• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

All Things AB Separatism (split fm Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???)

Only because Smith wants it moot. Forever Canada should get their vote first.
I agree as long as the threshold was made properly. There is questions about how the vote was conducted.
A no vote for that doesnt trigger separation, but a yes vote woukd shut down separation.
I would disagree that it would shut down the separation argument.
Smith cant have that, she needs separation right now politically to hold onto her own job
I disagree, this separation talk has Interfered with the sovereignty vote she wanted and still supports. It may damage any good that may have come from that position.


They would only need to say it once- if their actions matched. But when you say something ten or a hundred or a thousand times yet act in the opposite way, for everyone to see, your deeds belie your words and your words mean little to nothing.
She has instead made choice after choice to enabled and embolden the separatists.

The UCP has explicitly embraced the Citizen Initiative process as a recognized way for force the provincial government to a separation referendum. They did not have to do this, it was a choice. The correct answer to separatists could have been “go form a party and get elected”.

When it became apparent that the Citizen Initiative process would make it hard to get the necessary signatures for separation, they specifically had the necessary threshold lowered, and the amount of time to collect signatures lengthened by a month. They did not have to do this, it was a choice. The correct answer to separatists could have been “you can put in the same work and achieve the same threshold as everyone else”.

A competing petition that would put the question of reaffirming remaining in Canada did succeed under the old, higher threshold. She has buried that in committee and basically pretended like it doesn’t exist. The legislature changed the law to remove the deadline to act on the successful petition. They didn’t have to do that, that was also a choice. The correct answer would have been to either promptly schedule a referendum on that one essential question, or alternatively to put the question as-is to a vote in the legislature.
I wonder when they had started to work on Bill 54?
When the separatists filed their petition, it was referred by the Chief Electoral Officer to the courts for review, and was struck down as posing an unconstitutional question and violating treaty rights. The legislature again changed to rules, removing the power of the Chief Electoral Officer to have a question reviewed by a court for constitutionality. They specifically changed the rules to let an explicitly unconstitutional referendum question go forward. They didn’t have to do that, that was a choice.
What is wrong with having the Court rule on Constitution questions?
When the separatists were arguing in court over the constitutional matter, the provincial government had their own legal counsel argue in favour of continuing the petition process, and against a judicial order staying it. They argued against the same constitutional and treaty concerns that had already see. The courts rule against the petition once earlier. This was also a choice.

So, whatever the UCP says, they’re standing there yapping with their thumb visibly on the scale. Their words are in plain conflict with their actions. At every step they have coddled and enabled the separatists.

I believE @QV called incorrectly yesterday, that the UCP will not actually meaningfully commit and will blow with the wind:


But, while they presently hang against the flagpole waiting to be told which way to flap, it’s clear which way they hope the wind blows.
Interesting but I would say the UCP has to appease the group and give them their moment in the spot light. To quell any further uprisings.
There were changes already proposed to be brought forward in respect to Bill 54. I wonder how the time line match up.

This entire separation vote has added obstacles and negative effect on the sovereignty act the UCP is trying to implement. I wonder was the purpose.
I will wait for the RCMP to release their findings on Foreign interference before more comments. I wonder how far this will unravel the entire process.

For the record I am AGAINST separation, despite many of my friends believing I am for it. With all the messages and information I have been sent it has been funny to go through some of the opinions and few facts.
Even funnier when I have talked to more then a few separatists. I try to stay out of those conversations but for some reason those people gravitate to me. Narratives are funny to say the least. I really like the people who moved to Alberta from other provinces or moved back to Alberta from the US recently who believe separating will be economically better for us.
One question I ask is will the tanker ban be lifted off the North Coast? They often respond with they have to allow us access to tide water under UN agreements. I ask what agreement and what it the price to access tidewater?
As we all know to transit through a country You need an agreement. Those cost money. They usually walk away quietly.
 
Were I a betting man, I’d say any solid intelligence or evidence suggesting foreign interference in the Alberta separatism campaign would likely be tied to ongoing intelligence and/or national security criminal investigations. Were that so, likely it would be classified, and not getting disclosed to us in the public domain until and unless it got to the point of overt action being taken such as criminal prosecution or overt CSIS Threat Reduction Measures, or maybe a public disclosure from something akin to the SITE task force that’s been monitoring federal elections. We should probably temper our expectations about how much we’ll actually get to know aboutwhat’s going on in that space until long after the fact. Maybe if we’re lucky we’ll see a redacted NSICOP report in a few years.
 
