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27 Sep 2026 - British counterterrorism op near RAF Fairford

Tough to know how credible this is, but the Telegraph is quoting a local who claims to have been driving home, come upon the three vans parked blocking the road, and saw several men, some with masks or balaclavas, scattering. She then called police.

From the start of this morning’s reporting I’ve been perplexed at how neatly the vans are parked, fanned out blocking the road. A high risk takedown would likely not look like that. If in fact they were detected just after they’d dismounted, maybe there’s more credibility to both claims by authorities - that this has in fact been actively investigated for some time, but also that a call from a civilian tipped off the immediate takedown as an emergency response. That would also be consistent with the reported force protection measures.

if in fact this is true, it raises serious questions about just how near a miss this was. And what will we learn the suspects had- drones? Firearms?

Reading about it earlier I had a similar thought. I couldn't see a takedown plan that would involve letting the attackers get kitted-up, and enter a village.

It's possible the police knew that the guys were planning something, and it's equally possible the police lost track of them and just happened to get a lucky break as the guys were about to launch an attack.
 
As ever, it is the patriotic vigilance of the typical British middle class (snoopy) householder, in a small rural village, that keeps us all safe at night.
Canada has those types too. I have been described as having natural curiosity....which can lead to suspicions.

Our neighbor Carol (God rest her soul) knew every coming and going in the neighbourhood.
 
Reading about it earlier I had a similar thought. I couldn't see a takedown plan that would involve letting the attackers get kitted-up, and enter a village.

It's possible the police knew that the guys were planning something, and it's equally possible the police lost track of them and just happened to get a lucky break as the guys were about to launch an attack.

The RoE in 'mainland' UK are super restrictive.

They might have been waiting for the bad guys to show their hand so they could take them out, or to confirm who else was involved so they could bag them all at once, then 911 was called and they couldn't wait any longer.

It would be unlikely that the three vans were the only ones involved in an op like that, and there might have been recce/ comms/ cut off type groups involved too.
 
Reading about it earlier I had a similar thought. I couldn't see a takedown plan that would involve letting the attackers get kitted-up, and enter a village.

It's possible the police knew that the guys were planning something, and it's equally possible the police lost track of them and just happened to get a lucky break as the guys were about to launch an attack.
It’s entirely possible that was the takedown plan for a couple reasons. There are more reasons why they would be saying that it wasn’t intelligence lead.
 
While the television show "The Wargame (2026)" is a U.K. docudrama, the show does convey an overview of a few of the possible processes U.K. government officials are faced with when dealing with conflict on their own soil.
 
The RoE in 'mainland' UK are super restrictive.

They might have been waiting for the bad guys to show their hand so they could take them out, or to confirm who else was involved so they could bag them all at once, then 911 was called and they couldn't wait any longer.

It would be unlikely that the three vans were the only ones involved in an op like that, and there might have been recce/ comms/ cut off type groups involved too.
Does 5 guys across 3 vans sound right?

Would it make sense that 1 van contained only 1 guy? Could the 1 guy/1van be the one to crash/bomb the gate and the other 2 vans be follow on? I'm certainly not a knowledgeable person on this stuff but wouldn't make more sense to have 2 vans, 1 guy/1van to take out the gate and then 4 guys in the follow on van where 3 can immediately jump out and engage while 1 remains behind the wheel?
 
Counter Terrorism Policing in the UK is a separate entity, although Gloucestershire Constabulary might have members seconded to it. I suspect the largest contributory 'territorial' police service would be The Met. They might have been watching the group but lacked enough intelligence on the target and/or timing until the last moment.

According to Wiki, Gloucester has about 1300 regular members. Who knows how many armed members they would have around at that time of day if the need for a takedown came as a surprise.

Part of me suspects that they don't tell Trump anything out of fear that he can't keep his yap shut. His statement could simply be an off-the-cuff generic response.
 
Had to toss a bone to the media and the masses I suppose.
 
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