrence​

Denmark has entered ‌an agreement on strategic nuclear deterrence with France, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said on Monday.

France to increase nuclear arsenal and European weapons cooperation, Macron says

French president says Paris could deploy nuclear-capable fighter jets to countries such as Germany and Poland

www.theguardian.com

France to increase nuclear arsenal and European weapons cooperation, Macron says​

French president says Paris could deploy nuclear-capable fighter jets to countries such as Germany and Poland
France will increase the size of its nuclear arsenal for the first time in decades and significantly intensify nuclear weapons cooperation with eight European allies including the UK as part of a “major” strengthening of its deterrence doctrine, Emmanuel Macron has said.

I take the news that the UK is teaming up with the French because they have begun to realize that hitching their wagon to the US in terms of Nuclear weapons access/production may not be a prudent thing going forward.
Talks on enhanced cooperation had already started with the UK, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden and Denmark, he added. The new model would allow France’s strategic deterrent to be “spread across the European continent” to “complicate the calculations of our adversaries”, Macron said. The doctrine could also involve “the conventional participation of allied forces in our nuclear activities”, he added.

Having their sovereignty threatened by a super power will sort of push them in that direction.

 

[Cloud Cover]

They both are normally prepared to deploy within 5 days from their reduced operating status (ROS). Obviously, that is likely not achievable if they are in dry dock or in a maintenance cycle.

Hospital ship USNS MERCY is currently on the west side of the Panama Canal, enroute to Portland for refit and overhaul.
Hospital ship USNS COMFORT is alongside her home port in Mobile and is in an unloaded state.

 

[Czech_pivo]

Next up, Spain is in the crosshairs

Spain baulks at Trump’s threat to cut off all trade over NATO, Iran stance

The US has relocated 15 aircraft, including refuelling tankers, from military bases in southern Spain.

aje.news

Trump threatens to halt trade with Spain over air base access

Trump lashed out after Spain barred the US from using its military bases to carry out strikes on Iran.

bbc.com

 

[Czech_pivo]

I thought that they would -

Poland Will Eventually Seek Its Own Nuclear Weapons, Tusk Says​

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/poland-will-eventually-seek-its-own-nuclear-weapons-tusk-says

 

[brihard]

I thought that they would -

Poland Will Eventually Seek Its Own Nuclear Weapons, Tusk Says​

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/poland-will-eventually-seek-its-own-nuclear-weapons-tusk-says

Yup. Poland is one of I think five nuclear threshold states I suggested might at least contemplate developing their own nukes- Poland, Ukraine, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea.

 

[Czech_pivo]

Yup. Poland is one of I think five nuclear threshold states I suggested might at least contemplate developing their own nukes- Poland, Ukraine, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea.

Nuclear proliferation brought to you by Donald J Trump.

 

[Remius]

Next up, Spain is in the crosshairs

Spain baulks at Trump’s threat to cut off all trade over NATO, Iran stance

The US has relocated 15 aircraft, including refuelling tankers, from military bases in southern Spain.

aje.news

Trump threatens to halt trade with Spain over air base access

Trump lashed out after Spain barred the US from using its military bases to carry out strikes on Iran.

bbc.com

We will see more of this from others.

 

[Remius]

Nuclear proliferation brought to you by Donald J Trump.

Everyone should thank him. Right?

 

[brihard]

Nuclear proliferation brought to you by Donald J Trump.

To be clear I don’t believe most of these countries actually will do so. I wouldn’t be surprised if a couple of them do. I can’t say which ones save that I’d gauge Japan is least likely, and I’d contend Taiwan maybe needs them the most but may face the greatest barriers. I’d feel Poland as most likely but I don’t have much to base that on.

 

[Good2Golf]

To be clear I don’t believe most of these countries actually will do so. I wouldn’t be surprised if a couple of them do. I can’t say which ones save that I’d gauge Japan is least likely, and I’d contend Taiwan maybe needs them the most but may face the greatest barriers. I’d feel Poland as most likely but I don’t have much to base that on.

Poland with RoK a close second. RoK could then be a ‘France’ *for Taiwan.

 

[Czech_pivo]

To be clear I don’t believe most of these countries actually will do so. I wouldn’t be surprised if a couple of them do. I can’t say which ones save that I’d gauge Japan is least likely, and I’d contend Taiwan maybe needs them the most but may face the greatest barriers. I’d feel Poland as most likely but I don’t have much to base that on.

I think that Poland will and they will receive support/help from France. Poland is simply not willing to go under again, to fall, after the amount of destruction they dealt with since their declaration of independence in 1918 - invaded by Soviet Union in 1919-1921, invaded by Germany in 1939, invaded by the Soviet Union again in 1939 and invaded yet again by the Soviet Union in 1994-45 and finally the Polish/Soviet Communist Coup in 1947.

Ukraine will obtain them if they are able based on whatever sort of peace treaty comes about. I can see Poland helping them as well and the two of them having some sort of mutual support agreeement.

SK will go this route, obtaining nuclear weapons as well, timeline is unknown.

Taiwan and Japan are wild cards, as you pointed out.

It was interesting that Italy was not one of the 8 countries that are working with France under their soon to be expanded nuclear programme/umbrella.

 

[Czech_pivo]

The Walrus weighing in on Canada and nucs.

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back​

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent​

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back | The Walrus

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent

thewalrus.ca

 

[Cloud Cover]

The Walrus weighing in on Canada and nucs.

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back​

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent​

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back | The Walrus

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent

thewalrus.ca

Hmmm … was always under the impression that any nuclear weapons Canada possessed were in fact owned lock and stock by the United States. The Canadian Forces were merely the sub contracted delivery service.

 

[brihard]

The Walrus weighing in on Canada and nucs.

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back​

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent​

Canada Once Had Nukes. We Might Need to Bring Them Back | The Walrus

As trust in the US fades, Ottawa faces pressure to join a new European deterrent

thewalrus.ca

We need to disabuse ourselves of the notion that the U.S. will permit a foreign nuclear deterrent on Canadian soil. That would baldly defy their assertion that this is 'their' security hemisphere and that only America will wield major power influence here. The trump administration would absolutely see that as an impermissible threat to them. They would no more tolerate it than Kennedy would Soviet nukes in Cuba.

It's also absurd to think any other foreign power would use nuclear weapons against the U.S. to protect Canadian sovereignty. There's no win for anyone else in that.

 

[Good2Golf]

We need to disabuse ourselves of the notion that the U.S. will permit a foreign nuclear deterrent on Canadian soil. That would baldly defy their assertion that this is 'their' security hemisphere and that only America will wield major power influence here. The trump administration would absolutely see that as an impermissible threat to them. They would no more tolerate it than Kennedy would Soviet nukes in Cuba.

It's also absurd to think any other foreign power would use nuclear weapons against the U.S. to protect Canadian sovereignty. There's no win for anyone else in that.

Likely only in the case where Canada was contributing to a Euro-centric effort and fell under French nuclear protective/deterrence capability.