Billions of product move east/west through Alberta. It's a negotiation point that doesn't exist while remaining a province.
 
So we agree ?

Both sides doing it cancels out the argument ?
When political advantage is at stake, it does. It is an exception to the rule/fallacy, which is relevant as an ideal, not a practical gambit.

A democratic polity likely cannot long tolerate one party behaving badly and thereby gaining political advantage which is unanswered by other parties, nor even one which is merely overbearing and uses majority rule as a cultural cudgel against those whom it dislikes or disfavours. Voters frustrated by the actions of the egregious party can be driven to voting for extreme candidates - they choose from the candidates available to them, not the candidates someone else would prefer. Occasionally extreme candidates or entire parties win a slice of political power, and take extreme action, including replicating the tactics of those whom they regard as political enemies.

The practical gambit is Tit for Tat.
 
You say that, but you still go to an effort to minimize so that this time, in this case it is not really bad.

What would you like me to say ? What will make you happy ?

This is moral relativism and either an appeal to popular indifference or an appeal to authority (or mabye both). Right and wrong on not measured by how much people care. People can be indifferent about a lot of good things and about a lot of bad things. And who is "no one at those levels"?

Release the names. Do something about foreign interference, recognize China as an existential threat to our existence and way of life.

And now ad hominem. Anyone who is concerned with forgien interference in the case of Alberta separatism is "feigning outrage" and "just a panicked attempt to dismiss grievances". Maybe anyone condoning or minimizing forgien interference in the case of Alberta separatism is just protecting a tool that they see advantageous/necessary to their cause?

Its not ad hominem its me verbalizing my observations and interpretations.

Assuming you're aiming your last sentence at me, what would be my cause ? That I want Alberta to remain part of Canada but I understand a referendum is necessary to get over this hump ?
 
I'd say everyone would rather remain a part of Canada. But these last ten years and the continuing path has illustrated that is highly disadvantageous on not just economic grounds but culturally and socially.

Hell it wasn't that long ago that NFLD held a referendum to join and won by a very narrow margin. Not quite the same, but same enough to demonstrate joining/separating is not an insurmountable hurdle. I wonder how that vote would have gone if held today given current circumstances.
 
Billions of product move east/west through Alberta. It's a negotiation point that doesn't exist while remaining a province.
Yes, but its a point that hurts AB, not helps it, AB's economy and GDP is 30% reliant on oil, and its 75% of AB's exports. An independent AB would crumble at the first oil crash. I would also expect the current US administration to shut down all Us bound pipelines until AB submits to joining the US.
 
Yes, but its a point that hurts AB, not helps it, AB's economy and GDP is 30% reliant on oil, and its 75% of AB's exports. An independent AB would crumble at the first oil crash. I would also expect the current US administration to shut down all Us bound pipelines until AB submits to joining the US.
The case for AB not leaving is strong enough without trying to overstate or invent negative consequences.

AB wouldn't crumble. There would be a contraction, and then the cultural factors that help to make AB prosperous would re-assert themselves and the climb back up would begin. AB's position astride most of Canada's access to the Pacific matters, a lot. For BC, it's dependence on AB oil matters, critically.

I cannot imagine the US being in a hurry to swallow AB. All the US would have to do is keep the relationship happy and wait. Anything antagonizing would be counter-productive.
 
I cannot imagine the US being in a hurry to swallow AB. All the US would have to do is keep the relationship happy and wait. Anything antagonizing would be counter-productive.
Kinda like threatening economic coercion to annex us? Or threatening to annex greenland? This is why I wouldn't put it past them, and Rath and Co have factions that want that. Call it tin foil hat if you want, but with a stolen electors list, this sure sounds like setting up things like crimeas "vote" to join russia
 
Kinda like threatening economic coercion to annex us? Or threatening to annex greenland? This is why I wouldn't put it past them, and Rath and Co have factions that want that. Call it tin foil hat if you want, but with a stolen electors list, this sure sounds like setting up things like crimeas "vote" to join russia

This is just you overreacting to what was never going to happen. To be fair, a lot of people did, thanks to the media spin. It wasn't a real thing then, is not now, and likely not in the future. Have we not learned anything from the invoked hysteria over anything Trump says or does over both of these terms yet?
 
Kinda like threatening economic coercion to annex us? Or threatening to annex greenland? This is why I wouldn't put it past them, and Rath and Co have factions that want that. Call it tin foil hat if you want, but with a stolen electors list, this sure sounds like setting up things like crimeas "vote" to join russia
I doubt a negotiated exit could be concluded before Trump leaves office, at which point the bluster disappears and economic sense is mostly reasserted no matter who wins the presidency.
 
... If the standard is now “foreign actors online discussed or amplified a contentious issue” then that is going to apply to virtually every major political debate in the West ...
To some, that's at least one of the parts of the foreign influence puzzle, yes :)
From this document (highlights mine):
Foreign interference is any covert, deceptive or coercive activity by a foreign government, or by those acting on their behalf, that is directed at Canada, Canadians or Canadian interests, and is contrary to Canada's national security. Examples of interference activities by foreign governments, or those acting on their behalf, include:
  • threatening, harassing, silencing or intimidating people in Canada or their family and friends abroad because of their political opinion
  • interfering in Canada's democratic institutions and processes, such as elections, to advance their interests
  • manipulating the information environment
  • stealing Canadian intellectual property, technology and know how
  • targeting any level of government to influence public policy or decision-making in a way that is clandestine, deceptive or threatening, and is contrary to Canadian interests
  • interfering in the ability of students or professors at Canadian universities to exercise their freedom of speech
I know, I know, this is a government definition, which many will read wearing their own particular partisan glasses. If you don't trust Canada's definition, how about this from Australia's definition ....
... They limit freedom of expression and shape the media and other communications. This is done to spread propaganda, or undermine and misguide public conversation about important national matters ...
... or Israel's ....
... On the one side of the spectrum, there are approaches that focus exclusively on the information domain as the main field of foreign interference, addressing disinformation and social media campaigns, relevant cyber activities, fake news, and data misuse and manipulation ...
... or even the U.S. Department of Homeland Security's?
... Manipulating content service providers (CSPs) to create and amplify false and false or distorted content for targeted individuals or groups ... Activities undertaken to shape public opinion or undermine trust in the authenticity of information. Use of new and traditional media to amplify divides and foment unrest in the homeland, sometimes coordinated with illicit cyber activities ...
One of the other big questions is: is this influence (by visible, transparent actors clearly being what they say they are) or interference (government x trying to get things done without looking like government x was behind it)?
 
Are you suggesting there's a difference between the primarily reactive, evidence collection role of the police, and the more forward-leaning intelligence collection efforts led by other agencies? And that different players in the game may not have fully consistent and overlapping information and data holdings, which could lead to differing conclusions at different points in time?
Leading to all parties being able to say, hand on respective hearts, "this is what we 'know' and can say"? OK, I'll take that :)
That would be an insightfully nuanced take.
(Unwarranted) praise from Caesar there - you're too kind :)

In all seriousness, I've never dealt with anything close to secret squirrel stuff, but I'm handled & triaged enough information as a journalist, as a government info-machine cog and a government bureaucratic cog to know that "what they say" (whoever "they" may be, internal or external sourcing) may not always be "all they know," "what they really mean" or "what they can use to go further."
 
Leading to all parties being able to say, hand on respective hearts, "this is what we 'know' and can say"? OK, I'll take that :)

(Unwarranted) praise from Caesar there - you're too kind :)

In all seriousness, I've never dealt with anything close to secret squirrel stuff, but I'm handled & triaged enough information as a journalist, as a government info-machine cog and a government bureaucratic cog to know that "what they say" (whoever "they" may be, internal or external sourcing) may not always be "all they know," "what they really mean" or "what they can use to go further."

So it is possible, based on your experience, that the Public Safety Minister saying that the RCMP said "no foreign interference" may not actually be what the RCMP said to him? It's not like there has been history of disagreement between the RCMP and the Minister about the Minister making statements inconsistent with the RCMP's version of the information provided. (where's the sarcasm button)

(April last year)

Well, maybe the Premier and the Minister won't have to rely on the RCMP for information.

EDMONTON – Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s office says she has been granted security clearance to receive briefings from the Canadian Security Intelligence Service.

Smith’s office is providing few details but says the clearance allows her to be briefed on national security issues.

The premier said last month she was seeking higher security clearance so she could be aware of any foreign interference attempts going on in Alberta.

Smith has also said she was concerned the RCMP wasn’t briefing her government.
It comes after a report this week stated some foreign actors are increasingly generating content riddled with disinformation about Alberta’s separatist movement.

Alberta Public Safety Minister Mike Ellis says he, too, is applying for higher security clearance from CSIS.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 7, 2026.
 
Back
Top